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10/10/01: Paul Kangas' Wall Street Wrap Up
PAUL KANGAS: Stocks on Wall Street opened broadly higher today, partly in reaction
to solid rallies averaging well over 2 percent in most European stock markets.
Also engendering bullish confidence was the continuing success in destroying Taliban
military targets in Afghanistan, and the absence of any new terrorist attacks
upon the United States or its allies. In a steady upturn, the Dow Industrial Average
worked its way to a 125 point or 1.4 percent gain by 11:00 this morning, when
the NASDAQ Index was up 28 points, or 1.8 percent. After a brief, late morning
backtracking period, the market resumed its up-trend throughout the mid-session
hours with the help of in-line or better than expected earnings reports from PepsiCo
(PEP)and Abbott Labs (ABT). The oil sector was firm on talk that OPEC might cut
production. At 1:30 this afternoon., the Dow was sporting a 150 point or 1.7 percent
advance. NASDAQ up 38 points, or 2.4 percent. The rally gained momentum for the
rest of the session thanks partly to frantic short covering purchases especially
after rumors circulated that a major institution was shifting out of bonds into
stocks. The Dow Industrial Average closed with a gain of 188.42 points or 2.1
percent and now stands at 9240.86. The NASDAQ Composite participated certainly
by shooting up 56.07 points or 3.6 percent, ending at 1626.26.
Big board volume today moved up smartly from yesterday's pace, 1.3 billion
shares and up volume absolutely swamped down volume. We haven't seen that good
a ratio in a long time, about 5 to 1.
The Dow Transport Index up nearly 100 points or 4.7 percent.
Utility Index up 1 1/2.
And the Closing Tick about as bullish as you'll see it, +1084.
Standard & Poor's 500 up 24 1/4 points.
Nearly a 13 point rise in the 100.
The MidCap 400 up just over 12.
And the Bridge Futures Price Index edged up .04.
A gain of just about 11 1/4 points in the New York Composite Index.
Value Line rose 9.87.
Almost a 13 point rise in the Russell2000 Small Cap Index.
And the broadly based Wilshire 5000 up 227.20 or 2.3 percent.
The bond market lost ground for the second straight day as investors were put
off by concern over forthcoming new debt offerings from the Treasury. But the
major negative was a big rally in the stock market which deprived bonds of any
safe haven buying and probably resulted in some selling to switch funds into equities.
At the close however, there was little change in tax-free and corporate issues
and the shorter maturities in the Treasury market were down just small fractions.
5-year notes off only 3/32.
The 10-year notes down 2/32.
And actually a gain in the 30-year bond of 8/32.
And then a small loss of .39 in the Lehman Brothers Long-Term Treasury Bond
Index, a real mixture there.
Today wasn't a shame on Wall Street. What a rally! We see the Dow up 188 ½
points or nearly so, 2.1 percent. And the advance/decline ratio very impressive,
22 stocks higher for about every 9 lower. And the best new yearly high to low
ratio we've seen in quite a while, 72 versus 47.
EMC (EMC) topped the active list on 21 million shares, losing $0.49.
Followed by Nokia (NOK), which had a good percentage gain, up $1.98. Merrill
Lynch reported that mobile phone inventories are getting low.
Motorola (MOT) was helped by that news, too, up $0.19. But Motorola is forecasting
a fourth quarter loss of $0.04 to $0.05 a share.
The Street was expecting earnings of about $0.01. Motorola, of course, is going
to cut another 7,000 jobs as well.
General Electric (GE) participating in the rally, helping the down, up 109.
And then Citigroup gained $1.61, also helping the Dow.
AOL Time Warner (AOL) up $0.34.
A $0.30 rise in Liberty Media (LMC).
Lucent Technology (LU) edged up $0.15.
But JC Penney (JCP) down $0.12.
Tenth in volume, Tyco International (TYC), up $0.32.
American International Group (AIG), the big insurance company, up $3.35. The
company said it's planning insurance rate increases, in some cases as much as
double.
B.P. (BP), British Petroleum, up $1.68 on that talk about a possible cutback
in production by open.
El Paso Corp. (EP), formerly known as El Paso Energy, gained $4.05. Bank America
upgraded it from "market perform" to "buy."
Harley Davidson (HD) up $5.08. After the close yesterday, as we reported, third
quarter earnings $0.36 versus $0.27 on a 19 percent jump in sales. Those earnings
were $0.03 better than the Street estimate.
Pepsico (PE) up $0.96 today. Excluding the costs of its takeover of Quaker
Oats, the company had earnings of $0.48 in the third quarter versus $0.42 last
year, and that was $0.02 above the Street estimate.
Finally, UAL (UAL) up $0.98. Most of the big airlines up fractionally. The
airlines are planning on delaying third quarter reports for perhaps up to two
to three weeks while they try to figure out how to account for the funds that
they received from the government after the September 11 attack.
JM Smucker (SJM), the news had to be good and it apparently was, the stock
up $5.26. The company will accrue from Procter &
Gamble (PG) Jiff peanut butter and Crisco cooking oil products. The price,
about $1 billion in stock. Procter & Gamble was up $0.80 a share.
TD Waterhouse Group (TWE) up $1.15. Toronto Dominion Bank (TD) is going to
buy back all of the stock it doesn't already own and the cost, $9 a share in cash.
Dial (DI) had a good day, up $2.28. The company sees third quarter earnings
coming in at $0.26 a share. That's well up from the $0.19 to $0.21 Street estimate.
Corimon (CRM) the big loser of the day, percentage wise off $4.75. It's a Venezuelan
manufacturer of industrial paints and coatings. We couldn't get through to the
company. Very few analysts follow this company. The stock is very volatile. No
news on the wires.
MGIC Investment (MTG) down $7.55. Third quarter earnings $1.47, up from last
year's $1.36, a $0.01 above the Street estimate. But there's concern over a rise
in delinquent mortgages that this company insures.
And Quebecor World (ICW), one of the largest commercial printers in the world,
down $2.38. The company's warning third quarter earnings will fall about 15 percent
below earlier projections. It also plans to cut 2,400 jobs, or six percent of
its workforce.
NASDAQ trading, a 56 point gain in the Index, 3.6 percent. Volume moved higher
on the rally, 1.8 million shares. 23 stocks up for about every 12 down.
Microsoft (MSFT) topped the active list, a $0.95 gain.
Intel (INTC) did well, up $1.61.
QUALCOMM (QCOM) gaining $4.05.
And Cisco Systems (CSCO) a $0.56 gain.
Applied Materials (AMAT) up $1.26.
Oracle (ORCL) gained $0.59.
A $0.57 rise in Dell Computer (DELL).
Sun Microsystems (SUNW) just a $0.02 gain there.
IDEC Pharmaceuticals (IDPH) down $0.26, the only loser in the actives.
Broadcom (BRCM) up $0.94, tenth in volume. |