Program: Wednesday, December 17, 2003
Lehman
Brothers & Bear Stearns Have A Bullish Quarter
The
NYSE's Division of Power
Inside
the Boardroom-Part 1: The Sarbanes-Oxley Influence
Money
File-Investors Should Take A Shine To Gold In 2004
Last Word: Santa Bags Some Big Winners
Paul Kangas' Stocks In The News
Market Stats
12/17/03: Lehman Brothers & Bear Stearns Have A Bullish Quarter
SUSIE GHARIB: On Wall Street today, stocks ended with little change. The Dow rose 15
points and the NASDAQ slipped 3. But it was a rosier picture for two of
Wall Street's biggest brokerage firms. Lehman Brothers and Bear Stearns
both reported strong earnings for the latest quarter.
Erika Miller reports.
ERIKA MILLER, NIGHTLY BUSINESS REPORT CORRESPONDENT: Bear Stearns and
Lehman Brothers have bond investors to thank for stellar earnings. A
strong fixed income business continued to power profits at both firms,
just as it has done for the past few years.
LAUREN SMITH, BROKERAGE ANALYST, KEEFE BRUYETTE WOODS: For the earnings
that were just reported, we saw again a very, very strong contribution
from the fixed income businesses, although not quite as strong as last
quarter.
MILLER: Bear made $2.19 a share during the period, up from $1.50 a year
ago. And Lehman earned $1.71 a share, a huge increase from the $0.69
cents last year. But analysts were more impressed by upbeat comments
from both companies about their fixed income businesses. Many investors
had been fearful that bond revenues could fall off a cliff in 2004
before equity revenues rise enough to carry the firm's profits.
CHRISTOPHER ECCLESTONE, BROKERAGE INDUSTRY ANALYST, CANTILLON & COMPANY:
They're very vulnerable to a downturn in fixed income because,
particularly Bear Stearns, doesn't have a very strong position in equity
IPOs. They tend to even in the best of times do like the second tier
issues.
MILLER: But Bear Stearn's chief financial officer said, We think the
fixed income environment continues to be quite robust." And Lehman's CFO
said, "Broadly, we are bullish on fixed income," although he did warn
that bond issuance will likely fall about 11 percent next year from
2003's record level.
SMITH: I think that's reassuring. I think most of us were expecting a
more substantial decline. It still remains to be seen and, of course,
it's just a projection. But it's coming off a tremendous base. So, to me
10, 11, even 15 percent decline year on year is not tremendous.
MILLER: The brokerage firms also reassured investors that most of their
businesses are improving, including stock trading and underwriting. But
analysts warn there are still significant risks to the sector.
ECCLESTONE: If we start to see fixed income, and that would be
particularly the case in a higher interest rate environment, then some
of these companies could have some problems.
MILLER: Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley report their results tomorrow.
Although those firms have smaller bond trading operations, analysts
still predict their results will still be strong. Erika Miller, NIGHTLY BUSINESS REPORT, New York.
Nightly Business
Report transcripts are available on-line post broadcast. The program
is transcribed by eMediaMillWorks. Updates may be posted at a later
date. The views of our guests and commentators are their own and
do not necessarily represent the views of Community Television Foundation
of South Florida, Inc. Nightly Business Report, or WPBT. Information
presented on Nightly Business Report is not and should not be considered
as investment advice. Copyright (c) 2003 Community Television Foundation
of South Florida, Inc. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. Terms of use.
12/17/03: The NYSE's Division of Power
SUSIE GHARIB: The Securities and Exchange Commission OKed the overhaul plan of
the New York Stock Exchange today on one condition -- the big board must
split the job of chairman of the board and chief executive officer. The
new reforms are one response to the scandal over the lavish pay package
of former NYSE Chairman Richard Grasso.
Here's Darren Gersh with more.
DARREN GERSH, NIGHTLY BUSINESS REPORT CORRESPONDENT: Citing what he
called the unfortunate experience of the recent past, Securities and
Exchange Commission Chairman William Donaldson says he pressed the New
York Stock Exchange to make sure its next chairman will not also hold
the title of CEO. This morning, Donaldson announced Interim Exchange
Chairman John Reed had agreed to the split.
WILLIAM DONALDSON, CHAIRMAN, SEC: In this way, the New York Stock
Exchange should be in a better position to protect against the
concentration of too much executive authority in one individual.
GERSH: With that deal in hand, the SEC went on to approve an overhaul of
the big board's governance rules. A new, smaller board of independent
directors will now oversee the Exchange. Those directors must not work
for the Exchange, its members, or listed companies. The Exchange will
also create a new regulatory office run by a chief regulatory officer
who is appointed by and reports to the independent board.
Without mentioning Richard Grasso by name, the commissioners made it
clear they hoped the new rules would lead to tougher oversight, avoiding
a repeat of the furor over the $188 million pay package for the former
chairman. But for now, the commissioners refused to go further and split
off completely the exchange's widely criticized regulatory office,
though it is still an option.
HARVEY GOLDSCHMID, COMMISSIONER, SEC: I'm not sure that these changes
will be enough. But we will watch them carefully. In voting to approve
the rule changes today, we are making -- or certainly I am making no
commitment to continue them in the future.
GERSH: Pension funds continue to step up the pressure for reform at the
New York Stock Exchange. The AFL-CIO says it may join the lawsuit filed
yesterday by California pension giant CalPERS.
WILLIAM PATTERSON, OFFICE OF INVESTMENT DIRECTOR, AFL-CIO: We support
their claim and we will be -- we're reviewing the law suit right now and
we'll be taking up the same issue, the lack of market regulation and the
lack of effective oversight, and addressing it ourselves.
GERSH: Donaldson defended the commission, saying an intensive
investigation of self dealing by exchange specialists was launched as
soon as the issue came to light. Darren Gersh, NIGHTLY BUSINESS REPORT, Washington.
Nightly Business
Report transcripts are available on-line post broadcast. The program
is transcribed by eMediaMillWorks. Updates may be posted at a later
date. The views of our guests and commentators are their own and
do not necessarily represent the views of Community Television Foundation
of South Florida, Inc. Nightly Business Report, or WPBT. Information
presented on Nightly Business Report is not and should not be considered
as investment advice. Copyright (c) 2003 Community Television Foundation
of South Florida, Inc. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. Terms of use.
12/17/03: Inside the Boardroom-Part 1: The Sarbanes-Oxley Influence
SUSIE GHARIB: The boardrooms of American public companies are undergoing
a revolution in corporate governance thanks to the Sarbanes-Oxley
legislation, which was approved last year. The new federal law was
designed to give greater scrutiny to corporate boards of directors, but
the law is having a far reaching impact.
In the first of a two part series, Inside the Boardroom, Jeff Yastine
looks at how Sarbanes-Oxley is influencing behavior in boardrooms
everywhere.
JEFF YASTINE, NIGHTLY BUSINESS REPORT CORRESPONDENT: It is a scene
replayed thousands of times around the country each month -- a board of
directors meeting and a dozen or more people sitting around a conference
table. But instead of a Fortune 500 publicly traded company, this is a
board meeting at the University of Miami, a private and not for profit
institution of higher learning. With a budget of more than $1 billion
and more than 8,000 employees, the University has started changing how
its board of directors works and makes decisions, not because it has to,
but because it wants to.
DAVID LIEBERMAN, SENIOR V.P., FINANCE, UNIVERSITY OF MIAMI: Only public
companies are subject to Sarbanes-Oxley. So theoretically we could have
ignored it. But we chose not to because I think that those
constituencies whom we serve, especially our board members, who are
also, many of whom are corporate executives and directors of public
companies, are seeing what's going on in corporate America and would
expect their favorite university to behave similarly.
YASTINE: The Sarbanes-Oxley law does not apply to non-profit and not for
profit groups, but most experts believe it's only a matter of time
before many institutions, from charities to universities, face similar
reforms.
New York Attorney General Eliot Spitzer has already proposed new state
legislation aimed specifically at non-profit boardroom governance. And
the National Association of College and University Business Officers or
NACUBO, for short, has issued its first ever recommendations for
adapting to the new standards of corporate governance.
JAMES MORLEY, PRESIDENT, NACUBO: The budgets of some colleges and
universities, or some universities, rather, are in excess of $2 billion.
And those, in the corporate world, would be quite a large corporation.
So there is a lot of accountability that's expected of boards and I
think in this day and age of expected improved governance, it will have
an impact.
YASTINE: The group's recommendations mirror the Sarbanes-Oxley law.
Audit committees, which are supposed to make sure money is spent
correctly, should be given greater independence; boards should adopt a
code of ethics for themselves and define potential conflicts of
interest. The group also recommends the adoption of so-called
whistleblower protections, so fraudulent activity can be reported
without fearing the loss of a job.
However, non-profit boards, as a group, appear to be slow to change. A
recent survey by the Grant Thornton accounting firm found that little
more than one third of non-profit boards had even discussed the impact
of Sarbanes-Oxley on their own operations. And a little more than 10
percent had made any effort to increase the independence of their own
audit committees.
ROBERT LEAVY, NATIONAL MANAGING PARTNER, GRANT THORNTON: So many of the people
who sit on the boards of these not for profits are the movers and
shakers of the community. They're involved with public companies.
They should be aware of what's going on for Sarbanes-Oxley. You
would think that their funders are interested in this, you would
think that their donors are interested in this and you would think
that the readers of their financial statements are interested in
this.
YASTINE: Experts say the lack of change is due in part to habit, no
great desire for the extra scrutiny and the increased cost of complying
with a higher governance standard. But there are costs for not
complying, as well.
LEAVY: I sit on some boards, too. And the last thing I want to do is
open the newspaper in the morning over my coffee and read my name or the
name of my organization.
YASTINE: The man leading the changes at the University of Miami puts it
a different way.
LIEBERMAN: We sell only two things in higher education. We sell our
ability to deliver research, teaching and patient care; and we sell our
reputations. So integrity is the cornerstone of our reputation.
YASTINE: A reputation the University hopes to enhance with better
boardroom governance. Jeff Yastine, NIGHTLY BUSINESS REPORT, Miami.
Nightly Business
Report transcripts are available on-line post broadcast. The program
is transcribed by eMediaMillWorks. Updates may be posted at a later
date. The views of our guests and commentators are their own and
do not necessarily represent the views of Community Television Foundation
of South Florida, Inc. Nightly Business Report, or WPBT. Information
presented on Nightly Business Report is not and should not be considered
as investment advice. Copyright (c) 2003 Community Television Foundation
of South Florida, Inc. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. Terms of use.
12/17/03: Money File-Investors Should Take A Shine To Gold In 2004
SUSIE GHARIB: In tonight's money file, why gold is key to predicting next year's stock
market performance.
Here's Bill Barnhart, Financial Markets Columnist at the "Chicago Tribune."
BILL BARNHART, FINANCIAL MARKETS COLUMNIST, "CHICAGO TRIBUNE": Wall
Street is brimming over with expert forecasts next year. Since we seem
to have avoided a fourth straight annual decline in stock prices,
predicting the coming year is a bit more fun this time.
Call me a contrarian, but I've got my eye on another market: gold.
During the bull market in stocks in the late 1990s, hardly anyone paid
attention to gold. The metal was stuck below $300 an ounce for nearly
four years in a row. But when gold marched above $400 earlier this month
and held at nearly eight year highs, many investors took notice.
If you're familiar with the notion of matter and anti-matter, think of
gold as anti-stock. The optimism reflected in current stock prices
stands in sharp contrast to the pessimism embedded in the broad-based
demand for gold. Investing in stock means willingness to take risks.
Buying gold is viewed as a safe haven against risk.
Stronger gold prices mirror a weaker dollar. A weaker dollar, in turn,
reflects a lack of confidence in the United States. Higher gold prices
also represent fears of inflation. The threat of terrorism already has
helped pushed gold higher and will continue to do so in 2004.
My forecast for stock prices would be a lot more bullish if the
anti-stock was in retreat.
I'm Bill Barnhart.
Nightly Business
Report transcripts are available on-line post broadcast. The program
is transcribed by eMediaMillWorks. Updates may be posted at a later
date. The views of our guests and commentators are their own and
do not necessarily represent the views of Community Television Foundation
of South Florida, Inc. Nightly Business Report, or WPBT. Information
presented on Nightly Business Report is not and should not be considered
as investment advice. Copyright (c) 2003 Community Television Foundation
of South Florida, Inc. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. Terms of use.
12/17/03: Last Word: Santa Bags Some Big Winners
SUSIE GHARIB: And finally, it looks like Santa's portfolio went from
naughty to nice in 2003, outpacing the Dow with an increase of 41
percent. Southwest Bank (SWCB.OB) of Texas tracks a hypothetical
portfolio of 21 companies that Santa might invest in. As a frequent
purchaser of reindeer, toys and sleigh supplies, Santa's portfolio
includes firms like Petsmart (PETM), Tractor Supply Company (TSCO) and
Hasbro (HAS).
And with increased demand for electronics like DVD players, Santa has
added Best Buy (BBY) to his bag of winners. Santa has had a few stinkers
this year, including retailer Mothers Work (MWRK) and video game makers
Nintendo and Nintendo
Midway Games (MWY).
But, Paul, after the lumps of coal investors have had to bear in the
last few years, I guess you could call Santa's portfolio performance a
miracle on Wall Street.
KANGAS: And I think it would be a good idea to save those lumps of coal
if you got them, because the price of coal has gone up rather sharply
and so have the stocks.
GHARIB: I think I'm going to ask Santa as my Christmas present that I
want his stock portfolio.
KANGAS: There you go.
Nightly Business
Report transcripts are available on-line post broadcast. The program
is transcribed by eMediaMillWorks. Updates may be posted at a later
date. The views of our guests and commentators are their own and
do not necessarily represent the views of Community Television Foundation
of South Florida, Inc. Nightly Business Report, or WPBT. Information
presented on Nightly Business Report is not and should not be considered
as investment advice. Copyright (c) 2003 Community Television Foundation
of South Florida, Inc. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. Terms of use.
12/17/03:
"Paul Kangas' Stocks In The News"
PAUL KANGAS: Wall Street opened modestly lower on profit taking in the blue
chips after yesterday's solid rally and high tech stocks remained under
selling pressure as investors locked in this year's sizable profits in
that sector.
Early in the session, the Dow fell nearly 30 points. The NASDAQ dropped 12.
The market stayed modestly lower as the dollar fell to another new low
against the Euro. But in the absence of any major economic reports,
trading activity was lackluster.
The orderly retreat gradually did attract some buyers, who felt the path
of least resistance was higher. And that helped the Dow Jones Industrial
average close with a gain of 15.70, at 10,145.26.
The NASDAQ Composite ended down just about 3 points, at 1,921.33.
The Standard & Poor's 500 Index rose 1.35, to 1,076.48.
In the bond market, the 10-year note climbed 8/32 to, par and 17/32,
putting the yield at 4.18 percent.
Topping our stocks in the news tonight, a hot initial public
offering.
And there we see it, China Life Insurance (LFC), the largest life
insurer in that country, went public on the big board today, trading 100
or offering 153.7 million American depository shares. The offering price
was $18.68 a share. It opened at $23.25, got as high as $25.15, back
down a bit, but still up $5.04 from the offering price on the day.
That's a 27 percent gain. It traded 30.4 million shares. And
incidentally, the trading symbol on the big board is LFC.
G.E. (GE), second in volume, moved up $0.08.
Interpublic Group (IPG) up $0.85. The global advertising firm sold $325
million in convertible preferred stock. And the chief exec said that
this year is going to be a record year for new business.
Nokia (NOK) down $0.47.
Wal-Mart Stores (WMT) up $0.60, number five in big board volume.
Circuit City Stores (CC) lost $0.74, as you heard. The company lost
$0.12, about a $0.05 worse than expected.
Then Pfizer (PFE), a $0.25 loss there.
Lucent Technologies (LU) dropped $0.03.
Motorola (MOT), a $0.16 loss.
Tenth in big board volume, Liberty Media (L), up $0.13.
There you see Best Buy's (BBY) stock rising almost $2, or four percent.
Third quarter earnings, as you heard, were strong, and now that caused
Jefferies Brokerage to upgrade it from "hold" to "buy," with a $58 a
share target. Standard & Poor's also repeated a "buy" on Best Buy.
Family Dollar Stores (FDO), another retailer, up $1.80. This stock was
recommended on this program nearly two weeks ago by our market monitor
Bob Drach and today the W.R. Hambrecht Brokerage began covering the
stock with a "buy" recommendation.
FedEx (FDX) down $3.30. Second quarter earnings came in at $0.87. That
was $0.03 below the Street estimate. The company blamed costs for early
retirements and severance pay for the drop.
Boston Scientific (BSX) moved up $1.98. A Dutch court found the company
infringed on just one Israeli firm's patent, not four, as alleged. But
it did rule also that Boston Scientific had continued to sell its heart
devices outside the Netherlands.
Commercial Metals (CMC) had a big day, up $2.90. The steel recycling
company came in with first quarter earnings of $0.44, way up from $0.08
last year, and revenues jumped 30 percent.
Winnebago Industries (WGO), the recreational vehicle maker, up $4.85.
First quarter earnings, $1.01, up from last year's $0.85. And the Street
estimate was for only $0.86 in earnings. Beat that easily.
Black Hills Corp. (BKH) had a rough day, down $4.33. The company sees
fourth quarter earnings of only $0.25 to $0.30. That's versus a $0.55
Wall Street earnings estimate. The company blamed poor results from its
power generation business and losses from its communications segment.
The firm is based in Rapid City, South Dakota.
The NASDAQ's most active was Intel (INTC), moving down $0.09.
Microsoft (MSFT) lost $0.02.
Cisco (CSCO), a $0.28 loss there.
Amgen (AMGN) moved up $1.77, however.
And Dell (DELL), a $0.29 gain, fifth in dollar volume.
Orbitz A (ORBZ), this is the third largest online travel reservation
firm. It went public. 12.2 million shares offered at $26. The stock
opened at $30. It traded as high as $30.75 and then came the selling. It
dropped to as low as $24.44 and then back up a little bit, to $24.98,
but still down $1.02 from the offering price.
Applied Materials (AMAT) down $0.32.
Amazon.com (AMZN) fell $1.92.
SanDisk (SNDK) recovering $1.54.
And Oracle (ORCL) down $0.13.
Another new issue, Provide Commerce (PRVD). Now this company went public
today on 4.3 million offered at $15. It traded, it opened at $15.50,
traded as high as $16 and then down she went, to $13, $2 below the
offering price. Incidentally, it sells perishable goods on the Internet.
Netflix (NFLX) up $5.69. The online DVD rental company has increased its
fourth quarter subscription growth forecast and said its fourth quarter
will be profitable.
Lacrosse Footwear (BOOT) up $1.09. The company got a $4.9 million
contract from the U.S. military to make desert boots.
And Rambus (RMBS) down $4.17. A judge has asked the Federal Trade
Commission for a two month extension in order to make a ruling on
charges the company illegally monopolized key computer chip technologies.
And those are the stocks in the news tonight.
Nightly Business Report transcripts
are available on-line post broadcast. The program is transcribed
by eMediaMillWorks. Updates may be posted at a later date. The views
of our guests and commentators are their own and do not necessarily
represent the views of Community Television Foundation of South
Florida, Inc. Nightly Business Report, or WPBT. Information presented
on Nightly Business Report is not and should not be considered as
investment advice. Copyright (c) 2003 Community Television Foundation
of South Florida, Inc. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. Terms of use.
12/17/03:
Market Stats
NET PERCENT
CLOSE CHANGE CHANGE
DOW CLOSE 10145.26 +15.70 + .2
HIGH 10146.38
LOW 10094.75
NASDAQ COMP. 1921.33 -2.96 -.2
HIGH 1926.00
LOW 1910.24
VOLUME 1,406.7
PREVIOUS 1,511.3
UP VOLUME 751.8
DOWN VOLUME 598.3
DOW TRANSPORTS 2966.30 -.98 - .0
DOW UTILITIES 257.60 +1.93 + .8
CLOSING TICK +703
S&P 500 1076.48 +1.35 + .1
S&P 100 535.20 +.45 + .1
MIDCAP 400 560.14 +1.48 + .3
REUTERS/CRB 261.35 +2.04 + .8
NYSE COMPOSITE 6215.99 +8.94 + .1
VALUE LINE 349.72 +.82 0.24
RUSSELL 2000 538.72 +.98 0.18
WILSHIRE 5000 10455.4 +14.00 0.13
U.S. TREASURIES
5-YEAR NOTE 3.375%
Nov. 15,2008 100 28/32 +1/32 3.18
10-YEAR NOTE 4.25%
Nov. 15,2013 100 17/32 +8/32 4.18
30-YEAR NOTE 5.375%
Feb. 15, 2031 105 5/32 +21/32 5.03
LEHMAN BROS.
LONG BOND INDEX 1734.55 +6.72
DOW CLOSE 10145.26 +15.70 + .2
ADVANCES 1924
DECLINES 1302
NEW HIGHS 250
NEW LOWS 11
NET PERCENT
NYSE MOST ACTIVES 4PM CLOSE CHANGE CHANGE
LFC China Life Insur 23.72 unch. unch.
GE GE 30.73 +.08 +.3
IPG Interpublic Group 14.62 +.85 +6.2
NOK Nokia 17.12 -.47 -2.7
WMT Wal-Mart 51.90 +.60 +1.2
CC Circuit City 10.34 -.74 -6.7
PFE Pfizer 34.35 -.25 -.7
LU Lucent Tech 2.87 -.03 -1.0
MOT Motorola 13.17 -.16 -1.2
L Liberty Media 11.07 +.13 +1.2
NASDAQ CLOSE 1921.33 - 2.96 - .2
VOLUME 1,505.3
PREVIOUS 1,811.5
ADVANCES 1426
DECLINES 1746
NASDAQ ACTIVES
INTC Intel 30.17 -.09 -.3
MSFT Microsoft 27.04 -.02 -.1
CSCO Cisco Systems 23.49 -.28 -1.2
AMGN Amgen 62.15 +1.77 +2.9
DELL Dell Inc 32.94 +.29 +.9
ORBZ Orbitz "A" 24.98 -1.02 -3.9
AMAT Applied Matl 21.00 -.32 -1.5
AMZN Amazon.com 47.58 -1.92 -3.9
SNDK SanDisk 56.79 +1.54 +2.8
ORCL Oracle Corp 13.25 +.13 +1.0
AMEX CLOSE 1135.24 + 5.86 + .5
INDEX SHARES
DIA DIAMONDS TRUST 101.86 +.36 +.4
QQQ NASDAQ 100 34.92 +.07 +.2
SPY S&P DEP.RECEIPTS 108.50 +.34 +.3
STOCKS IN THE NEWS
BBY Best Buy 51.50 +1.98 +4.0
FDO Family Dollar 34.45 +1.80 +5.5
FDX FedEx 71.01 -3.30 -4.4
BSX Boston Scientific 35.78 +1.98 +5.9
CMC Commercial Metal 30.00 +2.90 +10.7
WGO Winnebago Inds 65.23 +4.85 +8.0
BKH Black Hills 28.21 -4.33 -13.3
PRVD Provide Commerce 13.00 -2.00 -13.3
NFLX Netflix 50.49 +5.69 +12.7
BOOT LaCrosse Footwear 6.81 +1.09 +19.0
RMBS Rambus 25.88 -4.17 -13.9