11/02/00:
Congress Works Overtime To Keep The Government Going
SUSIE GHARIB: On Capitol Hill the House is back in session
tonight on yet another bill to temporarily fund the government. Congress was supposed
to have adjourned by now, but things didn't work out as planned. Stephanie Woods
looks at the reasons why.
STEPHANIE WOODS, NIGHTLY BUSINESS REPORT CORRESPONDENT:
With Vice President Al Gore and Governor George W. Bush running neck and neck
for the presidency and control of Congress up for grabs, politics has led to gridlock
on Capitol Hill. The Republican led Congress and the Clinton administration are
locked in a battle over spending bills. In a Rose Garden ceremony, President Clinton
blamed Republicans for the impasse.
WILLIAM J. CLINTON, PRESIDENT OF THE UNITED STATES: Regrettably,
this is the Congress that may well be remembered for broken promises, lost opportunities
and misplaced priorities.
WOODS: Not so, say House Republican leaders. They decided
to stay in session to try to work out the most contentious issues and they called
on the President and Democrats to negotiate.
REP. DENNIS HASTERT, HOUSE SPEAKER: We're not done yet.
We've got work to do. We're going to be here and I think it's time that all the
politics, you know, by Tuesday, this politics is going to be over and maybe this
time then we can get something done.
WOODS: Even though House leaders say they will remain in
session, they can't do much without the Senate, whose members left town yesterday
to hit the campaign trail. The budget stand-off sets the stage for an unusual
post-election lame duck session of Congress. Among the outstanding issues that
could be taken up, $355 billion in funding for the Departments of Labor, Education
and Health and Human Services, $39.8 billion for Commerce, State and Justice,
a $240 billion, 10 year tax cut package, new Medicare funding and a revision of
the federal state corporation tax. Lehman Brothers Chief Political Strategist
Kim Wallace says a lame-duck session would be uncharted waters.
KIM WALLACE, CHIEF POLITICAL STRATEGIST, LEHMAN BROTHERS:
My guess at this point is that the presidential election will send a signal to
the leaders as to how quickly, if at all, they work on these four or five remaining
bills, not so much as it will increase the spending or the size of a tax cut in
any of those bills.
WOODS: There's one thing on which the parties seem to agree,
not shutting down the government while they sort out the issues. Stephanie Woods,
NIGHTLY BUSINESS REPORT, Washington.
Nightly Business Report transcripts are available on-line post broadcast.
The program is transcribed by FDCH. Updates may be posted at a later date. The
views of our guests and commentators are their own and do not necessarily represent
the views of Community Television Foundation of South Florida, Inc., Nightly Business
Report, or WPBT. Information presented on Nightly Business Report is not and should
not be considered as investment advice. © 2000 Community Television Foundation
of South Florida, Inc.
11/02/00: How The Race For The White House Is Having
An Impact On Wall Street
SUSIE GHARIB: The talk on Wall Street these days is, what
else, next week's presidential election. Just about everyone is sizing up how
the outcome will affect Wall Street, including the people talking to Washington
Bureau Chief Darren Gersh.
DARREN GERSH, NIGHTLY BUSINESS REPORT CORRESPONDENT: Now
that earnings season is behind it, the market is beginning to really focus on
election season. Political analyst Tom Gallagher points out in 1992 it was clear
two months before the election Clinton was likely to win and the bond market began
to price that in. But this time Gallagher warns investors must be prepared for
anything.
TOM GALLAGHER, POLITICAL ANALYST, INTERNATIONAL STRATEGY
& INVESTMENT: This year the markets may not even have two days to discount
the impact of the election. So I think a close election means more volatile markets.
GERSH: Gallagher puts the odds of a Republican sweep at
50 percent, Bush becomes president and Republicans hold Congress. Gallagher puts
the odds of a Democratic sweep at around 25 percent. Those are the same odds Gallagher
puts on a continuation of gridlock, where one party takes the White House and
another party controls Congress. For investors, the key question is what does
all this mean for the budget surplus?
GALLAGHER: If it looks like there's an end to gridlock,
that means the surplus is going to be used for other purposes so interest rates
will probably rise. If there is a continuation of gridlock, then the surplus is
going to be used to retire debt and interest rates would probably fall.
GERSH: But political analyst Pete Davis continues to warn
investors that the race is too close to call and the market may have to live with
political uncertainty beyond election day itself.
PETE DAVIS, POLITICAL ANALYST, DAVIS CAPITAL INVESTMENT
IDEAS: We may not know Wednesday morning who's president, if it's really this
close in 14 states and you have to count absentee ballots.
GERSH: Not only that, Davis warns investors may not know
who will control the next Congress, perhaps until it meets in January.
DAVIS: The House is so, is going to be so close that even
if someone has a majority by a few votes, it won't be by enough votes to control
it and it may be difficult to elect a speaker.
GERSH: All this means the next president may not have the
support or mandate necessary to make big changes. That at least should reassure
some investors who think the status quo has been their friend. Darren Gersh, NIGHTLY
BUSINESS REPORT, Washington.
Nightly Business Report transcripts are available on-line post broadcast.
The program is transcribed by FDCH. Updates may be posted at a later date. The
views of our guests and commentators are their own and do not necessarily represent
the views of Community Television Foundation of South Florida, Inc., Nightly Business
Report, or WPBT. Information presented on Nightly Business Report is not and should
not be considered as investment advice. © 2000 Community Television Foundation
of South Florida, Inc.
11/02/2000: Prime Mover: Douglas Hickey, CEO, Critical
Path
SUSIE GHARIB: E-mail is an essential tool for doing business
these days. But many companies are overwhelmed by the cost of maintaining e-mail
networks. But Critical Path (CPTH), based in San Francisco, has a solution. It
helps customers cut costs by outsourcing their e-mail and instant messaging. The
company was founded in 1997. CEO Douglas Hickey joined Critical Path a year later
and helped launch its IPO in March of last year. He said today that Critical Path
expects to post its first profit by the end of this year. It has over 2,000 customers
including E*TRADE (EGRP), eBay (EBAY), Yahoo! (YHOO), Verizon (VZ) and WorldCom
(WCOM). In tonight's prime mover segment, Donald van de Mark of Myprimetime.com
asks Hickey about the core business of Critical Path.
DOUGLAS HICKEY, CEO, CRITICAL PATH: It all starts with e-mail
and then so e-mail is really the core of what we deliver for our customers. But
what we've done is surrounded e-mail with a whole series of other services like
guaranteed delivery and secure mail, virus and spam, calendaring services. So
we provide really a true end to end solution to the customer base.
DONALD VAN DE MARK, MYPRIMETIME.COM: For everyone who doesn't
understand all that language, you're basically guaranteeing a variety of ways
that messages get through to people on a variety of devices?
HICKEY: Correct. We, our view is any time, anywhere, any
device you really want to get to this key information and you want to be able
to tie it back to what we call your home court, which in most cases is your desktop.
So as I'm running around the country or around the world on a wireless device,
as an example, I want to be able to get to information that resides on my desktop
and that's a key.
VAN DE MARK: Is it because we're all becoming so much more
mobile, we're all becoming road warriors, that we need all these services?
HICKEY: Well, I think the reason that they're becoming incredibly
valuable is if you go and you travel around the world, what you're seeing is the
Internet is becoming the mechanism that many cultures communicate. If you travel
to Asia and you travel in China, the e-mail is becoming the infrastructure by
which families communicate, by which businesses communicate.
VAN DE MARK: Why wouldn't a Microsoft (MSFT) or Lotus or
someone else come in and grab some of your business?
HICKEY: I fully expect that in this market, which is estimated
to be about a $35 billion market by 2003, we'll have a whole series of competitors.
But here's the advantage we have. We've been able to sign up really the leading
category winners in each of the categories we go after. So eBay, Amazon (AMZN),
Intuit (INTU) are customers of Critical Path. Yahoo! is a customer of Critical
Path. Most of the telcos are customers of Critical Path. Most of the large enterprises
that are now outsourcing now, like AFLAC (AFL) and Circuit City (CC) and then
a whole series of 25 million wireless users. So we're very, very well positioned
and we'll continue to add more and more services, which makes that relationship
more intimate.
VAN DE MARK: Well, even if they didn't crush you or take
over your business, they could certainly collapse your profit margins.
HICKEY: You know, you would think that from a beginning
perspective, but when you look at the way we built the company is we said e-mail
will become a mature tool in a very short period of time and it has. So companies
that just focus on e-mail, I think have gotten relegated to the cheap seats, quite
frankly. What we've been saying is use e-mail as an engine to deliver all these
value added services which come at much higher margins and much higher revenue.
VAN DE MARK: Burnout. Tell me about burnout. Have you suffered
it?
HICKEY: Well, I think burnout is a reality. You know, when
you look at the industrial revolution, how long it took for things to take place,
we're doing it within a five or seven year time frame. What it took for, you know,
Ford Motor Company (F) when there were 95 auto deal-or auto manufacturers, now
six or five, it took 100 years for that to happen. Well, what you're seeing in
the technology and the Internet space is that's collapsed to one tenth. So it's
acceptable to see burnout. It's unacceptable not to recognize it and deal with
it.
Nightly Business Report transcripts are available on-line post-broadcast. The
program is transcribed by FDCH. Updates may be posted at a later date.
The views of our guests and commentators are their own and do not necessarily
represent the views of Community Television Foundation of South Florida, Inc.
Nightly Business Report, or WPBT.
Information presented on Nightly Business Report is not and should not be considered
as investment advice.
©2000 Community Television Foundation of South Florida, Inc.
11/02/2000:Commentary:The Presidential To-Do List
SUSIE GHARIB: Whoever moves into the White House in January
has a lot of work waiting for him. Tonight's commentator takes a look at what
could be his to do list. Here's Barbara Hackman Franklin, President of Barbara
Franklin Enterprises and former U.S. Secretary of Commerce.
BARBARA HACKMAN FRANKLIN, COMMENTARY: The presidential election
is just five days away. When it's over and the new president takes office, he'll
have many issues to face. Among them, worries about energy prices and heating
oil shortages in some places, if the winter is cold; continued turmoil in the
Middle East, which could add to the concerns about energy supplies, not to mention
the human costs; trade tensions with Europe put off until after the election could
erupt into a costly trade war. And there is the still fragile recovery in Asia.
He'll have to deal with China, Russia, North Korea, the possible spread of the
narco war in Colombia and whatever else emerges. A new U.S. president is always
closely watched and tested. Then, too, he must quickly send to Congress his proposals
for making good on what he promised to do. He'll have to prioritize these promises
and go for a few early successes. He'll have to take into account the makeup of
the new Congress. No matter which party has the majority in the House and the
Senate, the margin of control will be slim. So the president will have to work
across the aisle to get anything done. But he is also fortunate. The U.S. economy
is strong even though growth is slowing somewhat and we have wise decision-makers
at the Federal Reserve. Whichever man wins, we wish him well. I'm Barbara Hackman
Franklin.
The views of our guests and commentators are their own and do not necessarily
represent the views of Community Television Foundation of South Florida, Inc.
Nightly Business Report, or WPBT.
Information presented on Nightly Business Report is not and should not be considered
as investment advice.
©2000 Community Television Foundation of South Florida, Inc.
11/02/2000: Paul Kangas' Wall Street Wrap Up
PAUL KANGAS: Stocks on Wall Street opened moderately higher
today with investors relieved over the relative mildness of yesterday's sell-off.
At 10 this morning, the Dow Industrial Average recouped almost 44 points of yesterday's
71-point decline, while the NASDAQ Index jumped 86 points. Bolstered by Intel's
forecasts that it would meet or beat analysts' fourth quarter and year 2001 revenue
expectations. The report that October retail store sales were rather mediocre
cooled buying enthusiasm for the blue chips in late morning, and the NASDAQ market
lost ground on rumors that Oracle's (ORCL) founder, Larry Ellison, and his chief
financial officer were leaving the company. Although those rumors proved to be
untrue, they did help to cut the Composite Index's gain to only 41 points at 11:30
a.m. when the Dow fell to a 9-point loss. Investors appeared to lose interest
in blue chips in afternoon trading as the Dow churned about in a narrow range,
but buyers renewed the rally in the tech-laden NASDAQ. The Dow Industrial Average
ended with a loss of 18.96 at 10,880.51. The NASDAQ Composite gained 95.63 ending
at 3429.02. Nice move there.
Volume down a bit from yesterday on the big board, 1.148
billion shares. And about 87 million more shares of up volume than down volume.
The Dow Transport Index up 37.1 points.
But the Utilities fell nearly 6 1/2 after a similar gain
yesterday.
The Closing Tick still modestly bullish at +472.
Standard & Poor's 500 up 7.1 points.
A gain of just over five in the 100.
The MidCap 400 up nearly 9 1/2.
Bridge Futures Price Index edged up .79.
New York Stock Exchange Composite down just over 1 1/4.
The Value Line gained over 5 3/4 points.
Russell2000 Small Cap Index up over 11 3/4 .
And the Wilshire 5000 up 135.71, one percent.
After the market closed, the Federal Reserve reported in
the week ending October 23, the M-2 money supply fell $2.9 billion.
The bond market had plenty of economic news to digest. Third
quarter labor costs for example rose 2 1/2 percent, one percent more than expected,
as hourly compensation jumped 6.4 percent. But this was mitigated by a 3.8 percent
rise in productivity in those three months, which was better-than-expected. Meanwhile,
the September Index of leading economic indicators showed no change, and October
retail sales, as I mentioned, were somewhat sluggish.
Ahead of tomorrow's October jobs report though, there was
little reaction, with tax free, corporates and Treasuries hardly moving on the
day.
The 5-year notes edged up 1/32.
The 10-year notes, no change at all.
The 30-year bond down 1/32.
And the Lehman Brothers Long-Term Treasury Bond Index off
a small fraction.
Investors on Wall Street more or less elected to leave the
blue chips alone as the Dow fell about 19 points and instead bought the tech stocks.
Seventeen stocks higher for every 11 lower on the big board. That was fairly impressive.
And 93 new highs, only 35 new lows.
Well, it seems as though investors gave Aon (AOC) an F on
its third quarter report, $0.53. That was a penny below Street estimates. The
company's also going to cut 3,000 jobs or six percent of the workforce over the
next year. J.P. Morgan downgraded the stock to "market perform" and
traded almost 18 million shares, down 744.
Wal*Mart (WMT) moving up $1.75. Its sales were up 4.9 percent
in the last month.
And Nortel (NT) down $1.25. The story here, S.G. Cowen Brokerage
downgraded it from "strong buy" to just a "buy."
AT & T (T) off $0.44.
Lucent Technologies (LU) a little rally of $1.31 there,
fifth in volume.
Vodafone Group (VOD) down $3.63.
The Gap (GPS) lost $2 -- or gained $2.75. October same store
sales were actually down two percent for The Gap, but that wasn't as bad as expected.
General Electric (GE) fell $0.75.
Citigroup moving up $1.52.
And America Online (AOL) up $2.10. Now, General Motors (GM)
and DaimlerChrysler (DAJ) are offering 300,000 of their U.S. employees the company's
online services at a discount. In addition to that, Saudi Prince Alwaleed bin
Talal is going to invest another billion dollars in AOL, making his total investment
$2 billion.
CIGNA (CI) down $4.57. Third quarter earnings, $1.76, $0.08
better than the Street estimate. But the company sees full year earnings down
a bit from estimates, that's what hurt the stock, and some profit taking. It did
recently hit a new yearly high.
EMC (EMC) up $3.94. Merrill Lynch repeated a "buy"
on that stock.
ExxonMobil (XOM) down $3.88, the biggest point loser in
the Dow today, and New York December oil fell $0.71 a barrel.
Hispanic Broadcasting (HBCCA) up $4.44. Third quarter earnings
came in at $0.12 versus $0.09 last year and the $0.12 was a penny better than
expected.
IBM (IBM) moved up $3.38. That was the biggest gainer point
wise in the Dow today.
And The Limited (LTD) up $1.94. October same store sales
up to a respectable eight percent.
SAGA Systems (AGS) up $5.50, a 100 percent gain. The company
will be acquired for $11.50 a share cash by Europe's Software A.G.
Titan (TTN) up $2.94. Third quarter earnings $0.20, up from
$0.14 last year. Revenues up 30 percent.
Keithley Instruments (KEI), $9.75 gain there. This stock
will replace Dura Pharmaceuticals (DURA) in the Standard & Poor's Small Cap
600 Index after the close a week from today.
AnnTaylor Stores (ANN) up $5. The company says it will beat
Wall Street third quarter earnings estimates of $0.77 by at least $0.01.
Talbots (TLB) up $7.44 today. October same store sales up
a whopping 19 percent. The company sees third quarter earnings are going to be
higher than the original estimate of $1.02, maybe around $1.06 to $1.08.
Finally, one of the few big percentage losers, Superior
TeleCom (SUT) off $1.50. Third quarter earnings $0.01, and the Street was expecting
$0.50.
NASDAQ trading, a gain of 95.63 or almost three percent.
Volume up nicely to 2 ¼ billion shares; 24 stocks higher for every 14 lower.
Oracle (ORCL) topped the active list, down $1.81 even though
the company vehemently denied that Larry Ellison and CFO Jeff Henley are departing
the company.
Cisco Systems (CSCO) up $3.63.
Intel (INTC) up $1.81 after the company decided they'll
expect to meet fourth quarter and year 2000 revenue expectations.
WorldCom (WCOM) continuing to fall, down $1.38.
Microsoft (MSFT) moved up $0.69, fifth in volume.
Sun Microsystems (SUNW) up $3.19.
JDS Uniphase (JDSU) up $2.06.
Juniper Networks (JNPR) had a good day, rising $11.50.
But PMC-Sierra (PMCS) dropped $7.39.
While SDL (SDLI) gained $7.88.
NextCard (NXCD), look at that gain, 45 ¾ percent, up $3.69.
The company expects to be pro |