Program: Friday, September 26, 2003
A Big Meeting At The Big Board
A New Hang Up For The Do Not Call List
Market Monitor-Jim Grinney, Chief Investment Officer for Northern Trust Bank of Florida
The Last Word: IBM's Smart Cart
The Week Ahead
Paul Kangas' Stocks In The News
Market Stats
09/26/03:
A Big Meeting At The Big Board
SUSIE GHARIB: The staff of the New York Stock Exchange met their new boss today. John Reed,
the new Interim Chairman of the NYSE, came here this afternoon to talk with
executives of the exchange. Reed`s visit comes a day after Carl McCall
announced his resignation as lead director of the NYSE board. As Scott Gurvey reports, the big board is now gearing up for a new era.
SCOTT GURVEY, NIGHTLY BUSINESS REPORT CORRESPONDENT: There`s a new sheriff in
town and by all estimates John Reed will leave his mark on the New York Stock
Exchange, even if his reign as interim chief executive is, as he plans, only a
few months in duration. The New York Stock Exchange board of directors named
Reed to the post last weekend and today the former head of Citigroup (C)
returned to the United States from a vacation in France. Many who knew him in
his banking days say he is the right man for a tough job.
ROBERT ALBERTSON, CHIEF STRATEGIST, SANDLER O`NEILL: You`re going to get one
big, one big gust of fresh direct air. It may surprise you. He may come up with
conclusions and thoughts that a lot of us haven`t considered. So there`s room
for surprise here. He`s an out of the box thinker. But there will be no doubt
where he`s going and why.
GURVEY: Dick Grasso is gone and so, too, is Carl McCall, the board member who
headed the compensation committee. But many expect Reed to ask for most, if not
all, of the current board members to resign. Creating a new board structure and
naming new board members top Reed`s to do list of tasks. Reed and his board
must also find a permanent CEO and set compensation formulas for executives.
Then comes the restructuring of the exchange itself.
SEC Chairman William Donaldson is said to believe the NYSE should separate its
trading and regulatory functions. Reed met with Donaldson today. Reed also must
consider the future of the specialist system. Many believe an electronic
trading system with multiple market makers would be better for investors.
NICHOLAS ECONOMIDES, ECONOMICS PROFESSOR, NYU STERN: What happens practically
right now is the specialists create the conditions for people to trade and they
are very richly rewarded for creating these markets. The method that I`m
proposing is going to create the markets by itself and nobody would have to get
rewarded for creating them. They will be there and it will be more efficient.
GURVEY: A proposal calling for the end of the specialist system would be a
tough sell. It would be nothing less than a revolution for an institution that
traces its history back more than 200 years. Scott Gurvey, NIGHTLY BUSINESS REPORT, New York.
Nightly Business
Report transcripts are available on-line post broadcast. The program
is transcribed by eMediaMillWorks. Updates may be posted at a later
date. The views of our guests and commentators are their own and
do not necessarily represent the views of Community Television Foundation
of South Florida, Inc. Nightly Business Report, or WPBT. Information
presented on Nightly Business Report is not and should not be considered
as investment advice. Copyright (c) 2003 Community Television Foundation
of South Florida, Inc. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. Terms of use.
09/26/03:A New Hang Up For The Do Not Call List
SUSIE GHARIB: The national do not call list has been put on hold again. This time the
registry is hung up on first amendment issues. Stephanie Woods looks at the issues facing the anti-telemarketing program.
STEPHANIE WOODS, NIGHTLY BUSINESS REPORT CORRESPONDENT: Shortly after Congress
voted to remove a technical legal challenge to the national do not call
registry, another court threw up an even bigger obstacle. A federal district
judge in Denver found the registry unconstitutional because it blocks
commercial calls but not calls from charities, political parties and other
interest groups. Lawmakers say the court is wrong.
SEN. BYRON DORGAN (D), NORTH DAKOTA: All we have done is to empower people to
affect their own right of privacy in a positive way. I fail to see how a court
can say that violates the constitutional right of someone who wants to bother
someone by putting a call in over a telephone line that the family paid for but
doesn`t want to receive the call. It`s just a Byzantine ruling by the court.
WOODS: The Federal Trade Commission plans to appeal the ruling, but
telemarketers argue the government shouldn`t be in the business of blocking
calls.
TIM SEARCY, EXECUTIVE DIRECTOR, AMERICAN TELESERVICES ASSOCIATION: A ringing
phone is a ringing phone. Only after you pick up do you make the decision of
whether or not you want to take that call. And the reality is, it`s not up to
the government to decide what happens once you pick up that phone.
WOODS: The Supreme Court may make the final call. Legal experts say it could be
a chance for the court to shape the distinction between commercial and public
speech.
JOSEPH VAN EATON, ATTORNEY, MILLER & VAN EATON: It`s an opportunity for the
court to either uphold the precedent of the last 50 years or to begin to equate
public debate with the sale of vacuum cleaners. And, frankly, the problem with
the latter is, if we start equating public debate with selling vacuum cleaners,
we`re going to end up with no debate at all.
WOODS: There`s still confusion over whether telemarketers will keep from
calling people who`ve already put their numbers on the national registry. In
the meantime, you can ask telemarketers to remove your name from their lists.
Stephanie Woods, NIGHTLY BUSINESS REPORT, Washington.
Nightly Business
Report transcripts are available on-line post broadcast. The program
is transcribed by eMediaMillWorks. Updates may be posted at a later
date. The views of our guests and commentators are their own and
do not necessarily represent the views of Community Television Foundation
of South Florida, Inc. Nightly Business Report, or WPBT. Information
presented on Nightly Business Report is not and should not be considered
as investment advice. Copyright (c) 2003 Community Television Foundation
of South Florida, Inc. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. Terms of use.
09/26/03: Market Monitor-Jim Grinney, Chief Investment Officer for Northern Trust Bank of Florida
PAUL KANGAS: My guest market monitor this week is Jim Grinney, Chief Investment
Officer for Northern Trust Bank of Florida. Welcome back to NIGHTLY BUSINESS REPORT, Jim.
Good to see you.
JIM GRINNEY, SENIOR VICE PRESIDENT & CHIEF INVESTMENT OFFICER, NORTHERN TRUST:
Thank you. Nice to be here.
KANGAS: You know, the stock market has been gathering impressive upward
momentum since the lows of March.
GRINNEY: Yes.
KANGAS: And now it seems to have hit a stone wall here. What do you think the
problem is all of a sudden?
GRINNEY: Actually, we`ve gone into a trading range. What`s happened is the
market is taking a wait and see attitude. Remember, the second quarter earnings
actually were above expectations. Sixty-five percent of the companies beat the
numbers.
KANGAS: Now we`ve got third quarter to worry about.
GRINNEY: Now we have third quarter. And remember that nothing is in a straight
line. We still have some question marks out there. Consumer confidence, as you
saw today, was down just a tick. The last couple days oil prices went up.
Before that it was the initial jobless claims, that have not gone down yet. So
the market climate is a wall of worry. There`s always going to be some of these
things out there to be concerned about and right now I think second, third
quarter earnings are going to help that overall situation.
KANGAS: They`ll be good enough to give us another boost?
GRINNEY: They`ll be good enough, yes.
KANGAS: What about interest rates here? You`re a banker. Have we bottomed out
for sure or could we go back and visit those lower levels?
GRINNEY: Conceivably, we could go down and visit those lower levels. But when
you`re down at 40 year lows or 45 year lows in rates, I mean you`re talking
such small gradations that for all practical purposes we probably have seen the
bottom.
KANGAS: So you think the refinancing boom is over?
GRINNEY: The refinancing boom at this point appears to have leveled off and in
some cases have gone down. It very likely -- the best part of it is behind us.
KANGAS: And some of the stocks involved in that business have shown some
weakness lately. I guess that`s the proof of the pudding, you might say.
GRINNEY: Yes, they have. Yes, they have.
KANGAS: What areas do you think look the strongest now, from here to the end of
the year. What stock groups?
GRINNEY: That`s a short time frame.
KANGAS: Yes.
GRINNEY: If you believe that the economy, in fact, has turned around and we
have six quarters now behind us of positive GDP growth -- again, earnings have
turned, analysts are raising estimates in every different industry -- then I
think you have to position yourself in those companies that are economically
sensitive. Two examples that I`d point out -- and I do, by the way, own these,
as do my clients -- one is Staples (SPLS), the office supply place. As you see
a pick up in business, so, too, does their business grow. And they`re one of
the leaders at Internet business to business activity. And the second is in the
technology area, Intel (INTC). That, too, as you see the replacement cycle
coming around, which it has already started to do, Intel chips, as you know,
are everywhere so.
KANGAS: So you would be buying these two issues now?
GRINNEY: Am now and own them for my clients and myself.
KANGAS: Let`s go back to your last visit with us February 21 of this year. You
recommended some stocks that you had liked on previous visits that hadn`t done
particularly well, but since this last visit they`ve done very well. You said
stick with them and that was good advice. United Parcel Service, UPS (UPS), was
in the high $50s.
GRINNEY: Right.
KANGAS: It`s now in the mid $60s. Dell Computer (DELL) was around $26 and now
it`s, of course, in the mid $30s.
GRINNEY: Right.
KANGAS: And Sigma-Aldrich (SIAL) you liked around $44. It`s now in the early
$50s. And the only new recommendation at that time was Johnson and Johnson
(JNJ), which is only down about 2 1/2, 3 points. Are you still with all of them?
GRINNEY: We still are with all of them. I will say the whole drug area is under
a cloud right now, obviously, with the issue of the pricing of drugs.
KANGAS: Right.
GRINNEY: J&J is in the same boat, although they have a lot more over the
counter drugs.
KANGAS: But you would buy them, again, at these levels?
GRINNEY: All of them with the exception -- J&J I`d hold just to get a better
sense for how this is going to develop in Washington.
KANGAS: OK.
GRINNEY: The others would still be buyable, yes.
KANGAS: You know, gold bouillon and the gold stocks have been putting in
stellar performances recently. Are you into that at all or do you think that
that signals trouble ahead?
GRINNEY: We`re not into the gold stocks, primarily because the only prices of
gold are set by psychology. And there`s no earnings fundamentals really behind
it, some supply and demand, but mostly psychology. And the price run-up we`ve
seen has been, I think, a reflection of the market sniffing out an economic
recovery. Typically inflation follows, although this time around we`ve seen
inflation continue to remain subdued, two percent in the CPI because
productivity is very high.
KANGAS: But you don`t see deflation as a threat here?
GRINNEY: No.
KANGAS: OK.
GRINNEY: At this point, we do not.
KANGAS: And just briefly, what about the ethics on Wall Street? Do you think
this has been slowing the market a bit, the problems that the New York
Exchange, the mutual funds --
GRINNEY: Oh, no question. No question. You know, we thought we had seen the
bulk of the problems come out with Enron and Tyco (TYC) and WorldCom (WCEQ.OB),
etc. And then you have the problems with Mr. Grasso. And it is not over yet.
It, again, there`s a cloud. It`s depressing people. But when you think long-
term, this is a cleansing process. And we are working out of all these. They`re
coming to the fore. We have a lot more corporate governance than in the past.
So ultimately it`s a good thing.
KANGAS: It just makes the hurdle a little higher, too, higher?
GRINNEY: Yes, it does.
KANGAS: OK.
GRINNEY: Yes, it does.
KANGAS: Jim, thanks very much for being with us.
GRINNEY: My pleasure. Thank you.
KANGAS: My guest, Jim Grinney of Northern Trust Bank of Florida.
Nightly Business Report transcripts
are available on-line post broadcast. The program is transcribed
by eMediaMillWorks. Updates may be posted at a later date. The views
of our guests and commentators are their own and do not necessarily
represent the views of Community Television Foundation of South
Florida, Inc. Nightly Business Report, or WPBT. Information presented
on Nightly Business Report is not and should not be considered as
investment advice. Copyright (c) 2003 Community Television Foundation
of South Florida, Inc. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. Terms of use.
09/26/03: The Last Word: IBM's Smart Cart
SUSIE GHARIB: And finally IBM (IBM) wants to make your trip to the grocery store a
lot easier. Big Blue hopes its new smart cart will speed your trip down the
aisle. The high tech shopping cart has a computer screen that can be swiped
with the shopper`s store card, which brings up their purchase history, likes
and dislikes, as well as store specials. The cart also talks, telling the
shopper what items will go with other items that are placed in the basket, like
suggesting wine pairings.
Paul, the smart cart also offers friendly reminders about items that you may
have forgotten, like toothpaste or toilet paper.
KANGAS: I may forget toothpaste, but that`s about it.
GHARIB: I think if it`s really a smart cart, it should do the shopping for you
and put them in your car.
KANGAS: Well, I hope it doesn`t talk while you`re waiting in line at the
cashier.
Nightly Business Report transcripts
are available on-line post broadcast. The program is transcribed
by eMediaMillWorks. Updates may be posted at a later date. The views
of our guests and commentators are their own and do not necessarily
represent the views of Community Television Foundation of South
Florida, Inc. Nightly Business Report, or WPBT. Information presented
on Nightly Business Report is not and should not be considered as
investment advice. Copyright (c) 2003 Community Television Foundation
of South Florida, Inc. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. Terms of use.
09/26/03: The Week Ahead
SUSIE GHARIB: Here`s a look at what`s happening next week, a busy week. Our Friday
market monitor guest is Douglas Cliggott, President and Investment Strategist
at B&P Research. Monday, it`s August personal income and spending; Tuesday, the
Conference Board`s September report on consumer confidence comes out;
Wednesday, it`s August construction spending and the Institute of Supply
Management`s Manufacturing Index for the month of September; Thursday, August
factory orders; and then on Friday, it`s the September jobs report.
Nightly Business Report transcripts
are available on-line post broadcast. The program is transcribed
by eMediaMillWorks. Updates may be posted at a later date. The views
of our guests and commentators are their own and do not necessarily
represent the views of Community Television Foundation of South
Florida, Inc. Nightly Business Report, or WPBT. Information presented
on Nightly Business Report is not and should not be considered as
investment advice. Copyright (c) 2003 Community Television Foundation
of South Florida, Inc. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. Terms of use.
9/26/03:
"Paul Kangas' Stocks In The News"
PAUL KANGAS: Well, Wall Street opened slightly lower on some light carryover selling from
yesterday`s late downturn, but that upward revision in second quarter GDP kept
the early decline a minor one. At the outset, the Dow fell only about a dozen
points and the NASDAQ Index off just 3. That unexpected drop in the Consumer
Sentiment Index put stocks a bit more on the defensive, but trading was light,
with little other news to sway investors. At noontime, the Dow was off 27
points and the NASDAQ was down about 14 points.
Growing nervousness about upcoming third quarter earnings and the normal pre-
weekend evening up operations kept the market modestly lower for the rest of
the day. The Dow Industrial average closed down 30.88 points, at 9, 313.08.
However, it fell in four of this week`s five sessions, for a net loss overall
of 331 3/4 points, or 3.4 percent.
The NASDAQ Composite fell 25.17, to end at 1, 792.07 today. It also fell on
four of five days this week, and tumbled 113 points, or six percent overall.
The Standard & Poor`s 500 Index was down 6.42, ending at 996.85 today.
Over on the bond market, the 10 year note rose 23/32, to 102 even, and that put
the yield at a flat four percent.
The most active issue, as I mentioned, Motorola (MOT) trading 31 million
shares, coming up from a low during the day of $11.80. J.P. Morgan also
upgraded the stock from "neutral" to "over weight." It closed at the high of
the day.
NorTel Networks (NT) was down $0.19.
Followed by Lucent Technologies (LU), with a $0.04 loss.
Then General Electric (GE) down $0.51.
And Eastman Kodak (EK) down another $0.75. It was off nearly $5 yesterday after
announcing a slash in its dividend from $1.80 to only $0.50 a year. That`s a 70
percent cut.
Liberty Media (L) was up $0.20.
AOL Time Warner (AOL) down $0.32.
Pfizer (PFE) edged up $0.03 a share.
Nokia (NOK) was a $0.19 gainer. The company unveiled a sweeping reorganization
which will break operations into four business groups -- mobile phones, multi-
media, networks and enterprise solutions. A positive effect on the stock.
Hewlett Packard (HPQ) was up $0.14, tenth in big board volume.
3M Company (MMM) up $1.84. That helped the Dow Industrial Average a bit. Bank
of America (BAC) has upgraded it from "neutral" to "buy" and now has a $170 a
share target for the stock in the belief that the company`s LCD business,
that`s liquid crystal displays, will grow some 30 percent per year.
Northrop Grumman (NOC) moved up $1.23 after the Jefferies Brokerage upgraded it
from "hold" to a "buy."
And John Hancock Financial Services (JHF) rising $2.25. The "Boston Globe"
newspaper reports the company is again in the advanced stages of talks with a
potential buyer. But John Hancock declined any comment on who it might be.
There`s a lot of speculation, of course.
Rite Aid (RAD) was up $0.17. It traded as high as $5.29 after the Smith Barney
Brokerage upgraded it from "sell" to a "buy." A real turnabout there.
Allegheny Energy (AYE) was down $0.17. J.P. Morgan downgraded it from "neutral"
to "under weight" and the company restated lower its first quarter of 2002
results from a loss of $0.23 to a loss of $0.43 and the second quarter of 2002
from a loss of $0.26 to a loss of $0.27. Also, there`s speculation the company
could be in default after the third quarter of this year.
Fisher Scientific International (FSH) down $1.50. The company agreed to sell
Bank of America`s securities, 6.6 million common shares for $261 million. That
works out to about $39.50 per share, but a little earnings dilution involved
with those extra shares out.
Concord EFS (CE) was up $0.64. It traded as high as $14.26. There is
speculation the planned buyout of the company by First Data Corporation (FDC)
will go through.
And then we see Newmont Mining (NEM) down $1.42, representing a very weak gold
group today. A lot of profit taking after gold bouillon hit a seven year high
yesterday.
The NASDAQ`s most active issue, Intel (INTC), down $0.18.
Followed by Microsoft (MSFT) with a $0.05 loss.
Cisco (CSCO) dropped a $0.10.
And SINA Corporation (SINA) down $5.24. This is a Chinese Internet portal
company and it`s had a huge run up recently, so that`s pure profit taking, no
doubt.
Amgen (AMGN) down $0.23 a share, fifth in dollar volume on NASDAQ.
Dell Incorporated (DELL) moved up $0.22 yesterday. It said it`s getting into
the consumer electronics business.
Amgen (AMGN) was down $0.23.
Applied Materials (AMAT) a $0.25 loss.
KLA Tencor (KLAC) dropping just over a $1.
And MedImmune (MEDI) down $2.06 per share.
American Business Financial Services (ABFI) fell $1.72, or 25 percent. The
company is going to suspend its quarterly cash dividend of $0.08 a share and
that had a very negative impact, as you might expect. It did on Kodak (EK),
that`s for sure.
SCO Group (SCOX) was down $2.94. This company is a Linux software marketer,
among other things, and IBM is counter suing the company, alleging that it is
misusing its rights to the UNIX operating system. A little legal going on
there.
Research In Motion (RIMM) up $1.57. After the close yesterday, the company came
in with second quarter results, better than expected. Earnings of $0.03 versus
a loss of $0.18 the prior year. This company makes wireless solutions and
markets them and says its next big opportunity is China.
And those are the stocks in the news tonight.
Nightly Business Report transcripts
are available on-line post broadcast. The program is transcribed
by eMediaMillWorks. Updates may be posted at a later date. The views
of our guests and commentators are their own and do not necessarily
represent the views of Community Television Foundation of South
Florida, Inc. Nightly Business Report, or WPBT. Information presented
on Nightly Business Report is not and should not be considered as
investment advice. Copyright (c) 2003 Community Television Foundation
of South Florida, Inc. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. Terms of use.
09/26/03:
Market Stats
NET PERCENT
CLOSE CHANGE CHANGE
DOW CLOSE 9313.08 -30.88 - .3
HIGH 9358.28
LOW 9303.82
NASDAQ COMP. 1792.07 -25.17 -1.4
HIGH 1821.57
LOW 1792.06
VOLUME 1,443.0
PREVIOUS 1,524.4
UP VOLUME 396.1
DOWN VOLUME 1,005.8
DOW TRANSPORTS 2663.83 -33.29 - 1.2
DOW UTILITIES 248.98 +2.57 + 1.0
CLOSING TICK -220
S&P 500 996.85 -6.42 - .6
S&P 100 499.61 -3.01 - .6
MIDCAP 400 508.47 -6.19 - 1.2
REUTERS/CRB 239.97 -2.54 - 1.1
NYSE COMPOSITE 5644.14 -35.49 - .6
VALUE LINE 317.93 -4.67 -1.45
RUSSELL 2000 485.29 -9.77 -1.97
WILSHIRE 5000 9646.46 -79.94 -0.82
U.S. TREASURIES
5-YEAR NOTE 3.125%
Sept. 15,2008 101 +17/32 2.90
10-YEAR NOTE 4.25%
Aug. 15,2013 102 +23/32 4.00
30-YEAR NOTE 5.375%
Feb. 15, 2031 106 18/32 +27/32 4.94
LEHMAN BROS.
LONG BOND INDEX 1761.88 +15.81
DOW CLOSE 9313.08 -30.88 - .3
ADVANCES 1202
DECLINES 2023
NEW HIGHS 42
NEW LOWS 16
NET PERCENT
NYSE MOST ACTIVES 4PM CLOSE CHANGE CHANGE
MOT Motorola 12.53 unch. unch.
NT Nortel Networks 4.09 -.19 -4.4
LU Lucent Tech 2.25 -.04 -1.8
GE GE 29.87 -.51 -1.7
EK Eastman Kodak 21.40 -.75 -3.4
L Liberty Media 10.11 +.20 +2.0
AOL AOL Time Warner 15.20 -.32 -2.1
PFE Pfizer 30.56 +.03 +.1
NOK Nokia 15.26 +.19 +1.3
HPQ Hewlett-Packard 19.40 +.14 +.7
NASDAQ CLOSE 1792.07 - 25.17 - 1.4
VOLUME 1,849.4
PREVIOUS 2,047.8
ADVANCES 814
DECLINES 2335
NASDAQ ACTIVES
INTC Intel 27.27 -.18 -.7
MSFT Microsoft 28.19 -.05 -.2
CSCO Cisco Systems 19.96 -.10 -.5
SINA Sina Corp 33.68 -5.24 -13.5
AMGN Amgen 65.15 -.23 -.4
DELL Dell Inc 34.14 +.22 +.7
AMGN Amgen 65.15 -.23 -.4
AMAT Applied Matl 18.42 -.25 -1.3
KLAC KLA Tencor 51.79 -1.02 -1.9
MEDI MedImmune 32.00 -2.06 -6.1
AMEX CLOSE 986.27 - 11.77 - 1.2
INDEX SHARES
DIA DIAMONDS TRUST 93.30 +.05 +.1
QQQ NASDAQ 100 32.58 -.21 -.6
SPY S&P DEP.RECEIPT 99.95 -.33 -.3
STOCKS IN THE NEWS
MMM 3M Co 143.45 +1.84 +1.3
NOC Northrop Grumman 86.15 +1.23 +1.5
JHF John Hancock 34.30 +2.25 +7.0
RAD Rite Aid Corp 5.18 +.17 +3.4
AYE Allegheny Energy 8.76 -.17 -1.9
FSH Fisher Sci Intl 39.25 -1.50 -3.7
CE Concord EFS 14.00 +.64 +4.8
NEM Newmont Mining 38.91 -1.42 -3.5
ABFI Amer Business 5.15 -1.72 -25.0
SCOX SCO Group Inc 14.29 -2.94 -17.1
RIMM Research in Mot 37.29 +1.57 +4.4