Program: Wednesday, October 15, 2003
IBM Gives Investors The Blues
GM Beats The Street
Market Outlook With Ralph Acampora of Prudential
Equity Group & Jeff Degraaf of Lehman Brothers
SEC Chairman Donaldson Gets Grilled On The Hill
The Life & Legacy of Malaysia Prime Minister
Mahathir Mohamad
Last Word: Pizza Hut Gets Healthy
Paul Kangas' Stocks In The News
Market Stats
10/15/03:
IBM Gives Investors The Blues
SUSIE GHARIB: Disappointing sales numbers from IBM late today sent
its stock tumbling in after hours trading, down more than $3, or
three percent, to $89.70. Big Blue reported that its revenues rose
nine percent in the third quarter, but it was below analysts' estimates.
The company managed to meet earnings estimates of $1.02 a share,
a gain of five percent from a year ago. IBM said it expects to hire
10,000 new workers in 2004. CEO Sam Palmisano said the company is
"beginning to see signs that the economy has stabilized,"
but cautioned that "It's too early to say that a rebound is
at hand."
Nightly Business
Report transcripts are available on-line post broadcast. The program
is transcribed by eMediaMillWorks. Updates may be posted at a later
date. The views of our guests and commentators are their own and
do not necessarily represent the views of Community Television Foundation
of South Florida, Inc. Nightly Business Report, or WPBT. Information
presented on Nightly Business Report is not and should not be considered
as investment advice. Copyright (c) 2003 Community Television Foundation
of South Florida, Inc. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. Terms of use.
10/15/03: GM Beats The Street
JEFF YASTINE: General Motors also reported better than expected
profits, as well, today, as lagging car sales were offset by profit
gains at the automaker's GMAC financing unit. General Motors said
it earned $0.79 a share in the third quarter. That far exceeding
Street estimates and turned around a major loss in the same period
last year. Now, profits on its auto making activities plunged sharply
in the quarter from year ago levels, but the GMAC financing group
notched record profits, thanks largely to new mortgage financing.
JOHN DEVINE, CFO, GENERAL MOTORS: We're pleased with the results
in the mortgage business. We're delighted with the overall track
record of GMAC. It's been great. But make no mistake, we know we
have to be successful in the car and truck business. That's our
focus. That's where we're geared. We're continuing to cutting costs.
That continues. We've been able to keep our profitability in this
business over the last couple of years, which has not been an easy
issue.
YASTINE: Devine also said the rising stock market has helped the
company's $25 billion pension funding shortfall. G.M. has also borrowed
billions through a contingent convertible bond offering to help
close that pension gap.
Nightly Business
Report transcripts are available on-line post broadcast. The program
is transcribed by eMediaMillWorks. Updates may be posted at a later
date. The views of our guests and commentators are their own and
do not necessarily represent the views of Community Television Foundation
of South Florida, Inc. Nightly Business Report, or WPBT. Information
presented on Nightly Business Report is not and should not be considered
as investment advice. Copyright (c) 2003 Community Television Foundation
of South Florida, Inc. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. Terms of use.
10/15/03: Market
Outlook With Ralph Acampora of Prudential Equity Group & Jeff
Degraaf of Lehman Brothers
SUSIE GHARIB: With earnings season well underway, investors have
been watching the daily reports for signs of market direction. But
through it all, the technical analysts have remained almost unanimously
bullish. Scott Gurvey reports.
SCOTT GURVEY, NIGHTLY BUSINESS REPORT CORRESPONDENT: With the
Dow Jones Industrial average once again approaching the 10,000 mark,
traders are beginning to wonder if the bubble is about to burst.
The Dow is up 17 percent, the S&P 500 18 percent, since the start
of the year. They are both up 32 percent from their March lows.
But with each gain, retail customers seem to be getting more nervous,
afraid of missing the action on one hand and at the same time afraid
of a downturn, which the technical experts say is coming, but not
right away.
RALPH ACAMPORA, ANALYST, PRUDENTIAL EQUITY GROUP: I see a lot of
people very concerned about the month of October. They are concerned
about the VIX Index, the insider seller, too many bulls, bull bear
numbers, et cetera. So the sentiment side of the technical picture
is still very, very negative. But whenever I have a problem like
that, I always default to price. And the price action, that tape
action is so powerful. The thing you really have to look at is the
breadth, the advancers over the declines. It's enormous.
GURVEY: The technicians see the Dow reaching 10,400 or 500, and
the S&P 500 between 1,120 and 1,150 before a correction, which their
charts tell them to watch out for next year.
JEFF DEGRAAF, ANALYST, LEHMAN BROTHERS: What we're seeing is low
quality stocks rallying, really the benefactors of liquidity, the
massive amounts of liquidity, both stimulus from the monetary side
and the fiscal side, and that this is sort of a one time shot, if
you will. But there a ren't a lot of additional inputs from that.
That's why we believe that you will have some issues coming into
2004. GURVEY: How the market reacts to those issues next year, the
technicians say, depends a lot upon market fundamentals, such as
the outcome of the presidential election and the state of the economy.
Scott Gurvey, NIGHTLY BUSINESS REPORT, New York.
Nightly Business Report transcripts
are available on-line post broadcast. The program is transcribed
by eMediaMillWorks. Updates may be posted at a later date. The views
of our guests and commentators are their own and do not necessarily
represent the views of Community Television Foundation of South
Florida, Inc. Nightly Business Report, or WPBT. Information presented
on Nightly Business Report is not and should not be considered as
investment advice. Copyright (c) 2003 Community Television Foundation
of South Florida, Inc. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. Terms of use.
10/15/03:
SEC Chairman Donaldson Gets Grilled On The
Hill
SUSIE GHARIB: Practice what your preach, that was the message
from the nation's top financial cop for the New York Stock Exchange.
Testifying on Capitol Hill today, Securities and Exchange Commission
Chairman William Donaldson told lawmakers his views on reshaping
the markets in view of the crisis at the NYSE. Stephanie Woods reports.
STEPHANIE WOODS, NIGHTLY BUSINESS REPORT CORRESPONDENT: With the
New York Stock Exchange under fire, SEC Chairman William Donaldson
told the Senate Banking Committee that self-regulatory organizations,
or SROs like the New York Stock Exchange, must live by the same
rules as the companies they govern.
WILLIAM DONALDSON, CHAIRMAN, SEC: SROs play a critical role as
the standard setters for sound governance practices. Just as SROs
have demanded that their listed companies strengthen their governance
practices, we must demand that, at a minimum, SROs match the standards
that they set for listed companies. Mentioned Last Change R 30.93
0.47dollars or (1.49%)
WOODS: The NYSE and the NASDAQ are the two largest markets that
police themselves. Big board Interim Chairman John Reed has already
met with the SEC, but will make his first appearance before Congress
tomorrow. The head of NASDAQ was in Washington today to lobby for
changes in its corporate structure. The NASDAQ spun off its regulatory
function from its market in 1997 after a pricing scandal. Now, NASDAQ
wants regulators to recognize it as an exchange so it can complete
the separation.
ROBERT GREIFELD, PRESIDENT, THE NASDAQ STOCK MARKET: We are of
a fundamental belief that the regulator has to be separated from
the market's center. It's just inconceivable in this post-Enron
day that you want the person who is being regulated to have any
sort of financial interest in the regulator.
WOODS: The NASDAQ applied for exchange recognition w ith the SEC
in November of 2000. A decision has yet to be made and that leaves
some in Congress wondering what's taking so long.
SEN. JIM BUNNING (NYSE:R), KENTUCKY: I am concerned with the length
of time it takes for an application to be approved or disapproved.
DONALDSON: This is an extremely complex subject. It's not just
--
BUNNING: I understand that, sir. I'm just asking you, over a period
of two years seems to be plenty of time to make a decision, even
though it's complex.
DONALDSON: It's not a simple decision for them alone. It's a decision
that has ramification for the entire rest of the marketplace.
WOODS: Donaldson says the SEC is proceeding carefully. He's concerned
big changes could unintentionally damage capital markets. Stephanie
Woods, NIGHTLY BUSINESS REPORT, Washington.
Nightly Business Report transcripts
are available on-line post broadcast. The program is transcribed
by eMediaMillWorks. Updates may be posted at a later date. The views
of our guests and commentators are their own and do not necessarily
represent the views of Community Television Foundation of South
Florida, Inc. Nightly Business Report, or WPBT. Information presented
on Nightly Business Report is not and should not be considered as
investment advice. Copyright (c) 2003 Community Television Foundation
of South Florida, Inc. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. Terms of use.
10/15/03: The Life
& Legacy of Malaysia Prime Minister Mahathir Mohamad
SUSIE GHARIB: He's Asia's longest serving elected leader, but
Mahathir Mohamad's days at the top are coming to an end. The outspoken
Malaysian prime minister is due to step down at the end of the month,
after almost 23 years in power. From Kuala Lumpur, Rian Maelzer
takes a look at Mahathir's legacy.
RIAN MAELZER, NIGHTLY BUSINESS REPORT CORRESPONDENT: Mahathir
Mohamad has won much praise for Malaysia's rapid economic development
and has been accused of allowing rampant cronyism to hurt the economy.
He's been credited with preserving harmony in this multi-ethnic
country and accused of dividing Malaysia thanks to his heavy-handed
leadership. Although broadly speaking a democracy, Malaysia under
Mahathir has been accused of human rights violations, including
the prosecution five years ago of former Deputy Prime Minister Anwar
Ibrahim. Many feel it was politically motivated and the U.S. Government
was among those that condemned the jailing of Anwar, Mahathir's
protege turned rival.
LIM KIT SIANG, DEMOCRATIC ACTION PARTY: It's undermined important
institutions of government and affecting the rule of law, the independence
of the judiciary, the important rule of parliament.
MAELZER: On the economic front, though, even most critics acknowledge
many successes. Mahathir's liberalization of the economy prompted
a massive influx of foreign investment and rapid industrialization.
That, in turn, helped slashed poverty and stimulate the emergence
of a thriving middle class. Mahathir has also overseen the creation
of impressive physical infrastructure and steered the country up
the industrial value chain into areas such as I.T.
ZULKIFLI ALWI, UNITED MALAYS NATL. ORGANIZATION: It is undeniable
that Dr. Mahathir has been the main architect in the programs that
we have chart ed in these fields.
MAELZER: All those achievements, though, took a hit with the onset
of Asian financial crisis in 1997. Mahathir chose not to follow
International Monetary Fund prescriptions, as Malaysia's neighbors
did. Instead, he controversially opted to pit the currency to the
dollar and institute strict controls to prevent capital flight.
Even many long time critics now praise his actions.
DR. CHANDRA MUZAFFAR, POLITICAL SCIENTIST: It was a very bold
position and it worked. I would regard his ability to protect the
nation's economic sovereignty and, indirectly, its political independence,
as a major achievement.
MAHATHIR MOHAMAD, MALAYSIA PRIME MINISTER: Find some way of protecting
yourself from such huge corporations.
MAELZER: The financial crisis turned Mahathir into an outspoken
critic of global capital. And that criticism has often taken the
form of anti-Western tirades, not something people expect from his
mild-mannered successor, Abdullah Badawi.
TERENCE GOMEZ, UNIVERSITY OF MALAYA: Mahathir has actually upset
a lot of people in the West, governments of the West. But now he
can play a more conciliatory role, especially in terms of trying
to draw in response from the West by toning down some of the rhetoric
that Mahathir has been propagating.
MAHATHIR: The result of this confrontation between the haves and
the have notes, the developed and the developing, is a world that
is practically ungovernable.
MAELZER: That same anti-Western rhetoric, though, coupled with
Malaysia's economic achievements, have made Mahathir a leading spokesman
for the developing world and many will be hoping that when the 77-year-old
steps down Malaysia's prime minister at the end of this month he
won't be stepping out of the international spotlight for good. Rian
Maelzer, NIGHTLY BUSINESS REPORT, Kuala Lumpur.
Nightly Business Report transcripts are available
on-line post broadcast. The program is transcribed by eMediaMillWorks.
Updates may be posted at a later date. The views of our guests and
commentators are their own and do not necessarily represent the
views of Community Television Foundation of South Florida, Inc.
Nightly Business Report, or WPBT. Information presented on Nightly
Business Report is not and should not be considered as investment
advice. Copyright (c) 2003 Community Television Foundation of South
Florida, Inc. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. Terms of use.
10/15/03:
Last Word:
Pizza Hut Gets Healthy
SUSIE GHARIB: And finally tonight, scientists at the Los Alamos
National Laboratory want to give "Jack and the Beanstalk" a run
for its money. The scientists are working on plans to build an elevator
reaching 62,000 miles into the sky so they can launch payloads like
satellites into space. They're doing the elevator research on their
own time and trying to come up with a proposal for the Department
of Energy. The space elevator would be made of carbon nano-tubes
and be attached to the Earth's equator on an oil rig type platform.
The scientists say a space elevator would dramatically cut the cost
of launching payloads into space: shuttle payloads currently cost
about $15,000 a kilogram. But payloads launched by the space elevator
would cost around $1000 a kilogram, Paul?
KANGAS: Nano-tubes, the whole thing sounds way out of this world
to me.
GHARIB: It's another language, that's for sure.
KANGAS: Crazy.
Nightly Business Report transcripts
are available on-line post broadcast. The program is transcribed
by eMediaMillWorks. Updates may be posted at a later date. The views
of our guests and commentators are their own and do not necessarily
represent the views of Community Television Foundation of South
Florida, Inc. Nightly Business Report, or WPBT. Information presented
on Nightly Business Report is not and should not be considered as
investment advice. Copyright (c) 2003 Community Television Foundation
of South Florida, Inc. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. Terms of use.
10/15/03: "Paul
Kangas' Stocks In The News"
Well, the indexes finally succumbed to profit taking pressures
today, despite Intel's (INTC) highly positive earnings report late
yesterday. The NASDAQ opened about 23 points higher and the Dow
hit 9,850 in the first minutes of trading. And that marked the highs
of the day, as traders began cashing in from the rally of recent
days.
The stocks managed a slight rebound at midday, as bargain hunters
stepped in and both indexes pushed back into positive territory.
But with about 90 minutes left in the session and perhaps fearing
what IBM might have to say, the selling heated up again and continued
into the close of trading.
The losses weren't too bad, though, the Dow falling nearly 10
points, to close at 9,803. The NASDAQ Composite falling just over
4 points, to 1,939. And the S&P 500 sliding 2 3/4 points.
Bonds fell following a pair of reports showing strength in the
economy. A New York Fed report on manufacturing showed a sharp rebound
in factory activity for October. Also, retail sales for August were
revised upward, to about 1.2 percent, and that was double the earlier
estimate.
So, the 10-year note falling 14/32, to 98 26/32. That pushed the
yield up to 4.4 percent.
And topping our list, El Paso Corp. (EP) falling $0.45. This happened
just before the close of trading. A two and a half million share
block sold for $7.25 a share, and that's where the stock closed
at.
EMC (EMC) falling $0.54. Investors expressing their disapproval
of its proposed stock swap acquisition of Documentum (DCTM) for
$1.7 billion worth of shares.
No change in Lucent Technologies (LU).
NorTel Networks (NT) edging up $0.02.
Tyco (TYC) losing a $0.05, but still near its two year high, except
just recently in the last few trading sessions.
GE (GE) losing $0.44.
Nokia (NOK) ending up $0.16.
Pfizer (PFE) settling $0.28 lower.
Micron Technologies (MU) gaining $0.17.
Hewlett-Packard (HPQ) advancing a little over $0.50.
CarMax (KMX) tumbling a little over $6. The company warned that
third quarter earnings will likely come in as low as $0.16 a share.
The heavy discounts being offered by auto makers for new cars are
apparently making a dent in CarMax's own used car marketplace.
St. Jude Medical (STJ) climbing $3.70. Third quarter earnings
rose 18 percent and revenues rose 18 percent, as well. The company's
implantable defibrillators sold nicely. They were up 28 percent
in sales for the quarter.
Shares in Harley-Davidson (HDI) skidding $3.30. The company had
record third quarter earnings. But revenues were flat with year
ago levels and it looks like the company is planning on selling
fewer hogs in 2004. Analysts were a little surprised by that.
Shares in EDO (EDO) jumping $2.61. The company won a contract
to develop passive sonar technology for U.S. Navy submarines. Raymond
James (RJF) thinks the company should get a boost with defense contracts
for its electronic bomb jamming gear, as well.
Here's another defense company, Carlisle Companies (CSL). It surged
$6.09. It reported stronger than expected third quarter profits
of $0.80 a share. That was $0.08 above Street estimates and the
company expects 2003 earnings to come in at the high end of forecasts.
Clear Channel Communications (CCU) sliding nearly a $1. The Soundview
Brokerage sees continued weakness in the advertising market and
so it downgraded Clear Channel and Viacom (VIA).
Triad Hospitals (TRI) plunging nearly $4. The stock fell after
the company said it will increase its allowance for uncollected
debts by $50 million. Those are owed by uninsured patients and the
like.
Over on the NASDAQ, mostly gainers despite the smaller loss in
the broader index.
Intel (INTC) gaining $0.68. You heard the earnings news last night.
The stock hit its high of the day at $32.75 at the start of the
session and sold off from there.
Microsoft (MSFT) picked up $0.55.
Applied Materials (AMAT) gaining $0.70. Some think this company
and other chip equipment makers might get hurt by Intel's decision,
which it announced last night, that it'll spend only a small amount
extra on chip research and design. It didn't seem to hurt the stock
today.
Cisco Systems (CSCO) off $0.12. It settled a lawsuit with a Chinese
company that was illegally copying Cisco's router software technology.
The terms of the settlement were not disclosed.
And here's SanDisk (SNDK) surging more than $3. It makes digital
camera components. It had healthy third quarter profits of $0.60
a share. That was $0.16 above Wall Street targets. Revenues doubled
and it raised its 2003 revenue forecast.
Dell (DELL) picked up $0.21.
Amgen (AMGN) losing $1.48.
KLA-Tencor (KLAC), another chip equipment maker, up $1.22.
Amazon (AMZN) losing $1.37.
Novellus (NVLS) gaining $1.12. Shares hit a high early today of
nearly $40, but could not hold. Last night the company reported
a net loss of $0.64 a share. Net sales in the third quarter fell
about four percent from year ago levels.
ASML Holdings (ASML) moved up $0.87. This is another chip equipment
maker and it reported a smaller than expected quarterly loss and
it says it has seen equipment orders picking up rather sharply in
the last few weeks.
And here's a look at SCO Group (SCOX), surging almost $5. A Deutsche
Bank (DB) analyst started coverage of the company and put a price
target of $45 a share on the stock. For background, SCO is involved
in a $1 billion lawsuit with IBM, which it says illegally embedded
some of its software in the Linux operating software that IBM itself
gives away.
Authentidate Holdings (ADAT), this one also moved because of an
analyst's recommendation at Roth Capital Partners. The company's
software allows users to sign and seal electronic documents.
And finally Audiovoxx (VOXX) tumbling $2.02. Analysts were expecting
profits of $0.07 a share, but fiscal third quarter profits came
in at $0.03 a share and investors sold the stock.
And that's a look at our stocks in the news tonight.
Nightly Business Report transcripts
are available on-line post broadcast. The program is transcribed
by eMediaMillWorks. Updates may be posted at a later date. The views
of our guests and commentators are their own and do not necessarily
represent the views of Community Television Foundation of South
Florida, Inc. Nightly Business Report, or WPBT. Information presented
on Nightly Business Report is not and should not be considered as
investment advice. Copyright (c) 2003 Community Television Foundation
of South Florida, Inc. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. Terms of use.
10/15/03:
Market Stats
NET PERCENT
CLOSE CHANGE CHANGE
DOW CLOSE 9803.05 -9.93 - .1
HIGH 9850.01
LOW 9764.46
NASDAQ COMP. 1939.10 -4.09 -.2
HIGH 1966.87
LOW 1933.03
VOLUME 1,474.3
PREVIOUS 1,253.5
UP VOLUME 515.5
DOWN VOLUME 925.3
DOW TRANSPORTS 2863.64 -18.02 - .6
DOW UTILITIES 252.43 -2.58 - 1.0
CLOSING TICK +323
S&P 500 1046.76 -2.73 - .3
S&P 100 522.14 -1.16 - .2
MIDCAP 400 540.71 -4.21 - .8
REUTERS/CRB 247.64 -.11 - .0
NYSE COMPOSITE 5935.61 -24.67 - .4
VALUE LINE 340.61 -1.67 -0.49
RUSSELL 2000 527.35 -4.49 -0.84
WILSHIRE 5000 10174.82 -36.32 -0.36
U.S. TREASURIES
5-YEAR NOTE 3.125%
Sept. 15,2008 99 7/32 -11/32 3.30
10-YEAR NOTE 4.25%
Aug. 15,2013 98 26/32 -14/32 4.40
30-YEAR NOTE 5.375%
Feb. 15, 2031 101 7/32 -16/32 5.29
LEHMAN BROS.
LONG BOND INDEX 1692.68 -7.74
DOW CLOSE 9803.05 -9.93 - .1
ADVANCES 1245
DECLINES 1985
NEW HIGHS 395
NEW LOWS 7
NET PERCENT
NYSE MOST ACTIVES 4PM CLOSE CHANGE CHANGE
EP El Paso Corp 7.25 -.45 -5.8
EMC Emc Corp 12.80 -.54 -4.1
LU Lucent Tech 2.35 unch. unch.
NT Nortel Networks 4.64 +.02 +.4
TYC Tyco Intl 21.90 -.05 -.2
GE GE 28.85 -.44 -1.5
NOK Nokia Corp 17.23 +.16 +.9
PFE Pfizer 30.60 -.28 -.9
MU Micron Tech 12.81 +.17 +1.3
HPQ Hewlett-Packard 21.92 +.53 +2.5
NASDAQ CLOSE 1939.10 - 4.09 - .2
VOLUME 2,019.9
PREVIOUS 1,763.1
ADVANCES 1299
DECLINES 1850
NASDAQ ACTIVES
INTC Intel 31.76 +.68 +2.2
MSFT Microsoft 29.07 +.55 +1.9
AMAT Applied Matl 21.60 +.70 +3.4
CSCO Cisco Systems 21.02 -.12 -.6
SNDK Sandisk 78.65 +3.21 +4.3
DELL Dell Inc 36.25 +.21 +.6
AMGN Amgen 65.33 -1.48 -2.2
KLAC KLA Tencor 60.03 +1.22 +2.1
AMZN Amazon.com 58.54 -1.37 -2.3
NVLS Novellus Sys 38.54 +1.12 +3.0
AMEX CLOSE 1017.54 - 6.09 - .6
INDEX SHARES
DIA DIAMONDS TRUST 98.22 -.14 -.1
QQQ NASDAQ 100 35.18 -.14 -.4
SPY S&P DEP.RECEIPTS 104.99 -.27 -.3
STOCKS IN THE NEWS
KMX Carmax 32.31 -6.94 -17.7
STJ St Jude Medical 57.40 +3.70 +6.9
HDI Harley-Davidson 49.15 -3.30 -6.3
EDO Edo Corp 22.85 +2.61 +12.9
CSL Carlisle Cos 52.88 +6.09 +13.0
CCU Clear Channel 40.91 -.94 -2.3
TRI Triad Hospitals 28.90 -3.97 -12.1
ASML ASML Holding NV 15.65 +.86 +5.8
SCOX SCO Group Inc 20.50 +4.97 +32.0
ADAT AuthentiDate 10.87 +3.00 +38.1
VOXX Audiovox 11.98 -2.02 -14.4