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Program: Monday, September 13, 2004

US Airways Makes A Return Trip To Bankruptcy
Independent Research May Soon Become The Norm On Wall Street
China Takes A Shine To Old Scrap Metal
One On One With Andrew Davis of The Davis Real Estate Fund
Last Word: Oprah's Great Car Giveaway
Paul Kangas' Stocks In The News
Market Stats

09/13/04: US Airways Makes A Return Trip To Bankruptcy

JEFF YASTINE: U.S. Airways has landed in bankruptcy court again. For the second time in two years and despite cutting $2 billion in costs, the carrier is still desperately short of cash. A last-ditch effort failed over the weekend to get $800 million in concessions from its labor unions, leaving the struggling carrier with no choice but Chapter 11. Stephanie Woods reports.

STEPHANIE WOODS, NIGHTLY BUSINESS REPORT: Soaring fuel prices set back U.S. Airways financial turnaround plans by $220 million this year. In bankruptcy court in Virginia today, the airline admitted it misjudged revenues by a staggering $1.3 billion. That's because it underestimated how quickly low-cost carriers would eat into its business. U.S. Airways CEO Bruce Lakefield says that mistake won't be made again.

BRUCE LAKEFIELD, CEO, US AIRWAYS: I think our people are professional people. I think they understand the realities of the business today and I think eventually they will come around to understand what's going on in the airline industry.

WOODS: What's going on is grim for U.S. Airways. It costs the company $140 per seat to fly from Philadelphia to Fort Lauderdale. It costs a discount competitor like Southwest $70 a seat for the same route. With a ticket price of $100, U.S. Airways is losing its shirt. Labor costs are a huge part of that discrepancy. The airlines highest paid employees are its pilots, who have dug in their heels over a new contract, but who will now be forced to give concessions.

CAPTAIN JACK STEPHAN, AIR LINE PILOTS ASSOCIATION: There are no forgone conclusions at this point. We will continue to negotiate with the company. We were making some progress, not enough to get a deal at the end of the -- by today, but as I said, we will continue in those efforts.

WOODS: With a cash shortage and little chance of any new financing, U.S. Airways asked the court to skip $110 million pension payment. Analysts say labor costs must be cut quickly for the company to survive, and the airline is also trying to abandon leases for its big planes, keeping its smaller, more fuel-efficient ones.

KEVIN SCHORR, RESEARCH DIRECTOR, CAMPBELL HILL AVIATION GROUP: A key issue for U.S. Airways right now is to retain delivery and all the positions of their regional jets, because that is key to them transforming into whatever carrier they are going to be down the road.

WOODS: The company says passengers shouldn't notice any disruptions from the financial reorganization. The carrier says it flew 125,000 travelers to 182 destinations today. U.S. Airways says it hopes to emerge from this bankruptcy quickly. Last time, the carrier spent about eight months in Chapter 11. Now company management must convince employees, creditors and customers it can fly right this time. Stephanie Woods, NIGHTLY BUSINESS REPORT, Alexandria, Virginia.

PAUL KANGAS: Also tonight, Delta Airlines says it is meeting with its bankruptcy lawyers just in case it needs to file for Chapter 11. But Delta also says it's hopeful it can reach a deal with its pilots union by the end of the week to avoid bankruptcy. The company says meeting with lawyers now is prudent in the event it has to file for bankruptcy. Delta's sky-high labor costs, as well as rising its jet fuel prices and expensive borrowing costs are all causing financial turbulence for the struggling carrier.

Nightly Business Report transcripts are available on-line post broadcast. The program is transcribed by eMediaMillWorks. Updates may be posted at a later date. The views of our guests and commentators are their own and do not necessarily represent the views of Community Television Foundation of South Florida, Inc. Nightly Business Report, or WPBT. Information presented on Nightly Business Report is not and should not be considered as investment advice. Copyright (c) 2003 Community Television Foundation of South Florida, Inc. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. Terms of use.

09/13/04: Independent Research May Soon Become The Norm On Wall Street

PAUL KANGAS: The trading scandals on Wall Street sparked a slew of reforms in the industry, including a push for independent research. For the last two months, a dozen Wall Street firms have been offering independent research to clients after charges that the brokers' own analysts were biased in favor of investment banking customers. Scott Gurvey updates how that process is going.

SCOTT GURVEY, NIGHTLY BUSINESS REPORT CORRESPONDENT: Wall Street's biggest firms will spend more than $430 million over the next five years to offer independently produced research to their clients. Each firm nominated three outside consultants to direct the programs. Then Federal and state regulators selected and assigned the consultants to the firms and approved contracts that gave the consultants sole authority to hire the outside research firms for each covered stock.

MARK FICHTEL, INDEPENDENT RESEARCH CONSULTANT: Within that contract we as independent consultants have absolute freedom. The firm cannot interfere with any of our decisions. They cannot second-guess the decisions. They cannot object to the decisions, and only the regulators can dismiss us.

GURVEY: The settlement has been a boon for the independent firms and for aggregators of independent research, such as bank of New York's jaywalk unit.

JOHN MESERVE, PRESIDENT, BNY JAYWALK: We think that more research is better. Obviously the spirit of the settlement was to encourage more unconflicted -- the availability of unconflicted research to the institutional and, in particular, the retail market place. So we think that more research will be an important component to the debate and to discussion for the market.

GURVEY: Rather than being overwhelmed by the amount of information now available, further reports indicate many retail customers are enthusiastic to have access to information previously only available to institutional investors. But there have been problems. Some consultants think giving everyone that access is giving research firms a reason to back away from the table.

FICHTEL: One of the concerns I have is that some of these firms, most of whom have dealt primarily or exclusively in many cases with institutions, either will decide not to participate -- and we have seen some of that -- or some may participate for a while and then see that because the institutions can now access their research through the brokerage firms for free, they are cannibalizing their business and may drop out.

GURVEY: The settlement runs for five years, but already some of the firms not covered by it are offering independent research for competitive reasons, leading some to believe that retail access to independent research may be on Wall Street to stay. Scott Gurvey, NIGHTLY BUSINESS REPORT, New York.

Nightly Business Report transcripts are available on-line post broadcast. The program is transcribed by eMediaMillWorks. Updates may be posted at a later date. The views of our guests and commentators are their own and do not necessarily represent the views of Community Television Foundation of South Florida, Inc. Nightly Business Report, or WPBT. Information presented on Nightly Business Report is not and should not be considered as investment advice. Copyright (c) 2003 Community Television Foundation of South Florida, Inc. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. Terms of use.

09/13/04: China Takes A Shine To Old Scrap Metal

JEFF YASTINE: Well, one of the newest hot commodities these days in China is actually something old: scrap metal. Prices are soaring as China's developing what seems to be an insatiable appetite for steel to feed its building boom. And as Karen Koh reports, that trend is providing some unique opportunities for entrepreneurs to make a profit.

KAREN KOH, NIGHTLY BUSINESS REPORT CORRESPONDENT: Hong Kong-based businessman Ken Chow has seen his fortunes rise dramatically in recent years, thanks to China's appetite for scrap metal. The enterprising businessman sources scrap metal from all over the world, including conflict-torn areas like Iran or Iraq. Chow says his sources track down high-quality scrap from both military and civilian sources. Unprecedented levels of growth in China are fuelling the country's almost insatiable appetite for all things metal, particularly steel, which is the backbone of industry.

HARRY BANGA, VICE CHAIRMAN, NOBLE GROUP: What China is going through today, what Europe went through post second World War when whole Europe was completely destroyed and had to be rebuilt. Japan went 10 years later on into a similar phase. Unlike total destruction in Europe, China is starting from scratch.

KOH: Chinese demand for scrap steel has sent prices soaring from $77 a ton in the beginning of 2001, to about $400 per ton today. Demand isn't limited to scrap steel. Virtually all forms of scrap metals are now being sent into China to be re-smelted and reused, including copper and nickel. This appetite has helped to create a new class of private entrepreneur, who are literally making millions of dollars as a result of the country's rapid growth. But though the demand exists, Chow admits there are risks involved in doing business in China. If private competition is seen to be threatening a government enterprise, he says officials will still step in to save the state business. Recycling scrap has not replaced the process of smelting ore into high-grade steel.

BANGA: On the production side out of the 260 million tons, about 30 million tons is going to be produced by virtue of electric arc (ph) furnace, i.e. using scrap as feed (ph). Today there is not enough raw material available to expand the blast furnace route. It's cheaper, but there's no raw material. So the demand and having demand (ph) in China obviously calls for additional production, and that's the metal route, i.e., the scrap route, even though it's expensive.

KOH: China's appetite for raw materials may appear to be insatiable now, but Banga and other experts like him believe the country's current levels of demand are just the tip of the iceberg. China's building boom is expected to hit unprecedented levels in the next four years, especially in the run-up to the 2008 Beijing Olympics. Even then, experts say the demand for raw materials is not expected to plateau until the year 2010. Karen Koh for NIGHTLY BUSINESS REPORT, Hong Kong.

Nightly Business Report transcripts are available on-line post broadcast. The program is transcribed by eMediaMillWorks. Updates may be posted at a later date. The views of our guests and commentators are their own and do not necessarily represent the views of Community Television Foundation of South Florida, Inc. Nightly Business Report, or WPBT. Information presented on Nightly Business Report is not and should not be considered as investment advice. Copyright (c) 2003 Community Television Foundation of South Florida, Inc. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. Terms of use.

09/13/04: One On One With Andrew Davis of The Davis Real Estate Fund

PAUL KANGAS: For the past several months, real estate funds have again topped the list of best-performing mutual funds. One such fund is the Davis Real Estate fund, which has returned more than 15 percent over the past eight months and more than 30 percent over the past year. And looking back over the past decade, its annual returns have averaged better than 13 percent. Andrew Davis has managed Davis Real Estate since its inception 10 years ago. He joins us now from New York and Andrew, welcome to NIGHTLY BUSINESS REPORT.

ANDREW DAVIS, PORTFOLIO MANAGER, DAVIS REAL ESTATE: Hi. Thanks, Paul, nice to be here.

KANGAS: First, a lot people are worried that there is a real estate bubble that could be about to burst. Do you have any such concerns?

DAVIS: Well, the real estate bubble in my mind really comprises single family homes on both coasts. But the real estate in the middle of the country and other parts is certainly not bubble-like. But nonetheless we're always worried about everything.

KANGAS: Well, your fund is primarily invested in real estate investment trusts or REITs as we call them and they've had a great run. Some REIT watchers are saying that REIT dividend yields have dropped to an all time low of below 5 percent. Does that mean a correction in REIT prices is imminent?

DAVIS: Well, I think there is reason for some concern, but my argument is you should be a long term investor in real estate so, if have you a 12-month horizon, I'd be worried. If you have a five-year horizon, I'd be much more optimistic about things.

KANGAS: I understand that your fund, in your fund, you take the kind of a value approach, looking for companies that can manage the entire real estate cycle. Tell us what that means.

DAVIS: Well, that's exactly right. The old style REIT pretty much bought everything and built huge, huge office buildings as monuments almost. What we look for are companies that have the ability to buy, to sell, to develop, anything that you can do to get a return on invested capital, that's what we're looking for, and the new model of REIT is capable of doing just that.

KANGAS: What specific real estate companies do you think have stocks that are fairly priced at this time?

DAVIS: One of our favorite names continues to be a company called Center Point Properties. They own and build and manage industrial real estate in the city of Chicago. They have a very small share relative to the gigantic industrial market that Chicago enjoys, and as a result with their top flight management we think it's a great investment at this time.

KANGAS: Do you have another favorite?

DAVIS: Sure, General Growth Properties, a name that's been in the news recently because they were taking over the Rouse company. I tell you, any other company that had taken over Rouse for the price they paid I'd be a little more nervous than I am, but General Growth again, top tier management, 30 percent insider ownership and 10 percent earnings growth, I think it's still worth holding onto and buying at these levels.

KANGAS: Do you personally own those two stocks you just mentioned?

DAVIS: Oh, yes, we sure do. My family's our largest share holder in the Davis real estate fund so, you bet, we wouldn't mention them otherwise.

KANGAS: So the family has how big an ownership in the Davis mutual fund?

DAVIS: You know Paul, honestly I don't know exactly what the number is, but I can tell you this, we are the larger shareholder.

KANGAS: OK. Looking ahead, looking ahead, would you say that anyone who is looking at investing in REITs or other forms of commercial real estate needs to be really cautious here?

DAVIS: I think there's always a need for caution in the world of real estate. I think that's always the case. But again it really depends on your time horizon. The shorter the time horizon the more nerves I'd have about it. But if can you afford a four or five-year time outlook, I think you're in pretty good shape.

KANGAS: So you're still very, very much bullish on the market for the long period.

DAVIS: Yes, I really am. The world of real estate has changed dramatically over the last 30 years. It's a much different product.

KANGAS: All right. Andrew, thank you very much, and let's hope that you can maintain your good record in real estate investing.

DAVIS: Thank you, Paul.

KANGAS: My guest, Andrew Davis of the Davis real estate fund.

Nightly Business Report transcripts are available on-line post broadcast. The program is transcribed by eMediaMillWorks. Updates may be posted at a later date. The views of our guests and commentators are their own and do not necessarily represent the views of Community Television Foundation of South Florida, Inc. Nightly Business Report, or WPBT. Information presented on Nightly Business Report is not and should not be considered as investment advice. Copyright (c) 2003 Community Television Foundation of South Florida, Inc. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. Terms of use.

09/13/04: Last Word: Oprah's Great Car Giveaway

PAUL KANGAS: And finally, talk show host Oprah Winfrey knows how to start her 19th season with a bang. She surprised all 276 members of the studio audience at today's show by giving each of them a new car. The tab for the $7 million giveaway was picked up by General Motors, which supplied the Pontiac G-6 sports sedans and is letting all of the winners choose the color and features they want. Winfrey has been at the top of the ranks of daytime talk programs since her debut in 1986. This season's theme is "wildest dreams come true" and just about everyone Paul, would probably agree with that assessment.

KANGAS: Boy, you talk about your free ride.

YASTINE: Not too bad for a television program. Some of them I understood actually rode in talking about needing something like that.

KANGAS: Would have been worth waiting in line.

YASTINE: Absolutely. Absolutely.

Nightly Business Report transcripts are available on-line post broadcast. The program is transcribed by eMediaMillWorks. Updates may be posted at a later date. The views of our guests and commentators are their own and do not necessarily represent the views of Community Television Foundation of South Florida, Inc. Nightly Business Report, or WPBT. Information presented on Nightly Business Report is not and should not be considered as investment advice. Copyright (c) 2003 Community Television Foundation of South Florida, Inc. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. Terms of use.

9/13/04: "Paul Kangas' Stocks In The News"

PAUL KANGAS: On Wall Street, energy stocks surged on those fears of possible disruptions in oil supplies. Couple that with a strong semiconductor group and investors were in a buying mood. By late morning, the Dow was up 25 points and so was the NASDAQ Composite. But buyers backed away from the blue chips this afternoon in slow trading and that undermined the tech sector. So the Dow Industrial Average faded to close with a gain of only 1.69 at 10,314.76. The NASDAQ Composite salvaged a 16-point gain closing at 1910.38. Standard & Poor's 500 Index gained almost two points ending at 1125.82. Over in the bond market, the 10-year note rose 12/32, putting the yield at 4.14 percent.

Most active big board issue on 27 ½ million shares, Lucent Technologies (LU) moving up $0.17.

Followed by NorTel Networks (NT) with a nickel gain.

Then Texas Instruments (TXN) in the strong semiconductor group, up $0.23.

Pfizer (PFE) gained $0.27.

EMC Corporation (EMC) a $0.38 rise, fifth in volume.

National Semiconductor (NSM) gained $0.62 and was high at $15.51 during the day. The Sanford Bernstein brokerage upgraded National Semi from "market perform" to "out perform" and has a $20 a share target.

General Electric (GE) down $0.13.

Motorola (MOT) off $0.01, although it was in the plus ground for part of the day.

AstraZeneca (AZN) losing $1.94. Last Friday an FDA panel rejected the company's blood clotting drug called Xanta (ph). Today CS First Boston downgraded the stock from "outperform" to just a "neutral" rating.

Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) rising $0.69, tenth in volume.

Time Warner (TWX) a $0.06 loss. The company has withdrawn its buyout proposal for MGM which was estimated at $11 a share or $4.6 million. This after Sony bid about $5 billion and that's worth just about $12 a share. MGM stock moved up $0.44 to $11.55. Sony was a $0.53 gainer today.

Rogers Wireless Communications "B" (RCN), the Canadian cable giant, Rogers Communications has reached an agreement to buy back 48.6 million shares in its majority-owned wireless arm from AT&T Wireless. The price, $36.37 a share in Canadian. This deal gives Rogers Communications 90 percent ownership in Rogers Wireless, what you see here. The news triggered speculation that this company right here might ultimately be taken private.

Tribune (TRB) losing $1.35. Friday the company cut circulation figures at two of its New York newspapers and today Goldman Sachs downgraded Tribune stock from "outperform" to just an "in line" rating.

Regal Entertainment, (RGC) the theater chain, an $0.80 gain there. The company boosted its quarterly dividend from $0.20 to $0.30 a share and also plans to buy back up to $50 million in its own common stock.

CKE Restaurants (CKR) losing $1.19. Company in with a second quarter loss of $0.20 a share versus earnings of $0.11 a year ago. The company cites debt refinancing costs for that loss.

And then Lear Corporation (LEA) up $1.58. Bank of America upgraded it from "neutral" to "buy."

Then the women's clothing retailer Chico's FAS (CHS) up $1.83. Banc of America upgraded it from "neutral" to "buy" in the belief the company can grow earnings by 25 percent annually over the next several years.

Sherwin-Williams (SHW) up $0.80. CS First Boston upgraded it from "neutral" to "outperform," has a $46 a share target.

NASDAQ's most active, Intel (INTC) in the firm semiconductor group, up $0.23.

Microsoft (MSFT) lost $0.24.

eBay (EBAY) a $2.03 gain.

Broadcom (BRCM) gained $2.60. Over the weekend, Broadcom cut its third quarter revenue guidance but the Schwab Soundview brokerage says that's already been factored into the stock. It did have a 52-week of $47 keep in mind.

Cisco Systems (CSCO) was down $0.21 and fifth in volume.

Applied Materials (AMAT) $0.12 gain.

Amgen (AMGN) $0.62 rise.

QUALCOMM (QCOM) $0.91 rise.

Yahoo! (YHOO) up $0.79.

Tenth in volume Oracle (ORCL) gaining $0.16 a share.

DigitalNet Holdings (DNET) up $6.27. BAE Systems will acquire this company for $30.25 in cash per share.

MicroStrategy (MSTR) jumping $6.03. The First Albany brokerage upgraded it from "buy" to "strong buy" on optimism about the company's new products.

MKS Instruments (MKSI) rising $1.88. "Barron's" quoted a hedge fund manager who thinks this stock can get to $30 a share within the next 18 months.

And then ImClone Systems (IMCL) up $3.26. The ST Robinson Humphrey brokerage upgraded it from "neutral" to "buy."

And those are our stocks in the news tonight

Nightly Business Report transcripts are available on-line post broadcast. The program is transcribed by eMediaMillWorks. Updates may be posted at a later date. The views of our guests and commentators are their own and do not necessarily represent the views of Community Television Foundation of South Florida, Inc. Nightly Business Report, or WPBT. Information presented on Nightly Business Report is not and should not be considered as investment advice. Copyright (c) 2003 Community Television Foundation of South Florida, Inc. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. Terms of use.

09/13/04: Market Stats



                                      NET    PERCENT
                         CLOSE     CHANGE     CHANGE

DOW CLOSE             10314.76      +1.69       + .0
HIGH                                        10348.39
LOW                                         10292.57

NASDAQ COMP.           1910.38     +16.07        +.9
HIGH                                         1919.21
LOW                                          1897.73

VOLUME                                       1,299.1
PREVIOUS                                     1,263.6
UP VOLUME                                      814.8
DOWN VOLUME                                    471.8

DOW TRANSPORTS         3223.22      -1.16       - .0
DOW UTILITIES           291.05      -1.86       - .6
CLOSING TICK                                    +887

S&P 500                1125.82      +1.90       + .2
S&P 100                 546.11       -.14       - .0
MIDCAP 400              592.70      +3.65       + .6
REUTERS/CRB             273.47      +1.86       + .7

NYSE COMPOSITE         6581.81     +13.51       + .2
VALUE LINE              361.12      +2.12       + .6
RUSSELL 2000            573.10      +3.19       + .6
DJW 5000              10965.53     +28.60       + .3

U.S. TREASURIES
5-YEAR NOTE 3.375%
Sept. 15,2009        100  2/32      +6/32     + 3.37

10-YEAR NOTE 4.25%
Aug. 15,2014         100 28/32     +13/32     + 4.14

30-YEAR NOTE 5.375%
Feb. 15, 2031        106 15/32     +24/32     + 4.94

LEHMAN BROS.
LONG BOND INDEX        1752.50      +4.61


DOW CLOSE             10314.76      +1.69       + .0
ADVANCES                                        2036
DECLINES                                        1282
NEW HIGHS                                        179
NEW LOWS                                          14

                                      NET    PERCENT
NYSE MOST ACTIVES    4PM CLOSE     CHANGE     CHANGE
LU    Lucent Tech         3.47       +.17       +5.2
NT    Nortel Networks     4.01       +.05       +1.3
TXN   Texas Instrument   22.17       +.23       +1.1
PFE   Pfizer             32.13       +.27        +.9
EMC   EMC Corp           11.53       +.38       +3.4
NSM   Natl Semiconduct   14.86       +.62       +4.4
GE    GE                 33.75       -.13        -.4
MOT   Motorola           16.64       -.01        -.1
AZN   AstraZeneca        41.80      -1.94       -4.4
AMD   Advanced Micro     12.90       +.69       +5.7

NASDAQ CLOSE           1910.38    + 16.07       + .9
VOLUME                                       1,761.3
PREVIOUS                                     1,616.5
ADVANCES                                        1881
DECLINES                                        1188

NASDAQ ACTIVES
INTC  Intel              20.80       +.23       +1.1
MSFT  Microsoft          27.25       -.24        -.9
EBAY  eBay               92.10      +2.03       +2.3
BRCM  Broadcom           30.30      +2.60       +9.4
CSCO  Cisco Systems      20.25       -.21       -1.0
AMAT  Applied Matl       17.02       +.12        +.7
AMGN  Amgen              57.92       +.62       +1.1
QCOM  Qualcomm           40.40       +.91       +2.3
YHOO  Yahoo!             31.87       +.79       +2.5
ORCL  Oracle             10.62       +.16       +1.5

AMEX CLOSE             1246.18     + 1.91       + .2

INDEX SHARES
DIA   DIAMONDS TRUST    103.50       +.30        +.3
QQQ   NASDAQ 100         35.59       +.44       +1.3
SPY   S&P DEP.RECEIPTS  113.47       +.41        +.4

STOCKS IN THE NEWS

TWX   Time Warner        16.46       -.05        -.3
RCN   Rogers Wireless    30.94      +1.89       +6.5
TRB   Tribune Co         39.97      -1.38       -3.3
RGC   Regal Entertain    18.94       +.80       +4.4
CKR   CKE Restaurant     11.35      -1.03       -8.3
LEA   Lear Corp          55.83      +1.53       +2.8
CHS   Chico's FAS        37.73      +1.64       +4.5
SHW   Sherwin-Williams   41.26       +.74       +1.8
DNET  DigitalNet Hldgs   29.79      +6.23      +26.4
MSTR  MicroStrategy      43.07      +5.97      +16.1
MKSI  MKS Instruments    15.73      +1.87      +13.5
IMCL  Imclone Systems    52.69      +3.05       +6.1

 

 

 

 

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