08/23/2000: Finding A Fortune In Financials
SUSIE GHARIB: On Wall Street today, investors feeling more
confident about no more rate hikes this year. Stocks notched higher. The Dow added
five points, and the NASDAQ gained 52. One sector that generally benefits from
stable interest rates is financial stocks. Erika Miller takes a look at whether
it's now safe to make new deposits in financial stocks.
ERIKA MILLER, NIGHTLY BUSINESS REPORT CORRESPONDENT: Investors
in financial services stocks have been laughing all the way to the bank recently.
After a steep sell-off in the first quarter, the sector has mounted an impressive
comeback. The Keefe Bruyette Woods Bank Index, or BKX, is up 15 percent since
the start of the year. Meanwhile, the overall stock market is about where it started
in January.
CHRIS BLUM, FINANCIAL SERVICES ANALYST, EDWARD JONES:Financial
services stocks, and banks specifically, have been rallying, because I believe
investors have begun to get a sentiment that the Federal Reserve is approaching
an end to the interest rate hikes.
MILLER: When rates rise, banks face more pressure on their
lending margins, as well as increased risk that borrowers will default on higher
priced loans. But that doesn't mean all bank stocks will do well. Analyst, David
Berry warns it pays to be selective.
DAVID BERRY, BANK ANALYST, KEEFE, BRUYETTE & WOODS:
We're a little cautious on a lot of banks who do commercial lending, particularly
those who may be actively involved in syndicated lending. Not so much the folks
who originated the credits, but the folks who buy them.
MILLER: He recommends investing in financial companies with
significant exposure to capital markets. Berry especially likes the big brokerage
companies - like Goldman Sachs , Lehman Brothers; and DLJ Donaldson Lufkin &
Jenrette. Many of them surprised investors with stronger-than-expected second-quarter
earnings. Going forward, analysts say brokerage firms will continue to benefit
from recovery in the stock market. That's because a bull market encourages consumers
to buy even more stocks, which, in turn, helps to boost underwriting and investment
banking activity. Financial services stocks have gotten more expensive lately,
but analysts think they're likely to go up even more through the end of the year.
Unless the U.S. economy hits a major recession, analysts say investors can bank
on financials to do well. Erika Miller, NIGHTLY BUSINESS REPORT, New York.
Nightly Business Report transcripts are available on-line post-broadcast. The
program is transcribed by FDCH. Updates may be posted at a later date.
The views of our guests and commentators are their own and do not necessarily
represent the views of Community Television Foundation of South Florida, Inc.
Nightly Business Report, or WPBT.
Information presented on Nightly Business Report is not and should not be considered
as investment advice.
©2000 Community Television Foundation of South Florida, Inc.
08/23/2000: President Clinton Gives CA Customers Power
Over Electric Bills
SUSIE GHARIB: Well, some action today against skyrocketing
electric bills. President Clinton announced plans to release more than $2.5 million
in emergency funds to help residents and businesses in southern California to
pay their power bills. Rates are double what they were last year in some parts
of the region. The president also urged Congress to pass legislation that would
speed up deregulation of utilities, nationwide.
WILLIAM J. CLINTON, PRESIDENT OF THE UNITED STATES: To establish
a more competitive, efficient and reliable electric power system for our nation,
and to beef up efforts to prevent utilities from abusing their market power, to
raise rates above competitive levels.
GHARIB: Mr. Clinton says the reforms, along with tax credits
for fuel efficiency, could save American consumers $20 billion a year on their
power bills.
Nightly Business Report transcripts are available on-line post-broadcast. The
program is transcribed by FDCH. Updates may be posted at a later date.
The views of our guests and commentators are their own and do not necessarily
represent the views of Community Television Foundation of South Florida, Inc.
Nightly Business Report, or WPBT.
Information presented on Nightly Business Report is not and should not be considered
as investment advice.
©2000 Community Television Foundation of South Florida, Inc.
08/23/2000: Improving US/Mexico Economic Alliances
PAUL KANGAS: President Clinton also says he's looking forward
to starting off a good relationship with Mexico's president-elect, Vicente Fox.
Clinton meets with Fox tomorrow. As Darren Gersh reports, while the relationship
may be warm, the United States and Mexico are dealing with hot issues.
DARREN GERSH, NIGHTLY BUSINESS REPORT CORRESPONDENT: At
6'5", Mexico's president-elect, Vicente Fox is a big man, who must now meet
some big expectations. A former Coke (KO) executive, Fox vows to maintain Mexico's
blistering 7 percent economic growth. Fox also says he will double direct foreign
investment in Mexico over the next six years.
DELAL BAER, CSIS MEXICO PROJECT: I think he must realize
that in order to achieve a goal like that, there are certain steps that you'll
have to take in terms of liberalization, and so I think that's good for both of
our countries.
GERSH: As Mexico's first freely-elected opposition leader,
Fox can count on a warm reception in his meetings with President Clinton and Vice
President Gore, and later, with Texas governor, George W. Bush. The visits are
billed as little more than"get-to-know- you" sessions, but Fox has already
put the United States on notice, that he wants to broaden trade relations and
increase the number of temporary work visas for Mexicans. It won't be an easy
sell.
IRA MEHIMAN, FEDERATION OF AMERICAN IMMIGRATION REFORM:
The United States cannot endlessly serve as a safety valve for their economic
problems. We can help Mexico get back on its feet economically, but we can't simply
take all of Mexico's excess population and bring them to work here.
GERSH: But some analysts say a small increase in legal immigration
could relieve pressure along the border.
BAER: Perhaps legalizing more of these workers in temporary
worker visas, in very carefully-defined niches of the U.S. economy, might alleviate
some of those stresses.
GERSH: In return, Fox could offer U.S. companies access
to Mexico's oil and natural gas resources. But that won't be an easy sell back
home.
JORGE MARISCAL, LATIN AMERICA INVESTMENT STRATEGIST, GOLDMAN
SACHS: Mexicans were glad to privatize their telephone company, glad to privatize
their airlines, but they hold something dear about oil. And that's going to be
a tough issue, a contentious issue with the opposition in Mexico.
GERSH: Fox clearly can use whatever help Washington can
give. Mexico needs to create more than one million new jobs a year, just to keep
pace with population growth. Darren Gersh, NIGHTLY BUSINESS REPORT, Washington.
Nightly Business Report transcripts are available on-line post-broadcast. The
program is transcribed by FDCH. Updates may be posted at a later date.
The views of our guests and commentators are their own and do not necessarily
represent the views of Community Television Foundation of South Florida, Inc.
Nightly Business Report, or WPBT.
Information presented on Nightly Business Report is not and should not be considered
as investment advice.
©2000 Community Television Foundation of South Florida, Inc.
08/23/2000: What's Next For IPO's Under Restriction?
PAUL KANGAS: In the wake of a record number of initial public
stock offerings that came to market early this year, the time restrictions on
the sale of many of those stocks by corporate insiders will soon be lifted. Tom
Wolf, Bridge correspondent in St. Louis, is joining us now to discuss what the
impact of these sales on the market might be. And welcome, Tom.
TOM WOLF, EQUITIES REPORTER, BRIDGENEWS: Good to be here,
Paul.
KANGAS: How big is the supply of stock from this source?
WOLF: Well, there's 4.6 billion shares coming out of lock
up in August, September and October this year. To put this in perspective, there
was 2.4 billion shares that came out in the April, June and May period of this
year when the NASDAQ hit its low. So about twice as much as back then.
KANGAS: So there's going to be a huge supply of this available.
But if the future of these companies was promising, why would an insider sell
now, creating assumed, a big tax liability if the stock is up?
WOLF: Right. Well, a lot of these companies only put about
10 percent to 30 percent of their stock public when the initial public offering
comes out. And so that's about 70 percent or so that they still have. So the insiders
hold a great deal of the stock and a lot of them want to diversify their portfolios
and of course cash in on the bonanza that they have, that a lot of them have.
KANGAS: Right. Can you tell us the name of some of the stocks
that could be most affected?
WOLF: Well, coming up there's Akamai Technologies (AKAM),
HomeGrocer.com (HOMG), 360 Networks (TSIX) and the biggest one coming up next
month is Infineon Technologies (IFX) and that has about 470 million shares coming
out of lockup.
KANGAS: Do you think this will have a negative impact on
the NASDAQ market overall since it's so tech heavy laden?
WOLF: Well, you combine that with the fact that there's
$60 billion in IPOs and secondary offers in backlog and combined with the number
of shares coming on the market or available for sale, that's likely to put pressure
on the market over the next couple of months.
KANGAS: But usually the fall is not the worse time for the
market overall.
WOLF: No and actually August has been OK, although it's
usually a slow month. September is the better month with the last four out of
five Septembers being up for the market.
KANGAS: So basically a bullish attitude overall could help
the market absorb some of these huge offerings?
WOLF: Well, it sure would help keep some of the prices up,
Paul, yes.
KANGAS: OK. Tom, thanks very much for enlightening us on
this subject.
WOLF: OK. Thanks, Paul.
KANGAS: My guest Tom Wolf, Bridge correspondent in St. Louis.
Nightly Business Report transcripts are available on-line post-broadcast. The
program is transcribed by FDCH. Updates may be posted at a later date.
The views of our guests and commentators are their own and do not necessarily
represent the views of Community Television Foundation of South Florida, Inc.
Nightly Business Report, or WPBT.
Information presented on Nightly Business Report is not and should not be considered
as investment advice.
©2000 Community Television Foundation of South Florida, Inc.
08/23/2000: "Money File"-"Charging"
College Students With Credit
SUSIE GHARIB: In the money file tonight, it's back to school
season and if you're sending your child off to college, you'd better warn him
or her about all those temptations out there. And we're talking, of course, about
those tempting credit cards. Here's author Terry Savage.
TERRY SAVAGE, AUTHOR, "THE SAVAGE TRUTH ON MONEY":
We all know that credit is not inherently dangerous. In fact, it's useful and
almost necessary to have a credit card these days, if only for a financial emergency.
But for students headed back to school, this is the time for a frank conversation
about the rules of the money game and a reminder that spending done on credit
cards has its costs. Those interest charges can snowball against you. To make
that discussion easier, the major credit card companies, Visa and MasterCard,
who've been facing a lot of bad publicity for marketing to students, well, now
they've come up with a new way to approach the subject. Each has created a reloadable
debit card, sort of like a prepaid telephone card. The amount of credit on the
card is determined by a deposit made to a special account. The card can be used
either for purchases or cash withdrawals at an ATM on a debit card basis. The
really interesting twist is the tie in with the Internet. There, on a secure Web
site, parents can immediately track their child's spending and cash withdrawals.
And they can reload the cards with more cash at the same Web site, or through
a touch tone telephone. Now, when you sign up for the card, you'll also get booklets
to trigger that discussion process. Students get credit and a lesson in responsibility.
Parents get control. Now that's my idea of Terry Savage's Money 101, a course
our schools should be offering, but somehow never do. I'm Terry Savage.
Nightly Business Report transcripts are available on-line post-broadcast. The
program is transcribed by FDCH. Updates may be posted at a later date.
The views of our guests and commentators are their own and do not necessarily
represent the views of Community Television Foundation of South Florida, Inc.
Nightly Business Report, or WPBT.
Information presented on Nightly Business Report is not and should not be considered
as investment advice.
©2000 Community Television Foundation of South Florida, Inc.
08/23/2000: Surviving The Sims
SUSIE GHARIB: And finally, it could be America's favorite
fake family. They're the Sims and they're now probably appearing on a computer
screen near you. That's because, as Scott Gurvey explains, they're the fastest
selling CD-ROM game in the country.
SCOTT GURVEY, NIGHTLY BUSINESS REPORT CORRESPONDENT: If
you dream of being in control this is the game for you. Create a family. Give
each member distinct personality traits, build them a house and turn them loose.
You may shocked by the result. This is the Sims, the top grossing PC game in North
America for the first six months of the year, according to industry monitor PC
Data. It is the creation of Will Wright.
WILL WRIGHT: Sims is a game about real life, you know? Most
people don't realize it, but every aspect of their lives down to the minute to
minute decisions they make is like a strategy game.
GURVEY: The Sims has been translated into 13 languages and
has sold nearly two million copies worldwide. It is published by Maxis (MXS),
a unit of Electronic Arts (ERTS). Maxis and Wright have been responsible for a
whole line of Sim titles beginning with Sim City more than a decade ago. Urban
planning was the theme of that game and while there are people, the player does
not have control over the minute details of their lives. That minutiae is what
the hot selling sequel is all about. Make a Sim neat and outgoing and he'll attract
friends. Marriage is a distinct possibility. Make him an unemployed slob and all
he'll attract is flies. If you forget to have them eat, they'll get sick and die.
Forget to have them go to the bathroom and, well, you don't want to know. These
games tend to foster creativity.
WRIGHT: These games tend to foster creativity. Everybody
who comes and makes a city in Sim City or designs a family and a house in the
Sims is going to make something completely different. And their experience of
playing the game is going to be completely different.
GURVEY: In an age when computer games are viewed as something
for children, take note. This best selling game is a hit with adults. There is
even a Web site where players can download new Sims, home furnishings and other
game objects and trade notes. The creators aren't talking, but sources say Sim
Mars will be released next spring. Scott Gurvey, NIGHTLY BUSINESS REPORT, New
York.
Nightly Business Report transcripts are available on-line post-broadcast. The
program is transcribed by FDCH. Updates may be posted at a later date.
The views of our guests and commentators are their own and do not necessarily
represent the views of Community Television Foundation of South Florida, Inc.
Nightly Business Report, or WPBT.
Information presented on Nightly Business Report is not and should not be considered
as investment advice.
©2000 Community Television Foundation of South Florida, Inc.
08/23/2000: Paul Kangas' Wall Street Wrap Up
PAUL KANGAS: As Wall Street opened for trading today, bank
stocks were quite firm in the wake of the Fed's decision yesterday to hold interest
rates steady, but the stock market in general moved lower as profit takers moved
in. After all, since the beginning of the month, the Dow Industrial Average had
gained 617 points, or 5.9 percent, while the NASDAQ Index had risen 191 points,
or 5.1 percent. So, at 10:30 this morning, the Dow posted a 59-point loss, and
the NASDAQ Index was down 42. Upon seeing rather light volume on the early sell-off,
buyers soon came off the sidelines, looking for stocks that would do well in what
was now perceived as a stable scenario for interest rates. At 11:30 this morning,
the Industrial Average cut its deficit to only three points; the NASDAQ Index
snapped back with a 14-point gain. A bullish call on the energy group by Merrill
Lynch gave the blue chips firm support in afternoon trading, but the tech stocks
were the standouts on the upside as the NASDAQ Index moved to its highest level
since late July. The Dow Jones Industrial Average limped in with a gain of only
5 ½ points at 11,144.65. In today's 113-point trading range, the Dow closed down
about 27 points from the best level of the session, but up 85 points from the
worst level. The NASDAQ Composite came in with a gain of 52.80 at 4,011.01, highest
close since July 25. In today's 109-point trading range, this Index settled a
fraction below its very best level of the day. Big board volume moved up some
42 million shares from yesterday's pace, and about a 4-to-3 ratio of down volume
over up volume.
The Dow Transport Index plunging 87 3/4 points as higher
oil prices hurt the airlines.
But the Utility Index gained nearly 4 points to a new record-closing
high.
Closing Tick just almost neutral at +70.
Standard & Poor's 500 up 7.84.
Nearly a 4 1/4-point gain on the 100.
The MidCap 400 hit a record high with that gain of 2 1/3
points.
Bridge Futures Price Index edged up 0.44.
New York Stock Exchange Composite at a record high, with
that gain of 0.60.
A loss of 0.29 in the Value Line.
Russell2000 Small Cap up 0.42.
Broadly-based Wilshire 5000 just a modest gain of 79 2/3
points.
Bond buyers were in an upbeat mood today because they felt
the Federal Reserve was over and done with raising rates, at least for the rest
of the year, given a lengthening list of signs that the economy's growth is slowing.
Another plus was solid demand for the Treasury's $10 billion offering of 2-year
notes, and they were priced to yield 6.204 percent. Higher oil prices were a negative.
But not enough to keep tax-free and corporates from closing
with gains of 1/4 to 3/8 of a point.
And the Treasury market ended with good gains as well.
A 9/32 run-up in the 5-year note.
The 10-year note up 12/32 with the yield down to 5.73 percent.
The 30-year bond up 19/32. Yield at 5.68 percent.
Lehman Brothers Long-Term Treasury Bond Index up nearly
6 1/2 points.
Well, it was a touchdown score today. It was up $6.19 or
16 percent, ending at $43.94 a share. Not exactly a runaway rally on Wall Street
for the blue chip Dow, up only 5 ½ points, and the broader market actually lower
by a 14 to 13 margin. But 104 new highs for the year versus only 50 new lows.
Compaq Computer (CPQ) topped the active list on, let's see,
17.4 million shares, stock down $0.69.
And then Albertson's (ABS) plunging $8.31. As we reported
here, after the close yesterday the company reported second quarter earnings would
be in around $0.50, $0.12 below the Street estimate. Today, the Alex Brown Brokerage
(ph), UBS Warburg and Standard & Poor's all downgraded Albertson's stock.
Lucent Technologies (LU) down $0.88.
America Online (AOL) fell $0.13.
And then AT&T (T), fifth in volume, down $0.44.
General Electric (GE) up $1.69, nice move there helped the
Dow.
Kroger (KR) down $1.19. The story on Kroger, it got downgraded
by the UBS Warburg Brokerage from "buy" to just a "hold."
Nokia (NOK) losing $0.44.
Texas Instruments (TXN) coming back after a couple of days
of weakness on profit taking.
And then Citigroup down $0.88, 10th in volume.
Colgate-Palmolive (CL) rising $2.13 after First Boston Brokerage
upgraded it from "hold" to "buy."
Corning (GLW) down $4.13. The company has filed a universal
shelf registration for up to $4 billion in various types of securities. A little
potential dilution, possibly.
Delta Air Lines (DAL) down $2.56 in that weak group after
New York October oil futures rose $0.80 a barrel to $32.02.
Dynegy (DYN) up $4.19. First of all, keep in mind this is
a 2 for 1 split stock and the company said its expansion is going as planned,
and on top of this, Merrill Lynch issued that bullish call on the energy group
today.
And that helped ExxonMobil (XOM) rise $1.44.
Hewlett-Packard (HWP) up $2.75. That was the best point
gainer in the Dow Industrial Average.
Quanta Services (PWR) had a good day, rising $6.25. The
story here, the company's in a pact with Everest Connections (ph) to install its
broadband in the Minneapolis-Minnesota area.
Too Incorporated (TOO) up $2.56. PaineWebber Jackson Brokerage
optimistic about the company's third quarter outlook. The firm sells trend setting
fashions for young girls and it's just about back to school time.
Smith International (SII), this is the oil drilling services
company, up $3.38. Merrill Lynch named it a focus one stock and raised it a "long-term
buy."
On the down side, big percentage loss, CSK Auto Corporation
(CAO), in the auto parts business, down $4.25 after the company says it's going
to have lower than expected second quarter earnings of only $0.30 a share. The
Street was looking for $0.49. And the company also says sales will be flat. Lehman
Brothers and First Boston both downgraded the stock.
Gtech Holdings (GTK) down $2.19. This company supplies gaming
technology to Camelot. That's the company that's been running Britain's national
lottery and today that company lost out on a new contract. It was voted out. So
apparently Gtech going to lose some business there.
Fluor (FLR) down $2.56. Third quarter earnings came in at
$0.28, way down from $0.66 last year. Revenues actually dropped 6 ½ percent and
the company says 2000 operating earnings will be about 15 percent below 1999 levels.
The stock traded as low as 26 today.
The NASDAQ Index up nearly 53 points or 1.3 percent. Volume
up about 47 million shares from yesterday's pace, but 72 more issues closed on
the down side than on the up side.
Cisco Systems (CSCO) led the active list, up $2.38.
Siebel Systems (SEBL) lost $5.00.
Intel (INTC) moving up $2.50.
Juniper Networks (JNPR) edged up $0.31.
Sun Microsystems (SUNW) up $4.50.
Microsoft (MSFT) down $0.50.
And then a $1.50 loss in JDS Uniphase (JDSU).
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