Program: Tuesday, September 16, 2003
The Federal Reserve Inspires Investors To Go On A Buying Spree
The Senate Votes To Rollback The FCC Media Ownership Rules
One On One With Mike Holland, Chairman of Holland and Company
Commentary: The Economic Election Connection
Last Word- The Line On Grasso & The California Governor's Race
Paul Kangas' Stocks In The News
Market Stats
09/16/03:
The Federal Reserve Inspires Investors To Go On A Buying Spree
JEFF YASTINE: Investors went on a buying spree on Wall Street after the Federal Reserve opted
to leave interest rates unchanged. The Dow gained 118 points, the NASDAQ
climbed 41. The Fed`s unanimous decision came amid signs the economy is finally
firming up, although the central bankers say we aren`t out of the Woods yet.
Suzanne Pratt takes a closer look at the Fed`s decision.
SUZANNE PRATT, NIGHTLY BUSINESS REPORT CORRESPONDENT: It was widely expected on
Wall Street that the Federal Reserve would leave interest rates at 45 year lows
today. After all, even though the U.S. economy is perking up, the U.S. labor
market is not. And economists say the lack of new jobs means there is still a
chance that growth could falter again. So for now, the Fed`s main lever for
influencing economic activity, known as the federal funds rate, stands at one
percent.
STEVEN RICCHIUTO, CHIEF U.S. ECONOMIST, ABN AMRO: They haven`t done anything
because they continue to want to keep, foster the environment in which the
economy can transition from unsustainable growth to sustainable growth. And by
keeping short-term interest rates low, they help foster that environment.
PRATT: The statement accompanying today`s decision on interest rates was
virtually the same that policymakers issued following the August meeting, with
one exception. In today`s text, the Fed characterized labor market conditions
as weakening. Last month it described them as mixed.
DAVID RESLER, CHIEF ECONOMIST, NOMURA SECURITIES: I think it underscores the
notion that just because the economy seems to be picking up steam, the Fed is
not any closer to tightening monetary policy than they were in the middle of
the summer.
PRATT: In today`s decision, policymakers also repeated concerns first issued in
May about disinflation. They said, "The committee judges that, on balance, the
risk of inflation becoming undesirably low remains the predominant concern for
the foreseeable future." Economists believe that part of the statement is
directed at the bond market.
RICCHIUTO: The message they`re sending to the bond market is basically we`re
not doing anything for a long period of time. The Fed funds rate is going to
stay at one percent as long as the economy is doing well and inflation is still
a concern.
PRATT: As for when the Federal Reserve is likely to raise interest rates, most
experts say don`t look for any action before the middle of next year at the
earliest. And that`s only if the job market recovers. Suzanne Pratt, NIGHTLY BUSINESS REPORT, New York.
Nightly Business
Report transcripts are available on-line post broadcast. The program
is transcribed by eMediaMillWorks. Updates may be posted at a later
date. The views of our guests and commentators are their own and
do not necessarily represent the views of Community Television Foundation
of South Florida, Inc. Nightly Business Report, or WPBT. Information
presented on Nightly Business Report is not and should not be considered
as investment advice. Copyright (c) 2003 Community Television Foundation
of South Florida, Inc. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. Terms of use.
09/16/03: The Senate Votes To Rollback The FCC Media Ownership Rules
JEFF YASTINE: The U.S. Senate voted to overturn new media ownership
rules passed by the Federal Communications Commission. Those rules let
broadcasters own more local TV stations and lets one company own a newspaper
and broadcast station in the same city. But as Stephanie Woods reports, today`s
vote is just the beginning of the battle.
STEPHANIE WOODS, NIGHTLY BUSINESS REPORT CORRESPONDENT: Opponents of the FCC`s
move to ease media ownership restrictions are outraged. They say the changes
will lead to a wave of mergers and stifle local programming and diversity.
SEN. RUSS FEINGOLD (D), WISCONSIN: The FCC has acted in a gross disregard of
its mandate, of good public policy and of the will of the American people.
WOODS: FCC Chairman Michael Powell is the key champion of the new rules.
Despite Congressional disapproval, he says the commission got it right.
MICHAEL POWELL, CHAIRMAN, FCC: I have not wavered one bit that I think the
actual set of rules that we propounded are the correct ones. They`re the
correct ones for the modern media marketplace. I do not think they provide for
a tsunami of mergers. I think there`s been an extraordinary exaggeration of
what`s permissible under the rules. So I think people have a really misguided
impression of what would be permitted under these. So I`ve gone over them a
thousand times. I worked harder than anyone in America for more hours than
anyone in America on these rules and I`m convinced they`re the right ones.
WOODS: I spoke with Senator Dorgan. He said the FCC caved to special interests
in writing these rules. What`s your response?
POWELL: Oh, it`s absolutely a ridiculous proposition. If that`s true, why are
we being sued by broadcasters for not going far enough? If that were true, why
did we draw restrictions that they now complain about? We tightened radio
ownership rules. That`s certainly not what the radio industry was arguing for.
We refused to let networks merge, one of the other rules. That`s certainly not
what the networks would have urged for. So I think that`s wonderful theater,
it`s wonderful hyperbole, but I think if a citizen sat down and looked at the
six rules and how the restrictions really work, they`d find that there`s no way
you could characterize that as a cave in of public interests. We don`t take
money from industry. We don`t have any personal reason why we sit around and
give them what they want. And if we gave them everything you want, I think
you`d be looking at a very different set of rules today.
WOODS: Efforts to overturn the rules face an uphill battle in the House and
beyond. President Bush has already said he would veto any measure overturning
the regulations and a federal court has already put the rules on hold, pending
an appeal. Powell says he anticipated an intense legal review, but not a
political firestorm.
POWELL: What I didn`t anticipate necessarily is I think public, you know, are
using the rules as a stalking horse for the anxiety at the media itself. You
know, if you really read those postcards that we got, they`re not talking about
our rules at all. They`re talking about we`re concerned about big media
companies. We`re concerned about this show. We`re concerned about that
viewpoint. I think the media has a lot of issues with the public in terms of
trust and goodwill that are being played out in this debate.
WOODS: Do you feel a bit bruised?
POWELL: Oh, you can`t be in public policy in the modern era and not be, you
know, bruised. You know, one of the things that I`ve discovered is that you can
take two paths as the Chairman of the FCC, You can have a timid agenda or you
can try to make a difference and you can try to change things in a significant
way, which is going to require controversy. It`s going to require difficulty.
It`s going to require pushing through. And I think if you`re not prepared to do
that, give the job to somebody else.
WOODS: We`ve been speaking with Michael Powell, FCC Chairman. Thank you.
POWELL: Thank you for having me.
Nightly Business
Report transcripts are available on-line post broadcast. The program
is transcribed by eMediaMillWorks. Updates may be posted at a later
date. The views of our guests and commentators are their own and
do not necessarily represent the views of Community Television Foundation
of South Florida, Inc. Nightly Business Report, or WPBT. Information
presented on Nightly Business Report is not and should not be considered
as investment advice. Copyright (c) 2003 Community Television Foundation
of South Florida, Inc. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. Terms of use.
09/16/03:
One On One With Mike Holland, Chairman of Holland and Company
JEFF YASTINE: The Federal Reserve`s Open Market Committee leaves interest rates unchanged, saying the risk of deflation
remains the chief concern. Our guest tonight, Mike Holland, Chairman of Holland and Company, says the
markets breathed a sigh of relief at the Fed`s inaction.
MICHAEL HOLLAND, CHAIRMAN, HOLLAND & COMPANY: I think, Jeff, it was far more a
function of the statement that the Federal Reserve made. Once again, there was
always the possibility that there was going to be a surprise in a statement.
And what we have right now is a Fed has told us that for a long period of time,
interest rates are going to be at 40 plus year lows. That means that a lot of
the liquidity building and economy building that`s been going on for the past
couple of quarters should continue.
YASTINE: And yet the Fed`s talk about the economy, they`re still sending
somewhat mixed messages there. They`re saying spending is firming, but the
labor market is weakening. They`re saying core consumer prices remain muted,
but at the same time companies continue to have little traction getting their
own price increases to stick. I mean those are my, that`s my paraphrasing on
the Fed`s statement. What do you think about that?
HOLLAND: An excellent observation that the Federal Reserve gave a very even-
handed view of the economy. Had they been any more positive, people probably in
the financial markets would have said, gee, it looks as if they`re viewing
things somewhat more sanguine, in a more sanguine way than they did in the
recent past, therefore we may have some concern about raising -- the Fed
raising interest rates. Not at all. They gave a very even-handed, on the one
hand, and on the other hand, a kind of economist view of things. So that I
think the markets, which all right very smart and very quick to react, said so
long as they have that kind of even handed response that deflation is as much
of a risk as inflation and so on, the market said we`ll have lower rates for an
extended period of time. A considerable period of time, is what the Federal
Reserve has said, and I think the markets believe them.
YASTINE: Now, what do you think about the reaction in the bond market? Because
there essentially seemed to be very little reaction. And, again, I would have
thought if the Fed`s saying we`ll keep rates for as low as we need to for as
long as necessary, that the bond market would be jumping for joy, the same way
that the equity side of things do.
HOLLAND: The bond market is also quick to react, quick to vote on what the
reality looks to be given what the Fed has said and is doing or not doing. The
bond market saying, as the stock market is, that it`s possible, just possible,
despite all the caution that`s out there in corporate America and in investing
America, that things are going to be continue to get better and better and
better. There is a message in what the bond market did today, which was to say
inflation is going to remain low, that the Federal Reserve says that things are
possibly getting a little bit better, maybe we shouldn`t be so quick to move
one way or the other.
YASTINE: All right, now, we`ve got about a minute left. What`s your thought
about the economy these days? Obviously, it sounds like you agree with the Fed
and think that that turnaround is right around the corner, I guess?
HOLLAND: The economy, forgetting about the numbers that come out of Washington,
which has continued to build on themselves, Jeff, in a way that is a
cumulative, positive effect, we`re getting better and better numbers.
Interesting that inventories and labor continue to be the weak parts of the
economy, which once again gives evidence that corporate executives, like a lot
of investors, remain very cautious. Nevertheless, the top line continues to grow. One factor that I would take a
look at right today, and that would be Wal-Mart (WMT). Three percent of the
economy. They continue to say their stores continue to do better than expected.
I would watch companies like Wal-Mart. Forget about the Washington moves. And
that would be a very good indicator of what`s really going on.
YASTINE: Mike, very quickly, how much of this is already baked into stocks at
these prices these days?
HOLLAND: The stock market has correctly predicted this nascent upturn and I
think that we probably have further to go in the number of industries,
particularly the cyclical industries that will have the biggest swing.
YASTINE: All right, Mike, I appreciate your time with us.
HOLLAND: Jeff, thank you.
YASTINE: Our guest tonight, Mike Holland, Chairman of Holland and Company.
Nightly Business Report transcripts
are available on-line post broadcast. The program is transcribed
by eMediaMillWorks. Updates may be posted at a later date. The views
of our guests and commentators are their own and do not necessarily
represent the views of Community Television Foundation of South
Florida, Inc. Nightly Business Report, or WPBT. Information presented
on Nightly Business Report is not and should not be considered as
investment advice. Copyright (c) 2003 Community Television Foundation
of South Florida, Inc. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. Terms of use.
09/16/03:
Commentary: The Economic Election Connection
JEFF YASTINE: Tonight`s commentator suggests if we want to look to the future of the economy,
we might want to look at one thing that`s usually overlooked.
Here`s Irving R. Levine, Dean of International Studies at Lynn University and
former Chief Economics Correspondent for NBC News.
IRVING R. LEVINE, COMMENTARY: It is conventional wisdom that the economy and
the stock market do well in election years. The 2004 elections are just over a
year away and there are signs that the economy and the market are reviving.
Part of the reason is anticipation that the White House and Congress will, as
in the past, try to win votes with measures that put more spending money in
people`s pockets.
Spending, of course, is the key a robust economy, which in turn can lift the
stock market. What is new on the spending front is that candidates for
political office have begun spending the money contributed by supporters. The
spending is not only in the early presidential primary states and the in
Congressional races, but also in the now delayed California recall.
This is money that the contributors themselves might not otherwise have spent
were it not for the campaigns. Although the money spent so far is relatively
small change, there is much more to come. Every candidate promises, if elected,
to enact laws to improve the economy. But the law of unintended consequences
may already be operating. An unintended consequence of campaign spending may be
to help boost the economy.
I am Irving R. Levine.
Nightly Business Report transcripts
are available on-line post broadcast. The program is transcribed
by eMediaMillWorks. Updates may be posted at a later date. The views
of our guests and commentators are their own and do not necessarily
represent the views of Community Television Foundation of South
Florida, Inc. Nightly Business Report, or WPBT. Information presented
on Nightly Business Report is not and should not be considered as
investment advice. Copyright (c) 2003 Community Television Foundation
of South Florida, Inc. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. Terms of use.
09/16/03:
Last Word- The Line On Grasso & The California Governor's Race
JEFF YASTINE: Finally tonight, an online sports betting site has begun selling
futures contracts on whether Richard Grasso will remain at the helm of the New
York Stock Exchange through the end of the year. The site, tradesports.com,
also has contracts on whether California Governor Gray Davis will be recalled
by voters and whether actor Arnold Schwarzenegger will replace him. More than
1,100 contracts have already been traded on Grasso. They currently price in a
40 percent probability that he`ll leave by December 31.
And, Paul, this Web site has something of a track record. It accurately
predicting the ousting of Saddam Hussein in Iraq.
KANGAS: People will bet on anything.
YASTINE: That`s right. That`s what markets are all about.
KANGAS: I guess so.
Nightly Business Report transcripts
are available on-line post broadcast. The program is transcribed by
eMediaMillWorks. Updates may be posted at a later date. The views
of our guests and commentators are their own and do not necessarily
represent the views of Community Television Foundation of South Florida,
Inc. Nightly Business Report, or WPBT. Information presented on Nightly
Business Report is not and should not be considered as investment
advice. Copyright (c) 2003 Community Television Foundation of South
Florida, Inc. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. Terms of use.
9/16/03:
"Paul Kangas' Stocks In The News"
PAUL KANGAS: Stocks opened moderately higher on Wall Street, aided by Merrill
Lynch`s upgrade of the semiconductor sector from "equal weight" to "over
weight." Another plus was news of a 3/10 percent rise in August consumer
prices, which suggested the economy was strong enough to produce some
inflation, even though most of it was due to higher energy prices. Throughout
the morning and up to the Fed`s announcement, the Dow was up between 45 and 50
points, and the NASDAQ averaged about a 20 point gain. Then, those assurances
from the Fed that rates would remain low for quite some time triggered a
rollicking rally for the rest of the session. The Dow Industrial average closed
up 118 1/2 points, or 1 1/4 percent, to 9,567.34. The NASDAQ Composite soared
41 1/2 points, or 2 1/4 percent, ending at 1,887.25. The Standard & Poor`s 500
gained 14 1/2 points, or 1.4 percent, and now stands at 1,029.32.
In the debt market, the 10-year note dipped 3/32 to 99 24/32, putting the yield
at 4.28 percent.
Topping the active list on the big board on 38.8 million shares was NorTel
(NT), moving up $0.37. That`s a nine percent gain. The company confirmed it got
a networking equipment contract from France Telecom (FTE). Rumors have it it
could be as much as a billion dollars.
Lucent Technologies (LU) a $0.09 gain there.
G.E. (GE) moved up $0.53.
And there you see Titan Corp. (TTN) up $4.33. Lockheed Martin will acquire the
firm for $2.4 billion. That works out to $22 a share, $11 of it in cash and the
other $11 will be in Lockheed stock, .22 shares. So this Lockheed stock,
incidentally, fell $1.02 today, to $49.95.
Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) a $0.40 gain, number five in big board volume.
Then came AOL Time Warner (AOL), moving up $0.28.
Pfizer (PFE), a $0.13 rise.
Nokia (NOK) gained $0.45.
Micron Technology (MU) gaining $0.40.
Tenth in volume, Home Depot (HD), a $0.52 rise.
International Paper (IP), a Dow stock, up $1.18. Merrill Lynch put it on its
focus one list, saying the company is well positioned to benefit from any
rebound in the paper industry.
Then Coca-Cola (KO), another Dow stock, but losing $0.58. The Thomas Weisel
Brokerage downgraded it from "outperform" to just "peer perform."
And UPS, United Parcel (UPS), up $1.35. Merrill Lynch upgraded it
from "neutral" to "buy" and has a $70 a share target for the stock.
Boston Scientific (BSX) a $0.48 gain. It traded as high as $67.25 this morning,
after Wells Fargo (WFC) upgraded it from "hold" to "buy." Bank of America
increased its target price from $69 to $82 over the next 12 months.
Incidentally, the FDA will review the company`s Taxus stent on November 20.
Group 1 Automotive (GPI) moving down $1.40. Raymond James Financial Brokerage
downgraded it from "strong buy" to just "market perform."
Raymond James also downgraded Sonic Automotive (SAH), which fell $1.04, and
United Auto Group (UAG), which lost $1.02, downgrades from "outperform" to
just "market perform."
And then the bulls didn`t make any dough in Krispy Kreme (KKD) today, down
$0.65. The "Heard on the Street" column in today`s "Wall Street Journal"
suggests the company`s newer outlets may not be doing as well as expected. The
stock traded as low as $40.16.
Medical Staffing Network (MRN) losing 12 percent of its value with that loss of
just over a $1. The company lowered its third quarter revenue forecast and
withdrew its 2003 earnings guidance, citing difficult operating environments in
the health care sector. Down she went.
And then Cole National (CNJ), which makes eyewear products, had a good gain of
$2.24. The company narrowed its second quarter loss this year to only $0.34 a
share, down from $0.35 last year.
And Citigroup (C) up $0.54. Just as the market was closing, shortly after,
Citigroup Chairman and CEO Sandy Weill said he`s speeding up his retirement
plans. He`ll step down on October 1, three months ahead of schedule, because he
says Citi`s new management team is working better than ever. Weill will stay as
Chairman through the year 2006.
And then another after the close development, a late day big win in court for
Altria (MO), the parent of Philip Morris. The Illinois Supreme Court has cut in
half the $12 billion bond the cigarette maker must post to appeal a multi-
billion dollar verdict against the company. The move saves Altria from a
potential cash crunch. In after hours trading, the stock moved up almost $4, to
$44.40 a share.
The NASDAQ`s most active issue, Microsoft (MSFT), up $0.54.
Followed by Cisco (CSCO), with a $0.90 gain.
A similar rise in Intel (INTC).
But Gilead Sciences (GILD) tumbled $4.15 after J.P. Morgan Brokerage downgraded
it from "over weight" to "neutral."
Qualcomm (QCOM) moving up $1.44. The company sees fourth quarter and full year
earnings at the high end of its previous estimate. Its full year earnings
estimate forecast was for $1.40 to $1.42 a share.
Dell Incorporated (DELL) up $1.03.
A $1.31 rise in Amgen (AMGN).
Applied Materials (AMAT) moved up $0.80.
An $0.08 gain in Oracle (ORCL).
And Yahoo! (YHOO) gained $1.19 a share.
eCollege.com (ECLG), what a gain it had, up nearly 32 percent. That`s a
positive reaction to the company`s planned acquisition of Datamark Incorporated
(DMK.TO) for $72 million. That should cause a big boost in the company`s
revenues next year.
And then Internet Initiative Japan (IIJI) moving up $1.82, or 26 percent.
Nippon Telegraph & Telephone (NTT) has increased its stake in Internet
Initiative from about five percent to 31 percent.
And those are the stocks in the news tonight.
Nightly Business Report transcripts
are available on-line post broadcast. The program is transcribed
by eMediaMillWorks. Updates may be posted at a later date. The views
of our guests and commentators are their own and do not necessarily
represent the views of Community Television Foundation of South
Florida, Inc. Nightly Business Report, or WPBT. Information presented
on Nightly Business Report is not and should not be considered as
investment advice. Copyright (c) 2003 Community Television Foundation
of South Florida, Inc. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. Terms of use.
09/16/03:
Market Stats
NET PERCENT
CLOSE CHANGE CHANGE
DOW CLOSE 9567.34 +118.53 + 1.3
HIGH 9571.13
LOW 9449.16
NASDAQ COMP. 1887.25 +41.55 +2.3
HIGH 1887.87
LOW 1848.41
VOLUME 1,368.4
PREVIOUS 1,134.8
UP VOLUME 1,151.1
DOWN VOLUME 207.5
DOW TRANSPORTS 2773.38 +40.40 + 1.5
DOW UTILITIES 246.31 +2.10 + .9
CLOSING TICK +668
S&P 500 1029.32 +14.51 + 1.4
S&P 100 517.36 +7.40 + 1.5
MIDCAP 400 526.47 +6.34 + 1.2
REUTERS/CRB 237.67 -2.75 - 1.1
NYSE COMPOSITE 5800.18 +69.74 + 1.2
VALUE LINE 333.31 +4.76 1.45
RUSSELL 2000 515.66 +8.02 1.58
WILSHIRE 5000 9979.04 +136.12 1.38
U.S. TREASURIES
5-YEAR NOTE 3.125%
Sept. 15,2008 100 1/32 +1/32 3.12
10-YEAR NOTE 4.25%
Aug. 15,2013 99 24/32 -3/32 4.28
30-YEAR NOTE 5.375%
Feb. 15, 2031 102 18/32 -5/32 5.20
LEHMAN BROS.
LONG BOND INDEX 1709.94 -8.44
DOW CLOSE 9567.34 +118.53 + 1.3
ADVANCES 2358
DECLINES 902
NEW HIGHS 173
NEW LOWS 13
NET PERCENT
NYSE MOST ACTIVES 4PM CLOSE CHANGE CHANGE
NT Nortel Networks 4.50 +.37 +9.0
LU Lucent Tech 2.31 +.09 +4.1
GE GE 31.93 +.53 +1.7
TTN Titan Corp 21.29 +4.33 +25.5
TSM Taiwan Semi 11.70 +.40 +3.5
AOL AOL Time Warner 16.05 +.28 +1.8
PFE Pfizer 31.99 +.13 +.4
NOK Nokia Corp 15.83 +.45 +2.9
MU Micron Tech 13.62 +.40 +3.0
HD Home Depot 33.30 +.52 +1.6
NASDAQ CLOSE 1887.25 + 41.55 + 2.3
VOLUME 1,796.2
PREVIOUS 1,466.3
ADVANCES 2200
DECLINES 1009
NASDAQ ACTIVES
MSFT Microsoft 28.90 +.54 +1.9
CSCO Cisco Systems 21.29 +.90 +4.4
INTC Intel 28.91 +.92 +3.3
GILD Gilead Sciences 61.86 -4.15 -6.3
QCOM Qualcomm 44.89 +1.44 +3.3
DELL Dell Inc 34.60 +1.03 +3.1
AMGN Amgen 69.81 +1.31 +1.9
AMAT Applied Matl 21.38 +.80 +3.9
ORCL Oracle 12.53 +.08 +.6
YHOO Yahoo! 35.82 +1.19 +3.4
AMEX CLOSE 983.36 + .19 + .0
INDEX SHARES
DIA DIAMONDS TRUST 96.00 +1.17 +1.2
QQQ NASDAQ 100 34.40 +.91 +2.7
SPY S&P DEP.RECEIPTS 103.58 +1.49 +1.5
STOCKS IN THE NEWS
IP Intl Paper Co 41.00 +1.18 +3.0
KO Coca Cola Co 42.92 -.58 -1.3
UPS United Parcel 63.96 +1.35 +2.2
BSX Boston Scientific 66.50 +.48 +.7
GPI Group 1 Auto 38.65 -1.40 -3.5
SAH Sonic Automotive 26.66 -1.04 -3.8
UAG United Auto 23.37 -1.02 -4.2
KKD Krispy Kreme 42.05 -.65 -1.5
MRN Med Staff Ntwk 7.62 -1.05 -12.1
CNJ Cole Nation 12.00 +2.24 +23.0
C Citigroup 44.70 +.54 +1.2
ECLG Ecollege.Com 19.35 +4.67 +31.8
IIJI Internet Initiat 8.82 +1.82 +26.0