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Program: Friday, September 24, 2004

US Airways Wants Workers To Pay
Diesel Fuel Prices Are On The Fast Track
High Speed Train Pollution Solution
"Market Monitor" - Elaine Garzarelli, President, Garzarelli Capital
Last Word - Canine Cinema
Paul Kangas' Stocks In The News

Market Stats

09/24/04: US Airways Wants Workers To Pay

SUSIE GHARIB: US Airways is trying to clip the wings of its union employees` paychecks. The airline is expected to ask the bankruptcy court to impose wage and benefit cuts in a filing tonight. The request comes after the unions refused $800 million in contract concessions. Stephanie Woods reports.

STEPHANIE WOODS, NIGHTLY BUSINESS REPORT CORRESPONDENT: US Airways wants the court to impose immediate 23 percent pay cuts on its unionized pilots, flight attendants, machinists and reservation agents. The company also wants to stop contributions to employee retirements plans. Analysts say the company can`t wait to complete negotiations with the unions.

PHILLIP BAGGALEY, AIRLINE ANALYST, STANDARD AND POOR`S: It`s a short-term measure to stop the bleeding, or at least minimize the bleeding. WOODS: The pilots union says it will oppose the request, but continue to negotiate cost concessions with management. Even if US Airways can dramatically lower its labor costs, the company still has a lot to do to navigate its way out of bankruptcy.

BAGGALEY: They have to reach deals with some of their key creditors, the Air Transportation Stabilization Board, GE (NYSE:GE) and so forth, and then lastly, if they can fix all this, then they have to attract exit financing to get out of bankruptcy and while all this is going on, they`re going into the weak winter season and have limited cash liquidity.

WOODS: The airline is hemorrhaging cash. There`s uncertainty about meeting its loan obligations to the government and it lost financing for as many as 100 regional jets. All that makes the prospect of liquidation more likely.

KEVIN SCHORR, RESEARCH DIRECTOR, CAMPBELL-HILL AVIATION: The regional jets were an integral part of their restructuring plan. They were going to use the regional jets to feed hubs, to fly to new cities from their focus cities and to do things that other airlines have been doing for a while, but US Airways just hasn`t had the opportunity to do.

WOODS: Still, it`s possible for the airline to turn it around, which loyal customers are rooting for.

ROSE SCONIERS, US AIRWAYS CUSTOMER: As long as they`re flying, I`m going to be flying USAir.

WOODS: Even as some move to cash in on frequent flier miles.

BRENDA KLEVOS, US AIRWAYS CUSTOMER: With all the restrictions they have on bonus miles I haven`t been able to.

WOODS: Analysts say whether US Airways can fly at out of bankruptcy a second time will depend on how much progress the airline makes with its creditors and its unions over the next month and a half. Stephanie Woods, NIGHTLY BUSINESS REPORT, Ronald Reagan Washington National Airport.

Nightly Business Report transcripts are available on-line post broadcast. The program is transcribed by eMediaMillWorks. Updates may be posted at a later date. The views of our guests and commentators are their own and do not necessarily represent the views of Community Television Foundation of South Florida, Inc. Nightly Business Report, or WPBT. Information presented on Nightly Business Report is not and should not be considered as investment advice. Copyright (c) 2004 Community Television Foundation of South Florida, Inc. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. Terms of use.

09/24/04: Diesel Fuel Prices Are On The Fast Track

GHARIB: With gasoline prices back on the rise these days on supply concerns, some consumers are thinking of switching to vehicles that use a different fuel: diesel. But if the idea is to save money, they can forget about it. As Scott Gurvey reports, diesel prices are rising faster than gas prices.

SCOTT GURVEY, NIGHTLY BUSINESS REPORT CORRESPONDENT: While most motorists have been focused on the gas pumps and noting with some relief that the price of gas seems to have peaked, the price of diesel fuel has continued to rise. It has gained 32 percent over the last year while unleaded gas prices are up only 16 percent. Diesel now on average costs $1.91 a gallon, more than gasoline. Diesel powers the nation`s trucks and the nation`s trucks move 87 percent of the nation`s commercial freight. Diesel powered railroads carry another 5 percent, so the immediate impact of higher diesel prices has been to drive up the cost of shipping which in many cases has been immediately passed on.

ANDREW WEST, TRANSPORTATION ANALYST, STANDARD & POOR`S: This year overall demand for has been strong for transportation, so the supply demand equation has allowed the bigger companies to pass along the costs. However, the smaller transportation companies that have perhaps less competitive position, they`ve been squeezed in terms of their margins so a lot of them haven`t been able to pass along their fuel costs.

GURVEY: That squeeze will only tighten the market, which means the higher transportation costs will stick. Economists say that could knock a half a percentage point off the gross domestic product over a year`s time. Long-term futures prices are expected to remain high due to fears of supply disruptions. But near-term prices could fall, the experts say, as a result of the seasonal adjustments refiners make to the amount of diesel fuel they produce.

BILL O`GRADY, FUTURES ANALYST, A.G. EDWARDS: There is a seasonal tendency for heating oil prices to peak at the wholesale level in the first week or so of October. And then you tend to see a pretty dramatic decline in heating oil prices. That will signal refiners they can make a little bit more diesel fuel. That will probably help.

GURVEY: Price pressures will also be reduced as damage from hurricanes in the Gulf is assessed. Many experts believe the market has overreacted to the supply disruptions which have occurred and will correct as imports return to pre-storm levels. Scott Gurvey, NIGHTLY BUSINESS REPORT," New York.

Nightly Business Report transcripts are available on-line post broadcast. The program is transcribed by eMediaMillWorks. Updates may be posted at a later date. The views of our guests and commentators are their own and do not necessarily represent the views of Community Television Foundation of South Florida, Inc. Nightly Business Report, or WPBT. Information presented on Nightly Business Report is not and should not be considered as investment advice. Copyright (c) 2004 Community Television Foundation of South Florida, Inc. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. Terms of use.

09/24/04: High Speed Train Pollution Solution


SUSIE GHARIB: While high speed trains are offered as a solution to pollution and traffic woes, the idea has had trouble catching on here in the United States But that`s not the case in Japan, where ultra-fast trains powered by magnetic levitation are getting a warm reception. Lucy Craft reports.

LUCY CRAFT, NIGHTLY BUSINESS REPORT CORRESPONDENT: It was Americans who invented a system of superconducting magnets to lift trains inches above their tracks and send them hurtling along a guideway. But it took the Japanese, creators of the enormously successful high-speed bullet train, to perfect a floating train repelled by super-cooled magnets. In effect, the Maglev "flies" at low altitude, zooming at speeds of up to 361 miles per hour. That`s more than twice as fast as America`s quickest commuter train. On heavily traveled corridors between cities a few hundred miles apart, the Maglev is speedy enough to provide serious competition to airlines.

SATORU SONE, PROF., ELECTRICAL ENGINEERING, KOGAKUIN UNIV. (THROUGH TRANSLATOR): The Maglev consumes only half as much energy as an airplane and with only about one quarter the carbon emissions. For distances of 300 miles or less, traveling by Maglev actually saves time, because you don`t have to get to and from an airport. So it`s definitely faster than a plane.

CRAFT: Unlike the U.S. and much of the rest of the world, railways still thrive across compact and densely populated Japan, a prime means of transit for commuter and vacationer alike. Leading operators like central Japan railway, which is testing the Maglev, are cash cows. Analysts say the rail operator is financially sound enough to absorb much of the staggering cost of funding a Maglev system on its own.

NAOTO HASHIMOTO, TRANSPORTATION ANALYST, NOMURA SECURITIES (THROUGH TRANSLATOR): The company has quite a strong cash flow today.

CRAFT: Building concrete guideways, tunnels and rolling stock for the levitated train system could hit a mind-boggling $90 billion, although researchers are struggling to trim billions by stretching out the snout to cut wind resistance and mass-producing parts. The national government hasn`t yet decided to provide critical startup financing. But Japan`s rail-friendly constituency seems pre- disposed to support the plan. Given Japan`s aging and shrinking population and uncertain prospects for the economy ahead, some argue Japan doesn`t need a Buck Rogers floating train. Maglev advocates, while conceding there`s still no guarantee the system will ever be built, remain confident the project will stay on track.

NORIYUKI SHIRAKUNI, GEN. MANAGER, YAMANASHI MAGLEV TEST CTR. (THROUGH TRANSLATOR): Around the world, man has always sought ways of getting from point "A" to point "B" quicker. So as long as mankind harbors a desire for faster travel, the Maglev`s day will definitely dawn.

CRAFT: Japan`s Maglev system is being studied in the U.S. But the only place on the planet sufficiently rich and crowded enough to support it may be the few hundred miles of real estate between Tokyo and Osaka, Japan`s two largest cities. If and when the Japanese decide to go ahead with their futuristic train technology, the project will take at least 10 years to complete. Lucy Craft, NIGHTLY BUSINESS REPORT, Yamanashi, Japan.

Nightly Business Report transcripts are available on-line post broadcast. The program is transcribed by eMediaMillWorks. Updates may be posted at a later date. The views of our guests and commentators are their own and do not necessarily represent the views of Community Television Foundation of South Florida, Inc. Nightly Business Report, or WPBT. Information presented on Nightly Business Report is not and should not be considered as investment advice. Copyright (c) 2004 Community Television Foundation of South Florida, Inc. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. Terms of use.

09/24/04: "Market Monitor" Elaine Garzarelli, President, Garzarelli Capital

KANGAS: My guest "Market Monitor" this week is Elaine Garzarelli, president of Garzarelli capital and welcome back to NIGHTLY BUSINESS REPORT Elaine. Great to see you.

ELAINE GARZARELLI, PRESIDENT, GARZARELLI CAPITAL: Nice to see you.

KANGAS: On your last visit with us in February, you were very impressed by the corporate earnings scenario along with things like inflation-free environment. Why hasn`t the stock market reacted to all this good news in a more positive way?

GARZARELLI: Because the Fed began tightening shortly after my visit and that caused a little bit of confusion, fear that these long-term interest rates would go up and curtail growth in the economy. Also problems in Iraq and looked like Bush was losing there for a while. And the oil prices, oil prices went up 50 percent.

KANGAS: You know, job growth you said last time was clearly disappointing and you said it`s probably not going to get a whole lot better and it hasn`t. Are we going to see more disappointment?

GARZARELLI: No, I think it will get better, more in the service area than manufacturing. We`re on an up path.

KANGAS: OK, how about the budget deficit, is that a major problem for the stock market?

GARZARELLI: It will be if it continues for five or six years at this rate, but that`s one of the best things we can do when we`re in a recession to get out of it. It`s an economic theory (INAUDIBLE) deficit.

KANGAS: How much of a drag on the market is the Iraq war?

GARZARELLI: I don`t really think that`s as much as the oil prices going up and the fear that the Fed`s tightening and that might ruin housing and it might slow the economy down.

KANGAS: But on the whole you`re still bullish on the market?

GARZARELLI: I am. My indicators are at 43 1/2 percent in a correction mode. And in many of the indexes we`ve already corrected 10 to 15 percent. So we should be finished with this very soon and it looks familiar to another period in time and that is 1994, the last time the Fed tightened, in a trading range for 10 months and then we broke off to the outside.

KANGAS: You see Dow 11,000 or better by the end of the year?

GARZARELLI: Well, I think the stock market is more than 20 percent, that`s the S&P 500, under valued at this point.

KANGAS: Last time you were with us in February, you gave us five recommendations. We see General Electric up 2.1 percent. Norfolk Southern (NYSE:NSC) a real winner, up 32 percent, congratulations are in order there. And two more that you gave us were Home Depot (NYSE:HD), which is up over 6 percent. And then the exchange rated fund having to do with construction materials and that is up one tenth of a percent. There was only one loser out of the five and that was Delphi (NYSE:DPH), the auto parts maker and it was down 14 percent.

GARZARELLI: Yes. We took that off in June for a gain of about 3 percent.

KANGAS: OK, so overall you`re up about 8 percent on those five selections and that`s a lot better than the major averages. I congratulate you.

GARZARELLI: The S&P is down about 3 1/2.

KANGAS: Right. How about some new recommendations?

GARZARELLI: OK, I`ve got some and they`re really a lot more than I have here. But the first one is an exchange traded fund, it trades all day long, so just like a stock and that`s the energy sector, which includes things like Chevron (NYSE:CVX), Exxon (NYSE:XOM), the natural gas stocks and some of the oil service stocks. The next one is called pharmaceutical holders, that is 20 stocks.

KANGAS: This is another exchange traded fund.

GARZARELLI: That`s right, the same thing. All day long you can buy and sell.

KANGAS: On the American exchange I might add.

GARZARELLI: On the American.

KANGAS: OK. Let`s go for number three.

GARZARELLI: And then number three would be XLK, another exchange traded fund, that`s technology. That`s the only one I currently own. I`ll probably buy the others Monday, but anyway, that`s down 71 percent from its high. And of course the big stocks are in there, Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT), Intel (NASDAQ:INTC) and Dell (NASDAQ:DELL).

KANGAS: You like the diversification of these exchange-traded funds obviously?

GARZARELLI: Absolutely, I think it`s fabulous. If a sector looks good, most of the stocks in the sector will move up with it.

KANGAS: OK, any other selections?

GARZARELLI: I like the Russell 2000. I think the small stock will continue to lead, not by the giant percentage that they did, but still continue to be better than the S&P and that`s corrected 15 percent in its correction and I also like McDonald`s (NYSE:MCD).

KANGAS: The golden arches.

GARZARELLI: Down 40 percent from its high and I think with the economy continuing strong, we have three and a half percent GDP growth next year. That should catch up.

KANGAS: All right, so basically bullish, but you like the diversification of these exchange traded funds.

GARZARELLI: Love them.

KANGAS: OK. There we have it. Our time is up, but thanks very much for being with us Elaine.

GARZARELLI: My pleasure.

KANGAS: My guest "Market Monitor Elaine Garzarelli, president of Garzarelli Capital.

Nightly Business Report transcripts are available on-line post broadcast. The program is transcribed by eMediaMillWorks. Updates may be posted at a later date. The views of our guests and commentators are their own and do not necessarily represent the views of Community Television Foundation of South Florida, Inc. Nightly Business Report, or WPBT. Information presented on Nightly Business Report is not and should not be considered as investment advice. Copyright (c) 2004 Community Television Foundation of South Florida, Inc. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. Terms of use.

09/24/04: Last Word - Canine Cinema

SUSIE GHARIB: And finally tonight, some people think the movie industry is going to the dogs, but probably not this literally. Tomorrow night, Albuquerque, New Mexico, will play host to the "dog film festival" showing nothing but canine cinema for both dogs and their owners. Twenty five aspiring filmmakers have submitted entries. All are about dogs, have dogs in them, or make you think of a dog when you watch it. Hundreds of dogs and their humans are expected to turn out for the screening, which has a $500 prize for, shall we say, "best in show." And Paul, as you might expect, there will be popcorn and "pooch" snacks available to the audience.

KANGAS: Pooch snacks! Our dog, our little Pierre poodle lived to be 18, would never eat a pooch snack. He considered himself to be a human.

GHARIB: You only gave him good filet mignon.

KANGAS: That`s right.

Nightly Business Report transcripts are available on-line post broadcast. The program is transcribed by eMediaMillWorks. Updates may be posted at a later date. The views of our guests and commentators are their own and do not necessarily represent the views of Community Television Foundation of South Florida, Inc. Nightly Business Report, or WPBT. Information presented on Nightly Business Report is not and should not be considered as investment advice. Copyright (c) 2004 Community Television Foundation of South Florida, Inc. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. Terms of use.

09/24/04: Paul Kangas' "Stocks In The News"

KANGAS: Wall Street edged slightly higher this morning thanks to bargain buying
after two days of steep losses. News that August durable goods orders fell 0.5
percent while existing home sales declined 2.7 percent, kept buyers very
cautious. At mid-day the Dow was up 11 points, NASDAQ up only 1 point. An
afternoon rally attempt was undermined by another rise in oil futures and
normal pre-weekend selling pressure. The Dow Industrial Average closed up only
8 1/3 points at 10,047.24. This week, the Dow rose twice and fell three times
for a net loss of 237.22 points. The NASDAQ Composite lost 7 points to 1879.48
today. It also rose twice and fell three times this week and lost 30.61 points
overall. The Standard & Poor`s 500 Index was up 1 3/4 to 1110.11 today. Over in
the bond market, the 10-year note fell 3/32, putting the yield at 4.03 percent.

Most active big board issue on 22 1/2 million shares was Fannie Mae (FNM) and
the stock down another $1.64. This firm has been named in a purported class
action lawsuit alleging the company artificially inflated its stock price with
false and misleading statements.

Pfizer (PFE) down $0.27. The company is asking a New Jersey court to prevent Alpharma Corp. (ALO). from launching a generic version of Pfizer`s Neurontin drug. Late today, the judge refused that request but will take up the matter again on Monday.

Lucent Technologies (LU) $0.07 loss.

Citigroup (C) moved up $0.27.

Texas Instrument (TXN) fifth in volume, down $0.76 a share.

AT&T Wireless (AWE) managed to gain $0.02.

But Calpine (CPN) down $0.15

Motorola (MOT) a $0.06 drop.

NorTel Networks (NT) lost a dime.

Tenth in big board volume was Hewlett-Packard (HPQ), down $0.26 a share.

Valero Energy (VLO) did well, up $2.08. The Morgan Keegan brokerage says oil
exploration firms like Valero are coming into vogue these days because of
strong demand for oil and gas. Let`s have a look at some of the stocks in the
sector. They fared well today.

Cabot Oil & Gas (COG), Marathon Oil (MRO) and Tesoro Petroleum (TSO) all
fractionally higher.

Vintage Petroleum (VPI) was up $1.12. Separately, Vintage is going to sell its
Canadian interest for $270 million in cash to Midnight Oil and Gas of Calgary,
Alberta.

And then XTO Energy (XTO) up $1.19. The Smith Barney brokerage upgraded that
one from "hold" to a "buy," very strong segment of the market today.

St. Jude Medical (STJ) gained $2.23. The company is going to discontinue its
symmetry bypass aortic connector line due to lower sales. Also the company
plans to acquire Endocardial Solutions Corporation (ECSI) for $11.75 a share.
Endocardial stock was up $1.58 to $11.58 today.

JLG Industries (JLG) up $1.87. This company makes those aerial work platforms
and it had higher earnings today, fourth quarter, $0.35, up from $0.13 last
year and revenues soared 82 percent. Standard & Poor`s repeated a "hold"
recommendation.

Armor Holdings (AH) rising $1.50. The company yesterday got a $23 million order
from the U.S. Army for heavy truck armor kits and also today, Goldman Sachs
started covering the stock with an in line ratings.

Then Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) up $4.58. That`s a new high I believe.
That`s up on heavy derivatives trading volume this month, which could mean
higher third quarter earnings. As a matter of fact, Merrill Lynch and Morgan
Stanley both boosted the company`s third quarter earnings outlook. Hard to
believe that stock went public back in December of 2002 at only $35 a share, up
nearly fivefold since then.

Microsoft (MSFT) topped the active list on NASDAQ losing $0.06.

Followed by Intel (INTC), $0.25 drop.

Cisco Systems (CSCO) was off a half a dollar.

eBay (EBAY) down $0.88.

And Applied Materials (AMAT) a $0.51 loss.

And we see Google (GOOG) down nearly $1, a little profit taking there.

Research In Motion (RIMM) managed to gain $0.16.

And Dell (DELL) was up $0.15.

QUALCOMM (QCOM) $0.47 drop.

Yahoo! (YHOO) fell $0.46 and was tenth in volume.

We had an initial public offering today that went very well, Cogent (COGT).
This company is in the fingerprint ID business, 18 million shares offered to
the public at $12 a share. Stock opened at $16.02 and had a high of $19.03 and
then backed off a bit from there.

Elsewhere, PalmSource (PSRC) down $4.47. The company did cut its first quarter
loss to only one penny versus a $0.38 loss last year, but analysts are
cautioning the company, cautioning the investors about the second quarter
outlook for earnings. This company provides software for mobile phones, among
other things.

Those are the "Stocks in the News" tonight, Susie.

09/24/04: Market Stats


                                      NET    PERCENT
CLOSE CHANGE CHANGE DOW CLOSE 10047.24 +8.34 + .1 HIGH 10081.30 LOW 10034.85 NASDAQ COMP. 1879.48 -6.95 -.4 HIGH 1897.42 LOW 1879.48 VOLUME 1,250.8 PREVIOUS 1,286.5 UP VOLUME 669.7 DOWN VOLUME 567.3 DOW TRANSPORTS 3202.11 +28.14 + .9 DOW UTILITIES 292.98 -.10 - .0 CLOSING TICK +67 S&P 500 1110.11 +1.75 + .2 S&P 100 534.37 +.17 + .0 MIDCAP 400 588.50 +3.21 + .6 REUTERS/CRB 277.77 -2.29 - .8 NYSE COMPOSITE 6531.37 +9.94 + .2 VALUE LINE 356.31 -.17 - .1 RUSSELL 2000 565.97 +.17 + .0 DJW 5000 10838.30 +17.40 + .2 U.S. TREASURIES 5-YEAR NOTE 3.375% Sept. 15,2009 100 7/32 -4/32 + 3.33 10-YEAR NOTE 4.25% Aug. 15,2014 101 24/32 -3/32 + 4.03 30-YEAR NOTE 5.375% Feb. 15, 2031 108 15/32 -6/32 + 4.81 LEHMAN BROS. LONG BOND INDEX 1784.35 +11.01 DOW CLOSE 10047.24 +8.34 + .1 ADVANCES 1814 DECLINES 1456 NEW HIGHS 143 NEW LOWS 31 NET PERCENT NYSE MOST ACTIVES 4PM CLOSE CHANGE CHANGE FNM Fannie Mae 65.51 -1.64 -2.4 PFE Pfizer Inc 29.66 -.27 -.9 LU Lucent Tech 3.18 -.07 -2.2 C Citigroup 44.15 +.27 +.6 TXN Texas Instrument 21.69 -.76 -3.4 AWE AT&T Wireless Svcs 14.77 +.02 +.1 CPN Calpine Corp 3.28 -.15 -4.4 MOT Motorola 17.83 -.06 -.3 NT Nortel Networks 3.41 -.10 -2.9 HPQ Hewlett-Packard 18.58 -.26 -1.4 NASDAQ CLOSE 1879.48 - 6.95 - .4 VOLUME 1,362.4 PREVIOUS 1,402.3 ADVANCES 1465 DECLINES 1556 NASDAQ ACTIVES MSFT Microsoft 27.29 -.06 -.2 INTC Intel 20.13 -.25 -1.2 CSCO Cisco Systems 18.40 -.50 -2.7 EBAY eBay 89.22 -.88 -1.0 AMAT Applied Matl 16.65 -.51 -3.0 GOOG Google 119.83 -.99 -.8 RIMM Rsch In Motion 74.57 +.16 +.2 DELL Dell Inc 35.05 +.15 +.4 QCOM Qualcomm 38.25 -.47 -1.2 YHOO Yahoo! 32.58 -.46 -1.4 AMEX CLOSE 1264.97 + 3.51 + .3 INDEX SHARES DIA DIAMONDS TRUST 100.72 +.27 +.3 QQQ NASDAQ 100 34.81 -.13 -.4 SPY S&P DEP.RECEIPTS 111.46 +.51 +.5 STOCKS IN THE NEWS VLO Valero Energy 77.67 +2.08 +2.8 COG Cabot Oil Gas 45.07 +.71 +1.6 MRO Marathon Oil 40.52 +.93 +2.4 TSO Tesoro Petroleum 29.85 +.62 +2.1 VPI Vintage Peteoleum 20.32 +1.12 +5.8 XTO XTO Energy 32.59 +1.19 +3.8 STJ ST.Jude Medical 73.43 +2.23 +3.1 JLG JLG Industries 16.25 +1.87 +13.0 AH Armor Holdings 39.60 +1.50 +3.9 CME Chicago Mercant 157.62 +4.58 +3.0 COGT Cogent 17.98 +5.98 +49.8 PSRC PalmSource 20.59 -4.47 -17.8

 

 

 

 

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