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Program: Wednesday, December 8, 2004

Treasury Secretary John Snow Is Sticking Around
Lenovo Buys Big Blue
China Just Says "No" To A Flexible Exchange Rate
"Money File"-Creating Holiday Harmony Without Going Broke
Paul Kangas' "Stocks In The News"
Market Stats

12/08/04: Treasury Secretary John Snow Is Sticking Around

SUSIE GHARIB: A big surprise today in the Bush cabinet: Treasury Secretary John Snow is keeping his job. The White House said this afternoon that President Bush asked Snow to stay in the administration and he agreed. Snow`s future had been in doubt for weeks on published reports that the president wanted to make a change at the top of his economic team. Darren Gersh has details.

DARREN GERSH, NIGHTLY BUSINESS REPORT CORRESPONDENT: John Snow has been a tireless campaigner for the president. First he sold the Bush tax cuts. Then Snow, who was born in Toledo, practically moved back to key swing stage of Ohio during the election campaign, giving speech after speech talking up the economy. Today, that loyalty was rewarded.

STEPHEN MOORE, PRESIDENT, CLUB FOR GROWTH: He`s a real victor in all this. A lot of his critics are eating some crow today and I think that it really means that he is going to be one of the leaders in promoting tax reform over the next couple of years.

GERSH: But Snow has paid a price. In recent days, he has been the victim of brutal news leaks from unnamed senior administration officials volunteering that he was free to stay for a second Bush term as long as he didn`t stay long. Stock and bond markets were initially encouraged by the news that Snow will stay on, but currency markets, which had been hammering the dollar, were unmoved.

ALEX BEUZELIN SR. MARKET ANALYST REUSCH INTERNATIONAL: Going forward what that means is that the White House is likely to continue articulating a policy that expresses support for a strong dollar, but emphasizes the need for flexible and market-determined exchange rates. In other words, the markets believe that Treasury Secretary Snow staying onboard, you are going to continue to see this hands-off policy of benign neglect.

GERSH: In the past, critics have slammed the Bush economic team and Snow as weak. Instead of setting policy, his job in the first Bush administration was to sell policy that had already been put in place.

BEUZELIN: He is seen more as the spokesperson of a policy being articulated by officials within the White House.

GERSH: But the second Bush term may be different. The White House says Snow who holds a Ph.D. in economics, will play a leading role in formulating policy on the legacy issues of tax reform and Social Security. Darren Gersh, NIGHTLY BUSINESS REPORT, Washington.

Nightly Business Report transcripts are available on-line post broadcast. The program is transcribed by eMediaMillWorks. Updates may be posted at a later date. The views of our guests and commentators are their own and do not necessarily represent the views of Community Television Foundation of South Florida, Inc. Nightly Business Report, or WPBT. Information presented on Nightly Business Report is not and should not be considered as investment advice. Copyright (c) 2003 Community Television Foundation of South Florida, Inc. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. Terms of use.

12/08/04: Lenovo Buys Big Blue

PAUL KANGAS: The computer industry of China took a giant leap onto the world stage today. Lenovo, China`s largest computer company, is buying the PC business of IBM. The deal is valued at a whopping $1.75 billion and vaults Lenovo into the top tier of computer makers around the globe. As Scott Gurvey reports, it`s a major move for IBM, which pioneered the PC.

SCOTT GURVEY, NIGHTLY BUSINESS REPORT CORRESPONDENT: The only surprise in the IBM announcement is that it took so long. IBM`s personal computing division generates more than $9 billion a year in revenue, but little or nothing in the way of profit. And IBM in recent years has focused much more on high-margin services and consulting than on the making of computer hardware. With its 1981 announcement of its PC, IBM legitimized what had been a product for the hobbyist, making it acceptable for the business world. And with the PC, IBM broke with industry tradition, using off-the-shelf parts available to others. That led to intense competition to make personal computers compatible with the IBM standard, and that competition produced a low-margin commodity business.

GURVEY: Lenovo is China`s number-one computer maker, selling under the Legend brand. With the IBM deal, Lenovo`s revenue will jump to $12 billion and it will have an 8 percent worldwide market share, putting it in third place, well behind Dell and Hewlett Packard. Lenevo will move its headquarters to New York, with a major facility in Raleigh, North Carolina, where IBM`s design and development center is based. It will hire about 10,000 current IBM employees. About 8,000 are already in China at IBM manufacturing facilities. Analysts say the $1.75 billion price is a little disappointing, but IBM may have had little choice.

WILLIAM GORMAN, TECH ANALYST, PEC ADVISORS: This gives IBM some further penetration in and some further visibility within the huge Chinese markets. And Lenovo I think was probably one of the... maybe the only buyer out there that was available.

GURVEY: IBM`s Stephen Ward will become CEO of Lenovo, which will have the right to use IBM`s brand for the next five years. He spoke on a webcast today, about the prospects for the partnership.

STEPHEN WARD, CEO DESIGNATE, LENOVO: We`re very impressed with the innovation of Lenovo, with the commitment to employees and the commitment to integrity with clients. These are the same values that IBM has. So we think the integration of our two companies will happen very quickly.

GURVEY: IBM will retain a nearly 19 percent stake in Lenovo, but it is expected that the IBM brand will disappear from the company`s products sometime in the future.

JIM LOUDERBACK EDITOR-IN-CHIEF, EWEEK.COM: There are a lot of businesses out there that were using IBM that may be thinking, I might want to go to HP or I might want to go to Dell. In the long run, though, this gives a major entr,e into the U.S. market to a Chinese company that I think has great potential and that could become a lot bigger than IBM`s 5 percent of the market right now.

GURVEY: The transaction should have little impact on IBM`s bottom line. It will reduce revenue but increase profit margins. Scott Gurvey, NIGHTLY BUSINESS REPORT, New York.

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Nightly Business Report transcripts are available on-line post broadcast. The program is transcribed by eMediaMillWorks. Updates may be posted at a later date. The views of our guests and commentators are their own and do not necessarily represent the views of Community Television Foundation of South Florida, Inc. Nightly Business Report, or WPBT. Information presented on Nightly Business Report is not and should not be considered as investment advice. Copyright (c) 2003 Community Television Foundation of South Florida, Inc. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. Terms of use.

12/08/04: China Just Says "No" To A Flexible Exchange Rate

SUSIE GHARIB: Today`s deal for Lenovo to buy the PC division of IBM is once again focusing attention on the question of China`s currency and its fixed peg against the U.S. dollar. China`s premier said today the nation will move gradually to a flexible exchange rate, but set no time frame for it. U.S. economists have accused China of keeping its currency at an artificial low to keep an unfair advantage over its trading partners. Rob McBride reports.

ROB McBRIDE, NIGHTLY BUSINESS REPORT CORRESPONDENT: Since 1995, the yuan or renminbi, has been fixed at a rate of about 8.3 against the greenback. Under China`s existing foreign exchange regulations, the yuan can only fluctuate within a tight 3 percent range. This, say critics abroad, has allowed China to undervalue its currency and given its products an unfair advantage over those of its trading partners like Japan and the United States. That advantage, they say, has created conditions under which the U.S. built up a $100 billion trade deficit with China. But some analysts say that trade deficit alone is not a good enough reason for China to revalue its currency.

QU HONIGBIN, CHINA ANALYST, HSBC: Indeed, China has been (INAUDIBLE) trade surplus, particularly with the U.S., the surplus is huge. But if you look at China`s overall trade surplus, it is less than 2 percent of GDP. It`s the lowest ratio in the emerging markets.

McBRIDE: In spite of this, there is some optimism among those in Hong Kong that an adjustment to the foreign exchange band could come sooner, rather than later. In a recent report on the China yuan, released by Standard Chartered bank, analysts including Tai Hui predicted the trading bands between the yuan and the greenback will be loosened by between 2 to 3 percent in early 2005.

TAI HUI, RESEARCHER, STANDARD CHARTERED BANK: From a (INAUDIBLE) perspective, it is symbolic of further changes to come in the next few years. But domestically we do feel there is a need for an exchange or reform . I think everyone agrees that the renminbi should be free floating eventually. The question is how we get from where we are now to the ultimate goal.

McBRIDE: But both Qu and Hui believe it will be a long time before China can allow its currency to free-float against the U.S. dollar.

HONIGBIN: And also China needs to build up institutional framework for the flexible exchange rate system. I mean, one of the things we need and must be done before the (INAUDIBLE) is to make the (INAUDIBLE) market work.

HUI: Even if, let`s say, the currency should revalue by 10 percent, but we feel that there is a lack of the right conditions for the country to revalue or for the currencies to revalue to that magnitude.

McBRIDE: A currency revaluation may be a priority for China`s trading partners, but it will have to wait as Beijing tackles what it feels are more important matters, such as how to keep its economy from overheating and how to create enough jobs to pull its hundreds of millions of citizens out of poverty. Rob McBride for NIGHTLY BUSINESS REPORT, Hong Kong.

Nightly Business Report transcripts are available on-line post broadcast. The program is transcribed by eMediaMillWorks. Updates may be posted at a later date. The views of our guests and commentators are their own and do not necessarily represent the views of Community Television Foundation of South Florida, Inc. Nightly Business Report, or WPBT. Information presented on Nightly Business Report is not and should not be considered as investment advice. Copyright (c) 2003 Community Television Foundation of South Florida, Inc. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. Terms of use.

  12/08/04: "Money File"-Creating Holiday Harmony Without Going Broke

PAUL KANGAS: In the money file tonight, how to head off a seasonal situation and help your children at the same time. Here`s Eric Schurenberg, managing editor of "Money" magazine.

ERIC SCHURENBERG MANAGING EDITOR, MONEY MAGAZINE: We`ve all been there. Despite your best intentions to protect your kids from the commercial aspects of the holidays and infuse the season with the proper spirit, the whole thing turns into one big, fat "gimme"-fest -- the kids end up throwing tantrums, you end up broke. Well, it doesn`t have to be that way. Kids are always going to want stuff. That`s natural. But you can keep things relatively under control by following a few simple rules. First, have your children set priorities. Have them rank the items on their holiday wish lists in order of importance. Then make it clear that you`ll try to see that the most important gifts arrive, but some of the others may have to wait. Offer guidance in creating the list. When a child puts a toy on the list, ask a few leading questions to assure that the gift doesn`t end up forgotten within minutes of being opened. Ask: "do you think you`ll play with this toy often?" "Do you think it will really do everything the TV commercial says it will?" Finally, try to get your child to enjoy giving as well. Ask them to make a list of people they want to give presents to, then help them come up with gifts based on that person`s interests. Let them choose between two alternatives, if appropriate, to make them feel involved. In other words, help them see that the holidays are not all about them. It`s the first step in creating in your household -- at least for this holiday season-- a little peace on earth. I`m Eric Schurenberg.

Nightly Business Report transcripts are available on-line post broadcast. The program is transcribed by eMediaMillWorks. Updates may be posted at a later date. The views of our guests and commentators are their own and do not necessarily represent the views of Community Television Foundation of South Florida, Inc. Nightly Business Report, or WPBT. Information presented on Nightly Business Report is not and should not be considered as investment advice. Copyright (c) 2003 Community Television Foundation of South Florida, Inc. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. Terms of use.

12/08/04: Paul Kangas' "Stocks In The News"

PAUL KANGAS: Wall Street rebounded from yesterday`s sell off this morning on bargain hunting and lower oil prices and gold retreated sharply on a stronger dollar. At noon, the Dow was up 45 points and NASDAQ up eight. Stocks improved a bit more this afternoon as interest rates fell while bonds surged on strong demand for an auction of five-year Treasury notes. The Dow Industrial Average closed with a gain of 53 2/3 points at 10,494.23. The NASDAQ Composite was up 11 1/2 points to 2126.11. Standard & Poor`s 500 gained 5 3/4 points to 1182.81. Over in the bond market, the 10-year note surged 27/32 putting the yield down to 4.12 percent.

New York exchange volume leader on 23.2 million shares, Lucent Technology (LU) losing a nickel a share.

Then Pfizer (PFE) moved up $0.30.

Merck & Co (MRK) managed an $0.80 gain, even though the company cut its 2005 earnings estimate from the Street consensus of $2.58 a share down to $2.42 to $2.52 at best. That would be the third straight year of lower earnings. And on top of that, CS First Boston began covering with an "under perform" rating but the stock managed to gain. Many analysts feel the sell off has been overdone.

Nortel Networks (NT) a $0.03 gain there.

And then we look at Xerox (XRX) rising $0.42, fifth in big board volume.

Avon Products (AVP) fell $1.55. The company sees fourth quarter earnings at $0.61 a share, but Standard & Poor`s said that`s below its expectations.

Texas Instrument (TXN) down $0.95 a share. The company narrowed its fourth quarter revenue and earnings guidance.

GE (GE) moving up $0.40 after Lehman Brothers brokerage upgraded it from "equal weight" to "over weight" and boosted its price target on GE from $36 to $42 a share.

Vimpelcom (VIP) tumbling $8.38. Preliminary results of 2001 tax reviews show the company owes an additional $90 million in taxes to Russia and $67 million in fines and penalties. The company disagreed with that.

Citigroup (C), tenth in volume, moved up $0.29 a share.

Newmont Mining Corp (NEM) down $0.55. New York gold, the February contract off exactly $15 to $438.70. This had an impact in other gold stocks, but they all bounced back from their worst levels of the day and AngloGold Ashanti Limited (AU) and Barrick Gold (ABX) and Freeport MCM (FCX) ended just fractionally lower. Freeport actually declared an extra year-end $0.25 per share dividend on top of the regular $0.25, regular quarterly dividend.

Analog Devices (AD) dropping $1.56. Bank of America downgraded it from "neutral" to "sell" on inventory concerns and that undermined many of the chip stocks incidentally.

General Maritime Corp. (GMR) jumping $5.24. Frontline, which is another oil tanker company, told General Marine, Maritime, that it has acquired an unspecified amount of its stock and is interested in a business combination.

Toro (TTC) up $4.78. Fourth quarter earnings nicely higher, $0.28 versus last year`s $0.21. Sales were up 8.6 percent and the company predicting first quarter earnings will rise to $0.38 to $0.43 a share.

On the downside, Unisys Corp (UIS) fell $1.08. That`s a 9 1/2 percent drop. Morgan Stanley downgraded the stock from "over weight" to just "equal weight."

NASDAQ`s most active, Sirius Satellite (SIRI) tumbling $2.11, huge percentage drop there. Both Smith Barney and Bear Stearns brokerages feel the stock is too pricey and put out "sell" recommendations on Sirius today. The "Wall Street Journal" reported some analysts think the company is paying too much for Howard Stern and for carrying National Football League games.

Then the Nasdaq 100 (QQQQ) $0.23 gain there.

Microsoft (MSFT) moved up $0.29.

Intel (INTC) in a weak chip sector, down $0.47.

Google (GOOG) fell $1.45, fifth in dollar volume.

eBay (EBAY) moved up $0.69.

Cisco (CSCO) a $0.07 gain.

Apple (AAPL) up $0.39.

Research In Motion (RIMM) up $2.11. Merrill Lynch made positive comments on the company`s growth of its Blackberry e-mail service, also boosted Research In Motion`s stock price target from 87 to 108.

Dell Inc. (DELL), tenth in volume was up $0.55 a share.

Pixar PIXR) tumbling $4.29. That`s a negative reaction to the company`s decision to delay the release of its animated movie called "Cars." It`ll delay it from 2005 to 2006.

Those are the stocks in the news.

Nightly Business Report transcripts are available on-line post broadcast. The program is transcribed by eMediaMillWorks. Updates may be posted at a later date. The views of our guests and commentators are their own and do not necessarily represent the views of Community Television Foundation of South Florida, Inc. Nightly Business Report, or WPBT. Information presented on Nightly Business Report is not and should not be considered as investment advice. Copyright (c) 2003 Community Television Foundation of South Florida, Inc. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. Terms of use.

12/08/04: Market Stats


                  
                                      NET    PERCENT
                         CLOSE     CHANGE     CHANGE

DOW CLOSE             10494.23     +53.65       + .5
HIGH                                        10506.85
LOW                                         10438.66

NASDAQ COMP.           2126.11     +11.45        +.5
HIGH                                         2130.76
LOW                                          2110.57

VOLUME                                       1,525.0
PREVIOUS                                     1,530.0
UP VOLUME                                      825.8
DOWN VOLUME                                    682.8

DOW TRANSPORTS         3723.93     +54.27      + 1.5
DOW UTILITIES           318.36       -.71       - .2
CLOSING TICK                                    +583

S&P 500                1182.81      +5.74       + .5
S&P 100                 563.81      +2.87       + .5
MIDCAP 400              637.71      +3.79       + .6
REUTERS/CRB             278.81      -2.40       - .9

NYSE COMPOSITE         7029.97     +15.25       + .2
VALUE LINE              389.74      +1.51       + .4
RUSSELL 2000            631.15      +5.65       + .9
DJW 5000              11637.01     +54.91       + .5

U.S. TREASURIES
5-YEAR NOTE 3.50%
Nov. 15,2009         100           +13/32     + 3.50

10-YEAR NOTE 4.25%
Nov. 15,2014         101  2/32     +27/32     + 4.12

30-YEAR NOTE 5.375%
Feb. 15, 2031        108 26/32   +1 23/32     + 4.78

LEHMAN BROS.
LONG BOND INDEX        1771.87     +20.73


DOW CLOSE             10494.23     +53.65       + .5
ADVANCES                                        1973
DECLINES                                        1326
NEW HIGHS                                         88
NEW LOWS                                          40

                                      NET    PERCENT
NYSE MOST ACTIVES    4PM CLOSE     CHANGE     CHANGE
LU    Lucent Tech         3.73       -.05       -1.3
PFE   Pfizer             27.50       +.30       +1.1
MRK   Merck & Co         28.69       +.80       +2.9
NT    Nortel Networks     3.76       +.03        +.8
XRX   Xerox              16.12       +.42       +2.7
AVP   Avon Products      37.89      -1.55       -3.9
TXN   Texas Instrument   24.05       -.95       -3.8
GE    GE                 35.71       +.40       +1.1
VIP   Vimpelcom          30.10      -8.38      -21.8
C     Citigroup          46.29       +.29        +.6

NASDAQ CLOSE           2126.11    + 11.45       + .5
VOLUME                                       2,401.3
PREVIOUS                                     2,689.4
ADVANCES                                        1758
DECLINES                                        1394

NASDAQ ACTIVES
SIRI  Sirius Satellite    6.90      -2.11      -23.5
QQQQ  Nasdaq 100         39.81       +.23        +.6
MSFT  Microsoft          27.36       +.29       +1.1
INTC  Intel              23.01       -.47       -2.0
GOOG  Google            169.98      -1.45        -.9
EBAY  eBay              114.61       +.69        +.6
CSCO  Cisco Systems      19.80       +.07        +.4
AAPL  Apple Computer     63.28       +.39        +.6
RIMM  Rsch In Motion     91.72      +2.11       +2.4
DELL  Dell Inc           41.86       +.55       +1.3

AMEX CLOSE             1386.62     - 2.99       - .2

INDEX SHARES
DIA   DIAMONDS TRUST    105.01       +.60        +.6
QQQ   NASDAQ 100         39.81       +.23        +.6
SPY   S&P DEP.RECEIPTS  118.73       +.63        +.5

STOCKS IN THE NEWS
NEM   Newmont Mining     44.76       -.55       -1.2
AU    Anglogold Ashanti  37.32       -.55       -1.5
ABX   Barrick Gold       23.09       -.49       -2.1
FRX   Forest Labs        41.83       +.27        +.7
ADI   Analog Devices     36.14      -1.56       -4.1
GMR   General Maritime   49.21      +5.24      +11.9
TTC   Toro Co            77.48      +4.78       +6.6
UIS   Unisys             10.32      -1.08       -9.5
PIXR  Pixar              86.77      -4.29       -4.7

 

 

 

 

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