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Program: Monday, December 20, 2004

President Bush Lists His Priorites For Term Two
Stephen O`Sullivan, chief strategist for United Financial Group On The Future of Yukos
Corporate Giving-Part 1: Who Really Benefits?
Commentary: How To Finance The Privatization of Social Security?
"Gifts & Gadgets"-High Tech Fun & Games
Paul Kangas' "Stocks In The News"
Market Stats

12/20/04: President Bush Lists His Priorites For Term Two

SUSIE GHARIB: President Bush said today the nation`s Social Security system is in crisis. At his last news conference of 2004, the president said he now plans to call on Congress to change the way the system is administered. President Bush also laid out his economic agenda for his second term in office. As Darren Gersh reports, one of the president`s priorities is reducing the budget deficit.

DARREN GERSH, NIGHTLY BUSINESS REPORT CORRESPONDENT: This Christmas season, the president hinted his budget for the coming year will deliver more than a few lumps of coal.

GEORGE W. BUSH, PRESIDENT OF THE UNITED STATES: It`s going to be a tough budget, no question about it and it`s a budget that I think will send the right signal to the financial markets and to those concerned about our short-term deficits.

GERSH: According to gallerywatch.com, a Web site that tracks the budget, excluding spending for defense, Social Security and Medicare, the president`s 2006 budget is expected to call for spending cuts in roughly half of all Federal programs. But asked about what is considered his top priority for the New Year, Social Security reform, the president seemed to step back slightly, setting the issue in what he called "proper perspective."

BUSH: It is a very important issue, but it is not the only issue, very important issue, we`ll be dealing with. I expect the Congress to bring forth meaningful tort reform. I want the legal system reformed in such a way that we are competitive in the world.

GERSH: The president also includes on that list of issues the budget, education and immigration reform. While Social Security remains the centerpiece of the president`s agenda, the language Mr. Bush used today subtly reflects the depth of opposition he faces from Democrats and even some Republicans.

TOM MANN, CONGRESSIONAL ANALYST, BROOKINGS INSTITUTION: So he`s looking to broaden the agenda so as not to put the stakes too high on Social Security reform because he may well fail.

GERSH: Which may explain why the president stresses the need to educate members of Congress.

BUSH: Understand how this works. You know, many times legislative bodies will not react unless the crisis is apparent, the crisis is upon them. I believe the crisis is, and so for a period of time we are going to have to explain to members of Congress the crisis is here.

GERSH: The president argues that it is a lot less painful to act now on Social Security, rather than wait. That may be true in a fiscal sense, but not a political one, especially for members of Congress who have to be re-elected. Darren Gersh, NIGHTLY BUSINESS REPORT, Washington.

Nightly Business Report transcripts are available on-line post broadcast. The program is transcribed by eMediaMillWorks. Updates may be posted at a later date. The views of our guests and commentators are their own and do not necessarily represent the views of Community Television Foundation of South Florida, Inc. Nightly Business Report, or WPBT. Information presented on Nightly Business Report is not and should not be considered as investment advice. Copyright (c) 2003 Community Television Foundation of South Florida, Inc. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. Terms of use.


12/20/04: Stephen O`Sullivan, chief strategist for United Financial Group On The Future of Yukos

PAUL KANGAS: The intrigue continues tonight over just who won this weekend`s auction of the largest production unit of Russian oil giant Yukos. Baikal Finance group had the highest bid, $9.4 billion, $700 million over the government`s starting price. The problem is, no one knows much about Baikal or who runs it. Today, Yukos` chief executive said it won`t turn over control of its production unit until the full identity of the buyer is known. Analysts suspect Baikal is probably a front for another Russian company with ties to the Kremlin. Interestingly, Russian gas giant Gazprom was widely expected to bid but did not, and says it is not linked to Baikal. The government auctioned part of Yukos off to pay $27 billion in back taxes. In Moscow, reporter Anya Ardayeva sat down with Stephen O`Sullivan, chief strategist for United Financial Group, and began by asking him about the implications of Yukos falling apart.

STEPHEN O`SULLIVAN, CHIEF STRATEGIST, UNITED FINANCIAL GROUP: Well, in terms of the oil industry, the whole uncertainty at Yukos has led to prices being higher than they otherwise would have been. It`s been a tough year for oil, basically. Supply has been deficient. Demand has been growing. Any uncertainty to supply, whether it`s in the middle east, whether it`s in Russia, whether it`s anywhere is causing problems.

ANYA ARDAYEVA, NIGHTLY BUSINESS REPORT CORRESPONDENT: If there`s nothing left of Yukos, do you think Mikhail Khodorkovsky would still go to jail?

O`SULLIVAN: If Mr. Khodorkovsky is found guilty and the trend would suggest that he will be found guilty, then he will go to jail and spend some time there. Now, he`s spent maybe a year and a quarter there already. Maybe he won`t be sentenced to the full 10 years, but at the moment, neither of the two sides seems to have been in the mood to compromise, so I think it would be unwise to speculate on a very light jail term.

ARDAYEVA: Last week, Russia`s number two telecom was slapped with back taxes again. Do you think, how widespread do you think that is going to be and what kind of message does it send to foreign investors?

O`SULLIVAN: When it was limited to Yukos, you could say it`s Yukos only, nothing else. Once it spreads to one other oligarch group, then we really don`t know where it`s going to end. The hope is that it doesn`t go any further. The hope is that it`s not escalated to Vimpelcom, because if it does, the whole basis of private ownership in the country, the basis for investment, the basis for doubling GDP, which is President Putin`s medium term aim, is really called into question.

ARDAYEVA: How much of Russia`s slowing economic growth is at play here?

O`SULLIVAN: Investment is the key to growth. Any uncertainty about property ownership and that was one of the great legacies of the first Putin term, basically enshrining property ownership from the middle of 2000. That was a very positive development. If that`s called into question, it will make entrepreneurs, whether they are American, European, British or Russia be nervous.

ARDAYEVA: Putin`s relations with the west seem to be cooling as the president is now choosing more strategic ties with the east. How significant is this shift for Russia you think?

O`SULLIVAN: It has very logical commercial interests with China in terms of selling oil and selling gas there. It has very large trade relations with India in terms of arms trade, in terms of energy trade, energy investment, et cetera.

ARDAYEVA: How important is it to China and other countries in the east?

O`SULLIVAN: There`s this long-running and yet to be settled debate on which way the pipeline to the Asian markets is going. Is it going to Japan? Is it going to China? My sense is that it will go to Japan. There`s the issue about the TNKBP (ph) led project to take (INAUDIBLE) from east Siberia down to China and Korea. That`s moving ahead slowly, not as fast, I think as everybody involved would like. The Chinese are very keen to diversify their sources of gas imports. They are very keen to diversify their sources of oil imports. They know they are going to be energy dependent in the future. They want as many supply options available to them as possible.

ARDAYEVA: How do you think these recent changes in Putin`s strategy will be interpreted by foreign investors?

O`SULLIVAN: We have also got the Ukraine situation which seemed to be beginning to look like it might destabilize Ukraine. Russia has its own interests. It`s important to realize that. They don`t have to agree with the EU and the U.S. But the mere fact that they chose to disagree and back a different candidate sends a signal to western investors that this is an interesting market, but it is not a market that is going to develop in exactly the mirror image of western markets. It is led by politicians who have their own agenda for how they want to see Russia develop both politically and economically.

Nightly Business Report transcripts are available on-line post broadcast. The program is transcribed by eMediaMillWorks. Updates may be posted at a later date. The views of our guests and commentators are their own and do not necessarily represent the views of Community Television Foundation of South Florida, Inc. Nightly Business Report, or WPBT. Information presented on Nightly Business Report is not and should not be considered as investment advice. Copyright (c) 2003 Community Television Foundation of South Florida, Inc. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. Terms of use.

12/20/04: Corporate Giving-Part 1: Who Really Benefits?

SUSIE GHARIB: `Tis the season to give. But for most American companies, the season for giving isn`t just the holidays, it`s all year round. Businesses give billions to charity every year and many view philanthropy as an integral part of their corporate image. Tonight we begin a three-part series looking at corporate giving. As Diane Eastabrook reports companies are giving more, but they`re being more selective about just who gets their money and their time.

DIANE EASTABROOK, NIGHTLY BUSINESS REPORT CORRESPONDENT: WW Grainger employees recently played Santa and his elves at a Christmas breakfast for 80 local soldiers and their families. Ronald McDonald house charities rolled out a new mobile dental lab for underprivileged kids on Chicago`s south side. And area businesses, including Lasalle Bank recently donated money to help build a new state of the art business school at the University of Chicago. These are examples of corporate philanthropy at work. Bradford Ballast directs charitable giving at Lasalle Bank. He says the bank`s quarter of a million dollar donation to the U. of C. is simply good business.

BRADFORD BALLAST, CORPORATE CONTRIBUTIONS DIR., LASALLE BANK: We have a lot of graduates and members of our executive management who are a part of the University of Chicago and it`s also a major university in a city that a good corporate citizen would support.

EASTABROOK: Corporate generosity funds everything from head start programs for kids to art exhibits and it`s rising along with corporate profits. Last year, American businesses donated about $13.5 billion to charity, a more than 4 percent increase over 2002. Jimmie Alford, an advisor to nonprofit organizations, expects this to be an even better year for charities.

JIMMIE ALFORD, CHAIRMAN, THE ALFORD GROUP: If we estimate corporate profits to be up some 20 percent this year and accelerating, it would stand to reason that philanthropy will increase in a commensurate way. So, we are very optimistic that corporate giving will increase significantly over the next two or three years.

EASTABROOK: Increasingly these days, corporate giving is as much about marketing as it is philanthropy. More and more companies are donating money to charities whose missions are tied directly with their businesses. For example, the home improvement chain Home Depot builds playgrounds with the nonprofit group Kaboom. This year the retailer donated $5 million in cash and supplies for 100 parks. Motorola is pledging $3 million to a national law enforcement museum because many police departments use its radios. And W.W. Grainger, the nation`s largest supplier of maintenance products, donates millions of dollars in cash and goods annually to the victims of natural disasters. Chairman and CEO Richard Keyser says Grainger`s approach enhances its brand while supporting the communities it serves.

RICHARD KEYSER, CHAIRMAN & CEO, W.W. GRAINGER: What we generally try to do is to donate enough of the product that we`re not profiting from the emergency, but in that process, we build strong relationships with people that go on for life in some cases.

EASTABROOK: Keyser thinks giving also helps companies strengthen their relationships with their workers. He says donating money and time to worthy causes builds morale and makes employees feel good about their jobs and themselves. Diane Eastabrook, NIGHTLY BUSINESS REPORT, Lake Forest, Illinois.

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Nightly Business Report transcripts are available on-line post broadcast. The program is transcribed by eMediaMillWorks. Updates may be posted at a later date. The views of our guests and commentators are their own and do not necessarily represent the views of Community Television Foundation of South Florida, Inc. Nightly Business Report, or WPBT. Information presented on Nightly Business Report is not and should not be considered as investment advice. Copyright (c) 2003 Community Television Foundation of South Florida, Inc. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. Terms of use.

  12/20/04: Commentary: How To Finance The Privatization of Social Security?

SUSIE GHARIB: Tonight`s commentator suggests it`s time we take a closer look at President Bush`s plans to partially privatize Social Security. Here`s Alan Blinder, partner in the Promontory Financial Group and former vice chair of the Federal Reserve.

ALAN BLINDER, FORMER VICE CHAIR, FEDERAL RESERVE: Have you heard the one about the government bonds that weren`t? It`s the latest bad joke coming out of Washington. And if you haven`t heard it yet, you should or else America might fall prey to the biggest accounting scam in history. As you may know, the president wants to partially privatize Social Security. Privatization may or may not be a good idea. That`s a subject for another day. But regardless of how you feel about it, privatization will cost money up front, lots of it. Where will the money come from? The choices are the usual ones: less spending, more taxes or more borrowing. That means adding the bill to the already-bloated budget deficit. And guess what? Many Republicans seem to favor the borrowing option. I don`t think that`s very good policy. But let it pass, because now comes the punch line. While the government is borrowing all this money and I mean trillions of dollars over decades, one idea is to pretend that the borrowing is not borrowing. Yes, you heard that right. Here`s their argument. The government already has an obligation to pick up the Social Security tab eventually. So turning this implicit debt into explicit debt and then selling it on the bond market is a non-event. So let`s not count the new debt as debt, even as we sell massive amounts of it. If that sounds like a scam to you, it should. Let your congressman know or else the joke may be on us. I`m Alan Blinder.

Nightly Business Report transcripts are available on-line post broadcast. The program is transcribed by eMediaMillWorks. Updates may be posted at a later date. The views of our guests and commentators are their own and do not necessarily represent the views of Community Television Foundation of South Florida, Inc. Nightly Business Report, or WPBT. Information presented on Nightly Business Report is not and should not be considered as investment advice. Copyright (c) 2003 Community Television Foundation of South Florida, Inc. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. Terms of use.

12/20/04: "Gifts & Gadgets"-High Tech Fun & Games

SUSIE GHARIB: And finally tonight, if you`re like millions of other Americans, you still haven`t finished your Christmas shopping. Maybe we can help, although you`re going to have to hit the stores yourself. In the final part of our annual "gifts and gadgets" series, our technology maven Scott Gurvey has some last minute ideas for fun and games.

SCOTT GURVEY, NIGHTLY BUSINESS REPORT CORRESPONDENT: There are video games for children of all ages this holiday season. The action games are still best sellers, games like Electronic Arts Medal of Honor and Microsoft has a runaway hit with the Shooter Halo 2, where you defend the earth from alien attack. Personally I prefer simulations to shoot `em ups and the best seller again is the Sims, now in its second edition. You really create the players and the environment in Sims 2 and through the Internet you can interact with other Sim worlds. The personal relationships can get, well, personal, so this is a game for teenagers and older. All ages are appropriate for sports simulations and Madden 2005 is the best by far. You can feel the pain with every hit. Faced with new competition, Electronic Arts has lowered the price of Madden 2005. You`ll find it for about $30. Most of these games cost $30 or $50. This is the year of the digital camera, in part because of the tremendous improvements in printers, which can put those digital images on paper. Cameras come in a huge range of prices and features. If you are just going to display the pictures on screen or post them to the web, two or three mega-pixels will do. For printing you want at least four. The more pixels, the bigger the prints you can make. Ulead`s (ph) Picture Show 3 is both a photo album, which helps you store and organize your images, and a CD and DVD burner that let`s you make slide shows to play on your television. It sells for about $50. The Wacom Intuos (ph) tablet is a great addition to the tools of any serious photographer or artist. The tablet has a pressure sensitive pen. It also has a five button mouse. Wacom`s bundled software package is a terrific value with Adobe`s Photoshop elements for photo retouching and Corel painter essentials for drawing and illustrating. It is priced beginning at $250 depending on the size of the tablet you buy. And now for something completely different. How would you like a hand held device that for $20 plays the game of 20 questions? This remarkable game is called 20 Q and if it doesn`t guess perfectly at least it usually comes close. From a company called Radica (ph), this gadget is truly addictive. Scott Gurvey, NIGHTLY BUSINESS REPORT, New York.

GHARIB: So addictive, Paul, that in the bureau today, everybody was passing that around and playing with that toy. So for $20 that looks like a good stocking stuffer.

KANGAS: I haven`t seen it yet, but I doubt I can answer many of those questions.

Nightly Business Report transcripts are available on-line post broadcast. The program is transcribed by eMediaMillWorks. Updates may be posted at a later date. The views of our guests and commentators are their own and do not necessarily represent the views of Community Television Foundation of South Florida, Inc. Nightly Business Report, or WPBT. Information presented on Nightly Business Report is not and should not be considered as investment advice. Copyright (c) 2003 Community Television Foundation of South Florida, Inc. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. Terms of use.

12/20/04: Paul Kangas' "Stocks In The News"

PAUL KANGAS: Wall Street opened moderately higher on lower oil prices and news that November`s leading economic indicators rose 0.2 percent, breaking a five-month losing streak. Shortly after 10:00 a.m., the Dow was up 70 points, NASDAQ up 14. Then weakness in the drug group chipped away at the blue chips throughout the afternoon while profit taking in the tech sector undermined the NASDAQ market. The Dow industrial average came in with a gain of only 11 2/3 points at 10,661.60. The NASDAQ Composite slid (ph) 7 1/3 points to 2127.85. Standard & Poor`s 500 gained just a fraction at 1194.65. In the bond market, the 10-year note was up 4/32 at par and 16/32, putting the yield at 4.19 percent.

Pfizer`s stock hit the skids again today. The volume leader on 90.6 million shares Pfizer (PFE) down another $1.46. A number of analysts at brokerages cut earnings estimates on Pfizer rather sharply.

News Corp. (NWS) down $0.19. It was extremely active last Friday when it was added to the Standard & Poor`s 500 index, apparently a little more index fund buying today.

Lucent Technologies (LU) moved up a nickel.

General Electric (GE) $0.36 gain.

ExxonMobil (XOM) gained $1.26, fifth in volume.

Sprint FON Group (FON) $0.17 gain there.

Merck & Company (MRK) down $0.08.

Time Warner (TWX) edged up a penny.

And then Exelon (EXC) up $1.19. The company`s stock buy out bid for public service enterprise is worth about 52 3/4 and public service stock today was $3.29, at $50.56.

Nokia (NOK) tenth in volume, moved up $0.09.

Monsanto (MON) did well today, up $1.05. The company sees that first quarter loss of $0.16 a share but then it said it`s going to come back with earnings next year in the range of $1.77 to $1.90 per share.

Constellation Brands (STZ) down $1.89. UBS Financial downgraded it from "buy" to "neutral" because the stock is getting very close to its $50 a share target price.

Commercial Metals (CMC) up $4.32, big earnings, first quarter $2.42 versus only $0.44 last year and sales shot up 84 percent.

Kramont Realty Trust (KRT) up $3.47. The company will be acquired by Central Wat (ph) America, another REIT. The price, $23.50 a share cash.

Hypercom (HYC) down $0.63, but it traded as low as $4.70 after the company today cut its 2004 income forecast from the $21 to $22 million range all the way down to 13.4 to 16 1/2 million shares.

And then Cott Corporation (COT), the beverage company, down $2.69. The company sees 2004 results at the low end of its guidance. It cites higher raw material costs.

McAfee (MFE) down $1.97. Microsoft is going to switch to Trend Micro Corporation`s anti-virus technology for its MSN hot mail service and Trend Micro stock jumped $4.30 to $54.78 on that news.

OfficeMax (OMX) off $1.37. The company began a probe of vendor allegations regarding improper requests for promotional payments. Until all this is resolved, the company`s postponed any stock buyback. That chart is very short because this is the spin off from Boise Cascade.

And then Martha Stewart Living Omnimedia (MSO) down $1.90. Last week, Martha Stewart herself sold 300,000 shares of her own stock.

Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) topped the active list again, down $0.28.

Followed by Microsoft (MSFT) a penny loss.

Google (GOOG) up $4.94.

Symantec (SYMC) down $1.33.

And Apple (AAPL) down $2.27 on some profit taking.

Intel (INTC) $0.07 loss.

$0.06 gain in Cisco Systems (CSCO).

eBay (EBAY) down a dime.

Sirius Satellite Radio (SIRI) moving up $0.29.

And Veritas Software (VRTS) down $1.30, tenth in volume.

Standard Microsystems (SMSC) plunging $4.03 or 18 percent. The company in with third quarter results way down, only $0.03 versus $0.77 a year ago. The Street was looking not for $0.03, but for $0.12. On top of that, the company says its fourth quarter earnings will come in around $0.03 to $0.07. That`s well below the Wall Street estimate of $0.08 a share. The company cites part of the problem is receivables, accounts receivables.

Those are the stocks in the news tonight.

Nightly Business Report transcripts are available on-line post broadcast. The program is transcribed by eMediaMillWorks. Updates may be posted at a later date. The views of our guests and commentators are their own and do not necessarily represent the views of Community Television Foundation of South Florida, Inc. Nightly Business Report, or WPBT. Information presented on Nightly Business Report is not and should not be considered as investment advice. Copyright (c) 2003 Community Television Foundation of South Florida, Inc. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. Terms of use.

12/20/04: Market Stats


                  
                                      NET    PERCENT
                         CLOSE     CHANGE     CHANGE
DOW CLOSE             10661.60     +11.68       + .1
HIGH                                        10735.27
LOW                                         10652.07

NASDAQ COMP.           2127.85      -7.35        -.3
HIGH                                         2154.48
LOW                                          2124.22

VOLUME                                       1,423.0
PREVIOUS                                     2,484.1
UP VOLUME                                      670.7
DOWN VOLUME                                    723.6

DOW TRANSPORTS         3730.88     -20.19       - .5
DOW UTILITIES           333.21      +4.12      + 1.3
CLOSING TICK                                    +582

S&P 500                1194.65       +.43       + .0
S&P 100                 567.80       +.43       + .1
MIDCAP 400              648.72      -2.94       - .5
REUTERS/CRB             287.23       +.04       + .0

NYSE COMPOSITE         7116.98     +18.83       + .3
VALUE LINE              394.85      -1.54       - .4
RUSSELL 2000            638.05      -4.03       - .6
DJW 5000              11772.61     -10.62       - .1

U.S. TREASURIES
5-YEAR NOTE 3.50%
Dec. 15,2009          99 21/32      unch.     + 3.58

10-YEAR NOTE 4.25%
Nov. 15,2014         100 16/32      +4/32     + 4.19

30-YEAR NOTE 5.375%
Feb. 15, 2031        108 9/32       +8/32     + 4.82

LEHMAN BROS.
LONG BOND INDEX        1763.28      +1.83


DOW CLOSE             10661.60     +11.68       + .1
ADVANCES                                        1642
DECLINES                                        1675
NEW HIGHS                                        244
NEW LOWS                                          12

                                      NET    PERCENT
NYSE MOST ACTIVES    4PM CLOSE     CHANGE     CHANGE
PFE   Pfizer             24.29      -1.46       -5.7
NWSa  News Corp A        18.46       -.19       -1.0
LU    Lucent Tech         3.82       +.05       +1.3
GE    GE                 37.11       +.36       +1.0
XOM   Exxon Mobil        51.06      +1.26       +2.5
FON   Sprint Fon Grp     24.84       +.17        +.7
MRK   Merck & Co         31.51       -.08        -.3
TWX   Time Warner        19.40       +.01        +.1
EXC   Exelon Corp        43.05      +1.19       +2.8
NOK   Nokia              15.24       +.09        +.6

NASDAQ CLOSE           2127.85     - 7.35       - .3
VOLUME                                       2,008.0
PREVIOUS                                     2,382.9
ADVANCES                                        1168
DECLINES                                        2002

NASDAQ ACTIVES
QQQQ  Nasdaq 100         39.20       -.28        -.7
MSFT  Microsoft          26.95       -.01        -.0
GOOG  Google            185.02      +4.94       +2.7
SYMC  Symantec           24.04      -1.33       -5.2
AAPL  Apple Computer     62.72      -2.27       -3.5
INTC  Intel              22.70       -.07        -.3
CSCO  Cisco Systems      19.05       +.06        +.3
EBAY  eBay              114.65       -.10        -.1
SIRI  Sirius Sat Radi     7.97       +.29       +3.8
VRTS  Veritas Software   26.45      -1.30       -4.7

AMEX CLOSE             1414.57     + 5.36       + .4

INDEX SHARES
DIA   DIAMONDS TRUST    106.62       +.09        +.1
QQQ   NASDAQ 100         39.20       -.28        -.7
SPY   S&P DEP.RECEIPTS  119.47       +.03        +.0

STOCKS IN THE NEWS
               Display Name
MON   Monsanto           52.49      +1.05       +2.0
STZ   Constellation A    45.93      -1.89       -4.0
CMC   Commercial Metal   47.42      +4.32      +10.0
KRT   Kramont Realty     23.55      +3.47      +17.3
HYC   Hypercom            5.39       -.63      -10.5
COT   Cott Corp          24.41      -2.69       -9.9
MFE   McAfee             26.98      -1.97       -6.8
OMX   Officemax          31.13      -1.37       -4.2
MSO   Martha Stewart     25.70      -1.90       -6.9
SMSC  Standard Micro     18.35      -4.03      -18.0
 




 

 

 

 

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