| 12/04/00:
A Day Of Decisions In Election 2000
SUSIE GHARIB: Governor George W. Bush is one step closer
to getting the keys to the White House. In a blockbuster ruling today, a Florida
state judge rejected Vice President Al Gore's request to overturn election results
in three counties. Also today, the U.S. Supreme Court set aside the decision by
Florida's Supreme Court to allow manual recounts of some presidential ballots.
Well, Wall Street reacted positively to these legal developments: the Dow surged
about 200 points, and the NASDAQ slipped only 30. Darren Gersh reports.
DARREN GERSH, NIGHTLY BUSINESS REPORT CORRESPONDENT: It
was a devastating blow to the vice president's hopes for the Oval office. Late
this afternoon, Florida Circuit Judge N. Sanders Sauls ruled against Mr. Gore
on all counts.
JUDGE N. SANDERS SAULS, FLORIDA CIRCUIT COURT JUDGE: The
court finds that the plantiffs have failed to carry the requisite burden of proof.
The judgment shall be, and hereby is entered, that plantiffs shall take nothing
by this action.
GERSH: Gore campaign lawyers said they would fight on.
DAVID BOIES, GORE CAMPAIGN LAWYER: They won; we lost; we're
appealing. This is going to be resolved by the Florida Supreme Court, promptly.
GERSH: But analysts say it may be time for investors to
begin preparing their portfolios for a republican president.
STUART SWEET, POLITICAL ANALYST, CAPITOL ANALYSTS NETWORK:
In the Sauls' ruling, it seems open and shut - that there is no basis for a successful
appeal, on these hand counts. So the idea of the hand counts making a difference
seems to - that door seems to have been slammed shut today.
GERSH: This morning, the U.S. Supreme Court also weighed
in, setting aside the Florida Supreme Court's decision to extend the deadline
for counting votes. Early headlines said the Florida court's decision had been
overturned, sparking a mini-relief rally.
LARRY WACHTEL, MARKET ANALYST, PRUDENTIAL SECURITIES: When
there was a differentiation between overturned and set aside, then the rally lost
a bit of the steam.
GERSH: But legal scholars said the Supreme Court was simply
sending the ball back to the Florida Supreme Court. In its unanimous decision,
the justices directed the state court to explain its legal reasoning and clarify
whether it followed the U.S. Constitution in making its decision to extend the
voting deadline.Basically, law professor, Heather Gerken, says, the Supreme Court
punted.
PROF. HEATHER GERKEN, ELECTION LAW ANALYST, HARVARD LAW
SCHOOL: What they essentially said is, we can't really decide these two federal
questions in front of us, because we can't figure out what the state supreme court
was doing; so they sent it back to the state supreme court, without addressing
any of the questions that were in front of them.
GERSH: And that is a problem for the vice president, who
is clearly running out of time.
GERKEN: Time is on Bush's side. Every day that passes makes
it harder for Gore to continue with his legal challenges, and so to the extent
that we're looking just at the practical politics of this, this is probably a
Bush win, because it puts off, yet another day, the ultimate decision here.
GERSH: In after-hours trading, investors voted on the news.
Stocks expected to benefit from a Bush presidency: Microsoft (MSFT), tobacco,
pharmaceuticals and defense - all showed gains. Darren Gersh, NIGHTLY BUSINESS
REPORT, Washington.
Nightly Business Report transcripts are available on-line
post broadcast. The program is transcribed by FDCH. Updates may be posted
at a later date. The views of our guests and commentators are their own and do
not necessarily represent the views of Community Television Foundation of South
Florida, Inc., Nightly Business Report, or WPBT. Information presented on Nightly
Business Report is not and should not be considered as investment advice. © 2001
Community Television Foundation of South Florida, Inc.
12/04/00: Pepsico Buys Quaker Oats In A $13.5B Deal
SUSIE GHARIB: The stocks of both Pepsi (PEP) and Quaker
Oats (OAT) rose sharply today. Investors reacted positively to the news that Pepsi
finally won the food fight for Quaker Oats. Pepsi is paying about $13.5 billion
and best of all, it gets Gatorade, the coveted sports drink brand. Diane Eastabrook
has details.
DIANE EASTEBROOK, NIGHTLY BUSINESS REPORT CORRESPONDENT:
The Pepsi /Quaker deal gives PepsiCo control of Gatorade and will make it the
leader in the red hot functional beverage business. Under the deal, Quaker shareholders
will receive 2.3 shares of Pepsi stock for each Quaker share they own. But Quaker
would face a $420 million break up fee if it bows out of the acquisition. The
stocks of both companies climbed today, an indication to analysts investors like
this combination.
PATRICK SCHUMANN, FOOD ANALYST, EDWARD JONES: Investors
will see that there are a lot of positives for this combination and that ultimately
it's going to be a very strong consumer company and this would be a good stock
to own for the next three to five years.
EASTABROOK: Beverage companies have been in a tense battle
for functional or non-carbonated beverages because their sales are growing about
three times faster than carbonated beverage sales. Gatorade is the top selling
sports drink and one of the fastest growing non-carbonated beverages. Analysts
say Pepsi can ratchet up Gatorade sales more by leveraging its international distribution
system and its access to convenience stores here in the U.S.
SCHUMANN: It can be a great opportunity to enhance the presence
of Gatorade in the mom and pops and the convenience stores because that's a higher
margin proposition than the large store format.
EASTABROOK: Another plus for Pepsi is Quaker's granola and
cereal bars, fast growing segments that Pepsi's Frito Lay division has not yet
tapped. But many analysts don't think there will be a place at Pepsi for Quaker
cereals and some of its other food lines.
WESLEY MOULTRIE, BEVERAGE ANALYST, DUFF & PHELPS CREDIT
RATING CO.: I would say that those products that you mentioned probably don't
fit overall with Pepsi's overall product portfolio, so they probably stand a very
good chance of being sold or spun off in some sense.
EASTABROOK: Quaker Oats CEO Robert Morrison will become
a Vice Chairman for PepsiCo once the deal is finally approved. The company expects
that will happen some time within the next four to six months. Diane Eastabrook,
NIGHTLY BUSINESS REPORT, Chicago.
Nightly Business Report transcripts are available on-line post broadcast.
The program is transcribed by FDCH. Updates may be posted at a later date. The
views of our guests and commentators are their own and do not necessarily represent
the views of Community Television Foundation of South Florida, Inc., Nightly Business
Report, or WPBT. Information presented on Nightly Business Report is not and should
not be considered as investment advice. © 2001 Community Television Foundation
of South Florida, Inc.
12/04/00: Euro Activity Analysis
PAUL KANGAS: As we know in the world of currencies, the
Euro has been on a steady downward course against the U.S. dollar. But one who
believes it may have bottomed out and is poised for a comeback is James Thornhill,
Currency Reporter for BridgeNews in New York City. Welcome to NIGHTLY BUSINESS
REPORT, Jim.
JAMES THORNHILL, CURRENCY REPORTER, BRIDGENEWS: Hi. Good
evening.
KANGAS: Tell us why you think the Euro is going to snap
back as we take a look at the chart showing just how far it has fallen. My goodness,
it's just been a steady downward spiral, hasn't it?
THORNHILL: Yeah, the chart doesn't make particularly good
reading for the year. I think my basis for thinking that we might have seen the
bottom is the relative growth outlooks in Europe and the U.S.. I think the world
is going to enter a slowdown phase the first half of next year, but I think the
Euro is probably not going to slow quite as fast as the U.S. is and I think that
should help the Euro form a bottom and kind of rise back to the $0.90, maybe to
the $0.95 cent level in the first half of next year.
KANGAS: So, that's your target, $0.95?
THORNHILL: Yeah, I think $0.95 is realistic. I think we
might overshoot and hit parity again, but I think that would be an over shoot.
I think-
KANGAS: It has got a long way to go to the old high of around
118, doesn't it?
THORNHILL: Yeah, that's kind of dream land, I think.
KANGAS: Right. Now, you say the U.S. economy is going to
slow down more on a relative basis than the European community economy, correct?
THORNHILL: Yeah, sure.
KANGAS: What is the strongest economy there now? Is it Germany
or France or Italy? Which one?
THORNHILL: Yeah, I think Germany has got a slight edge.
Italy has got a lot of problems. We've seen all the flooding and the kind of natural
problems they've got, which is going to cost billions and that's going to certainly
be a drain on resources there. But Germany is looking like it is moving in the
right direction. Growth hasn't been too bad and it's moving down the path of structural
reform. So, Germany is quite hopeful in the future there and I think that could
be a potential Euro positive next year.
KANGAS: Of course, Germany is just very, very afraid of
inflation. Do you think they could influence an interest rate increase for the
European Community Bank?
THORNHILL: Well, I think the members of the Bundesbank who
have an influence in ECB will certainly be on the hawkish side. I personally think
there is another high left of ECB at least, maybe two. And if we're talking, we're
starting to talk about cuts in the U.S., that's obviously going to be another
beneficial factor for the Euro in that the yield advantage for the U.S. will be
diminishing next year.
KANGAS: We just have a few moments left but I understand
Greece will become the 12th member of the European Community?
THORNHILL: Yeah, that's correct, on January 1st.
KANGAS: Do you view that as a good or a negative development?
THORNHILL: From the outset it's going to be probably negative.
KANGAS: OK, there we have it. Thanks very much, Jim.
THORNHILL: Thanks. James Thornhill, Currency Reporter, BridgeNews.
Nightly Business Report transcripts are available on-line post broadcast.
The program is transcribed by FDCH. Updates may be posted at a later date. The
views of our guests and commentators are their own and do not necessarily represent
the views of Community Television Foundation of South Florida, Inc., Nightly Business
Report, or WPBT. Information presented on Nightly Business Report is not and should
not be considered as investment advice. © 2001 Community Television Foundation
of South Florida, Inc.
12/04/00: Can E-Toys Survive The Holidays?
SUSIE GHARIB: The holiday shopping season is crucial for
many retailers, but this year the pressure for profits is really intense for eToys
(ETYS). As Pat Anson reports, analysts say that this could be a make or break
year for the online toy seller.
PAT ANSON, NIGHTLY BUSINESS REPORT CORRESPONDENT: Faced
with a critical period in its company's history, the CEO of eToys seems to be
taking it all in stride. Toby Lenk says the skeptics have been wrong before.
TOBY LENK, CEO, ETOYS: Every holiday season since I've started,
people have said we're an underdog and we can't do what we're going to do. And
every holiday season we prove them wrong. And I like that.
ANSON: But this year, investors don't share in Lenk's optimism.
EToys' stock has fallen from the mid-80s down to single digits. Despite growing
sales and an increasing number of repeat customers, eToys has yet to make a single
dollar in profits. In its four year history, eToys has lost about $300 million.
Besides the red ink, what alarms analysts is that the company continues to borrow
money to finance its day to day operations. At its present burn rate, analysts
say eToys will run out of cash by next summer.
ROBERT LANDES, CO-CHAIRMAN, GUIDANCE SOLUTIONS: I think
this Christmas could possibly be a make or break for them.
ANSON: Robert Landes is an online business developer who
says eToys still hasn't proven its ballots model works.
LANDES: Unfortunately, I don't have a lot of hope for eToys
from a financial standpoint. And it's not because the management and the company
isn't terrific and that the site isn't wonderful. But unfortunately there's one
thing that eToys can't change and that's gross margin.
ANSON: But eToys claims its margins are improving and the
company predicts it should be profitable in two years. That's a long way off for
many analysts who say instead of competing with brick and mortar chains, eToys
should merge with one. EToys has what many chains lack, an order fulfillment system
and a popular Web site.
DOUG CHRISTOPHER, SR. ANALYST, CROWELL, WEEDON & CO.:
I think that if there was a larger company, larger bricks and mortar retailer
that wanted to get into the ballots and have that infrastructure, absolutely.
I think it makes sense for a Toys "R" Us (TOY) or a toy related company,
a Wal*Mart (WMT).
ANSON: Toby Lenk says he'd like eToys to remain independent
but he won't rule out a merger or alliance.
LENK: We'll see how we do this holiday season. We'll see
how effective we are at improving all of our metrics. And then we'll come out
after the holiday season with our new plan for 2001.
ANSON: So you're going to be around in 2001, 2002?
LENK: Well, my hair on top of my head may not be around
but I expect we'll be around serving people well.
ANSON: EToys will ship over 10 million toys and gifts over
the holidays. The bigger issue for investors is whether the company can also deliver
profits. Pat Anson, NIGHTLY BUSINESS REPORT, Los Angeles.
Nightly Business Report transcripts are available on-line post broadcast.
The program is transcribed by FDCH. Updates may be posted at a later date. The
views of our guests and commentators are their own and do not necessarily represent
the views of Community Television Foundation of South Florida, Inc., Nightly Business
Report, or WPBT. Information presented on Nightly Business Report is not and should
not be considered as investment advice. © 2001 Community Television Foundation
of South Florida, Inc.
12/04/2000: Paul Kangas' Wall Street Wrap Up
PAUL KANGAS: It was a mixed opening on Wall Street this
morning, with the Dow Jones Average falling 46 points at the outset, on top of
last Friday's 41-point loss; and the NASDAQ Index moved some 23 points higher
following its 47-point gain last Friday. The tables then suddenly turned, as buyers
moved into the old-line blue chips, like Caterpillar (CAT), du Pont (DD), IBM
(IBM) and 3M (MMM), figuring they have come down to price levels which already
reflect the slowdown in the economy that seems to be taking place. In the meantime,
the technology sector was besieged by sellers. At 11 a.m. then, the Dow jumped
to a 101-point gain, while the NASDAQ Index posted a 47-point loss. About an hour
later, the blue chips got even stronger on word the U.S. Supreme Court sent back
to the Florida Supreme Court for further consideration, its ruling to extend the
deadline for hand-counted ballots. The Dow Industrial Average went on to close
with a gain of 186.56 points, or 1.8 percent; now stands at 10,560.10. In today's
285-point trading range, the Dow closed down 43 points from the best level of
the session; up 241 points from its worst level. The NASDAQ Composite ended with
a loss of 29 ½ points at 2615.75. In its 104-point trading range, the Composite
Index settled about 55 points below the best level; up 48 points from the low
of the day. About right in the middle of the range.
Big board volume down a bit from Friday. Not quite - 1.1
billion shares. About a 3 to 2 margin of up volume over down volume; not too impressive.
The Dow Transport Index up 4.62.
A 2 2/3-point rise in the Utility Index.
The Closing Tick however rather bearish at -450.
Standard & Poor's 500 up 9 3/4.
Just over a 5 1/4-point run-up in the 100.
The MidCap 400 fell 1.80.
The Bridge Futures Price Index up 3.18.
New York Stock Exchange Composite gained nearly 6 points.
But the Value Line down just over ½ point.
Russell2000 Small Cap was off nearly 6 ½ points.
The broadly-based Wilshire 5000 a modest move, up about
46 ¾ points.
The bond market headed higher early today on more signs
of a slowing economy. Namely, a 0.2 percent drop in the October Index of leading
economic indicators, and a 2.6 percent decline in October new home sales, although
that was not as big as expected. The consensus was for a 4.9 percent drop. The
market faded in the afternoon however, following the U.S. Supreme Court ruling
on the election, because it seemed to favor Bush who wants a tax cut, and that's
considered a negative for bonds. In any case, tax free and corporates ended down
1/8 to 3/8 of a point on average. And the Treasury market closed on a mixed note.
A gain of 2/32 in the 5-year notes.
10-year notes down 7/32.
The 30-year bond down 19/32.
And the Lehman Brothers Long-Term Treasury Bond Index was
up 0.78.
Well, it was a great day for the Dow. The Dow Jones Industrial
average up 186 ½ points, 1.8 percent. But you can see the broader market is absolutely
flat, actually, four more declining issues than gainers and just about a stand-off
between new yearly highs and lows.
Citigroup topped the active list on 15.2 million shares,
down $1.13.
Then Robert Half International (RHI) up $2.06. That stock
was added to the Standard & Poor's 500 Index after the close of trading today.
Obviously index fund buyers in there.
Nortel Networks (NT) fell $1.25.
Motorola (MOT) off $0.19.
And Xerox (XRX) down $1.25 to a new low. The company is
disappointed. Moody's cut its credit rating because the company says its turnaround
plan is right on track.
Wal*Mart (WMT), one of those good old blue chips, doing
well, up $2.63.
AT & T (T) edged up $0.25.
There you see PepsiCo (PEP) rising $1.44 on its bid for
Quaker Oats.
Lucent Technologies (LU) down $0.38.
And then Pfizer (PFE), 10th in volume, was up $0.69.
American Express (AXP) fell $2.25. The Alex Brown Brokerage
downgraded it from "buy" to just a "market perform" rating.
DaimlerChrysler (DCX) rose $1.73 even though Standard &
Poor's cut its credit rating and Morgan Stanley cut its 2001 earnings estimates
from $4.20 a share all the way down to $2.58.
Delta Air (DAL) off $0.88. The company canceled about 300
flights over the weekend because its pilots won't work overtime while their union
is negotiating for a new contract with the company.
General Motors (GM) was up $1.25 even though Banc of America
downgraded it from "buy" to "market perform."
Philip Morris (MO) was up $0.06 but in after hours trading
it hit 40 following that Florida judge's ruling.
And Union Carbide (UK), another big old blue chip, doing
well, up $4.31.
Corus Group PLC (CGA) rose $2.63, one of the best percentage
gainers. UBS Warburg Brokerage upgraded a group of European steel stocks just
like this one.
And Agribrands International (AGX) rising $8.75. Cargill
is going to buy it for $54.50 a share in cash. And Agribrands (AGX), in the meantime,
has terminated its proposed merger with Ralcorp (RAH).
Bindley Western Industries (BDY) up $5.88. Cardinal Health
(CAH) is going to acquire Bindley for nearly a half a share of Cardinal's stock.
That works out to a value of about $45 today.
And then we see IBP (IBP) moving up $2.25 on that news that
Tyson Food Corporation (TSN) is going to buy it for $26 a share in half cash and
half in stock of Tyson.
And Tyson Foods itself fell $1.38 on that news.
And Four Seasons Hotels (FS) dropping $4.50 after the Bear
Stearns Brokerage downgraded it from "buy" to just a "neutral"
rating.
NASDAQ trading, a loss of 29 ½ points in the index. Volume
well down from Friday's pace, just a little over 1.8 billion shares. But about
1,000 more issues down than up.
Cisco Systems (CSCO) topped the active list, down $2.69.
But keep in mind, in after hours trading, most of these stocks were at least $1
to $3 higher.
Intel (INTC) hit a new yearly low today after S.G. Cowen
said that its first quarter is going to be ugly and Prudential cut fourth quarter
and 2001 earnings estimates on Intel to $0.42 and $1.60 respectively. But even
that stock was up to around $34 in after hours trading.
Microsoft (MSFT) down $0.19. It improved after hours.
Sun Micro (SUNW) up $1.94.
Juniper Networks (JNPR) down $2.39.
QUALCOMM (QCOM) up $7 a share after China reaffirmed its
intent to use QUALCOMM'S CDMA wireless technology.
Broadcom (BRCM) a $7 gainer as well.
JDS Uniphase (JDSU) up $2.38.
Veritas Software (VRTS) was down $8.19.
And SDL (SDLI) moved up just over $10 a share.
RF Micro Devices (RFMD) had a good day, up $5.7 |