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Program: Monday, October 3, 2005

President Bush Makes A Supreme Court Successor Selection
Construction Spending Continues To Build
GM & Ford's Employee Discount Hook Up Leaves Them Hanging

One On One With Paul Stebbins is the CEO of World Fuel Services
"Commentary"- The Greenspan Legacy
Paul Kangas' Stocks In The News
Market Stats

10/03/05: President Bush Makes A Supreme Court Successor Selection

SUSIE GHARIB: President Bush nominated Harriet Miers to the Supreme Court today, putting his stamp on the nation`s highest court for the second time this year. If confirmed, Miers will replace retiring Justice Sandra Day O`Connor. The nomination comes as the high court began its new term, with newly installed Chief Justice John Roberts presiding. Stephanie Dhue reports.

STEPHANIE DHUE, NIGHTLY BUSINESS REPORT CORRESPONDENT: President Bush chose a trusted friend to nominate to the Supreme Court. His choice, Harriet Miers has served in the administration for the past five years. She`s now the president`s chief counsel and served as the Texas lottery administrator while Bush was governor.

GEORGE W. BUSH, PRESIDENT OF THE UNITED STATES: I`ve known Harriet for more than a decade. I know her heart; I know her character.

DHUE: Miers made clear she shares the president`s judicial philosophy.

HARRIET MIERS, SUPREME COURT NOMINEE: If confirmed, I recognize that I will have a tremendous responsibility to keep our judicial system strong and to help ensure that the courts meet their obligations to strictly apply the laws and the constitution.

DHUE: Miers went right to work, meeting with senators who will vote on her nomination. Reaction there was largely positive. Unlike most members of the Supreme Court, Miers has never served as a judge. The Senate`s top Democrat said that`s a plus.

SEN. HARRY REID, SENATE MINORITY LEADER: I don`t want to denigrate in any way Ivy League schools, but I think that that should not be a requirement that you become a clerk or a judge.

DHUE: While most of the scrutiny of Miers will be on hot-button issues like abortion, the business community will be interested in her views on issues like punitive damages, class action and interstate commerce. Chief Justice John Roberts views are also uncertain.

LISA KLOPPENBERG, DEAN OF LAW, UNIVERSITY OF DAYTON: I think it`s safe to say that they won`t rock the boat, and if they do take the court in a more radical direction, my guess is that it would be in favor of most business interest, large business interests and it would be in favor of presidential power, more executive power.

DHUE: Miers nomination overshadowed the opening of the Supreme Court term with its new leader Chief Justice Roberts. Justice Sandra Day O`Connor will stay on the court until her successor is confirmed. In keeping with tradition, any cases decided with O`Connor as the swing vote will be reheard. Stephanie Dhue, NIGHTLY BUSINESS REPORT, Washington.


Nightly Business Report transcripts are available on-line post broadcast. The program is transcribed by eMediaMillWorks. Updates may be posted at a later date. The views of our guests and commentators are their own and do not necessarily represent the views of Community Television Foundation of South Florida, Inc. Nightly Business Report, or WPBT. Information presented on Nightly Business Report is not and should not be considered as investment advice. Copyright (c) 2005 Community Television Foundation of South Florida, Inc. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. Terms of use.

10/03/05: Construction Spending Continues To Build

PAUL KANGAS: Many analysts have been expecting to see the torrid pace of home building cool as mortgage rates rise. But there is no evidence of that in the latest construction spending report. Scott Gurvey explains.

SCOTT GURVEY, NIGHTLY BUSINESS REPORT CORRESPONDENT: Construction spending climbed to a record high in August mostly because of increases in home building. The Commerce Department says total August spending rose by 0.4 of 1 percent, the biggest increase in three months. It pushed building activity to an all time high of $1.1 trillion. The August totals do not include any hurricane-related building because Katrina did not hit until the end of the month. In addition, only a fraction of nationwide construction normally occurs in the most effected states of Louisiana, Alabama and Mississippi. Construction patterns will change in the months ahead as the rebuilding proceeds in the hurricane areas. Spending on the rebuilding of homes and businesses will add to construction figures.

CONRAD DEQUADROS, SR. ECONOMIST, BEAR STEARNS: The National Association of Home Builders estimates that maybe as many as 275,000 housing units were destroyed by the hurricane. Our belief is that as we get towards the end of 2005 and into early 2006, these construction spending data will likely get something of a lift from hurricane rebuilding.

GURVEY: But there is also a possibility hurricane building will cut some spending in other areas due to shortages of manpower and building materials.

DREW MATUS, SENIOR MARKET ECONOMIST, LEHMAN BROTHERS: I`m not sure if you`ll see shortages. I think you`ll definitely see price increases for those kinds of materials. You know we saw something very similar after the Iraq war when the U.S. was building a lot of bases over in Iraq. They bought a lot of plywood and we saw plywood prices increase. This will be the same kind of thing where the U.S. or construction companies in general are buying lots of material in order to rebuild part of the country.

GURVEY: In spite of the hurricane`s impact, analysts believe the sales of both new and existing homes will set another record this year. That will be five records in a row. Scott Gurvey, NIGHTLY BUSINESS REPORT, New York.


Nightly Business Report transcripts are available on-line post broadcast. The program is transcribed by eMediaMillWorks. Updates may be posted at a later date. The views of our guests and commentators are their own and do not necessarily represent the views of Community Television Foundation of South Florida, Inc. Nightly Business Report, or WPBT. Information presented on Nightly Business Report is not and should not be considered as investment advice. Copyright (c) 2005 Community Television Foundation of South Florida, Inc. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. Terms of use.

10/03/05: GM & Ford's Employee Discount Hook Up Leaves Them Hanging

SUSIE GHARIB: U.S. auto makers may finally be paying the price for those employee discount programs that ignited sales over the summer. GM and Ford both saw vehicles sales plummet in September, while Chrysler eked out a modest gain. But as Diane Eastabrook reports, Detroit auto makers face other obstacles that aren`t likely to disappear any time soon.

DIANE EASTABROOK, NIGHTLY BUSINESS REPORT CORRESPONDENT: Analysts think General Motors and Ford lured so many consumers into showrooms over the past few months with employee discount plans, there weren`t enough buyers left to take advantage of the deals in September. Sales dropped an eye-popping 24 percent at GM and 19 percent at Ford. Sales at Chrysler were up a modest 4 percent. Meanwhile, Japanese auto companies, which haven`t offered similar plans saw their sales soar during the month. But industry watchers say a lack of interested buyers was only part of the problem.

JOHN NOVAK, AUTO ANALYST, MORNINGSTAR: GM also ran low on inventories during the month, so you had people looking for certain models. They went to GM dealers, ultimately couldn`t find what they were looking for, so they decided to look elsewhere and that helped drive the sales of Chrysler and some of the Asian manufacturers.

EASTABROOK: Analysts think high gas prices also contributed to the domestics disappointing month and could continue to plague them down the road. Sales of sport utility vehicles and pickups dropped dramatically at both General Motors and Ford. Those vehicles have been mainstays for the two automakers. While Ford and GM say sales of crossover vehicles are picking up steam, analysts say they aren`t as profitable as light trucks. Morgan Stanley analyst Jonathan Steinmetz`s company has an investment banking relationship with both Ford and GM.

JONATHAN STEINMETZ, AUTO ANALYST, MORGAN STANLEY: The large SUVs and the large pickups on an incremental profit per unit basis we think are higher than some of these other vehicles. And the big three or the Detroit three have much higher share in some of these large SUVs. GM is 64 percent share than they do in crossover which is much more fragmented and provides a little less opportunity to gain price.

EASTABROOK: Steinmetz says it is hard to determine from just one month if higher gas prices will continue to impact sales of larger vehicles. Ford is currently planning another restructuring to help deal with its shrinking market share. Steinmetz thinks GM may have to do the same think if its market share doesn`t improve.

STEINMETZ: There is a roadmap out of this mess, but the current situation does need to be changed.

EASTABROOK: Steinmetz says for GM that may mean a stronger portfolio with fewer brands. Diane Eastabrook, NIGHTLY BUSINESS REPORT, Chicago.


Nightly Business Report transcripts are available on-line post broadcast. The program is transcribed by eMediaMillWorks. Updates may be posted at a later date. The views of our guests and commentators are their own and do not necessarily represent the views of Community Television Foundation of South Florida, Inc. Nightly Business Report, or WPBT. Information presented on Nightly Business Report is not and should not be considered as investment advice. Copyright (c) 2005 Community Television Foundation of South Florida, Inc. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. Terms of use.

10/03/05: One On One With Paul Stebbins is the CEO of World Fuel Services

SUSIE GHARIB: Our guest tonight is in the business of helping airlines and shipping companies save money on fuel. Paul Stebbins is the CEO of World Fuel Services. It supplies fuel to airlines and shipping fleets at more than 2,500 airports and seaports around the globe. Mr. Stebbins, welcome to NIGHTLY BUSINESS REPORT.

PAUL STEBBINS, CHAIRMAN & CEO, WORLD FUEL SERVICES: Thanks for having me Susie. Good evening.

GHARIB: Good evening to you. Well we`ve seen jet fuel prices double this year, they have slipped back recently. I want to get your forecast for the next year or two on jet fuel.

STEBBINS: Sure. I think purchasing is going to be more difficult than ever for these entities, both in the shipping and the aviation side. There`s so much pressure with the refining shut backs because of the hurricanes and refining was already at very maximum capacity prior to the storms. This just puts tremendous pressure on middle distillates, jet fuel, as well as residual fuel and as you say, prices have almost doubled this year and I don`t see any abatement in the near term.

GHARIB: And that`s why we heard on Friday some airlines like Continental and Delta say that they`re going to be raising ticket prices by $20 round trip because of those high prices, and we also hear from American Airlines saying that they`re going to have to cancel some of their flights because of high prices. Do you think that we will see airlines actually being grounded because they can`t handle these high jet fuel prices?

STEBBINS: Certainly having a tremendous impact on their business models. And as you know, anybody who`s followed the press, the aviation business model, the legacy carriers are being tremendously challenged in terms of restructuring bankruptcy, trying to build a competitive model for the future. Fuel just makes it all the more difficult and I think that some of the more successful companies like Southwest Airlines, Jet Blue, some of the others have actually taken pro-active steps to more aggressively hedge and manage their cost structures in the future and that programmatic approach to hedging has helped take some of the sting out of the shock. But I think for the large carriers, there`s no doubt about it, these price levels are going to have a material impact and it`s going to change their model going forward.

GHARIB: And certainly as you say, fuel is one of the highest expenses, one of the biggest expenses for these airlines. Why haven`t we seen these legacy airlines get involved in these hedging strategies like Southwest?

STEBBINS: I think historically they viewed it as being something that was not their core competence, that the fundamental business was the transportation of people or good, certainly in shipping. But I would say the shipping industry was a bit more progressive and some of the European carriers were a little more progressive on the aviation side, where they understood that if you were a good steward of the shareholder value, your inability to predict prices into the future meant that by definition, if you`re buying in the spot market you`re essentially speculating. So the requires, hedging allows you the opportunity to control some of those costs at a ratable way into the future and be able to help your shareholders understand that you`ve helped mitigate this cost. So I think that you`re going to see this reluctance in the past will now change and I think that it becomes a necessity in any kind of strategic procurement program to have a hedging policy.

GHARIB: We`ve been talking mostly about airlines, but you also do serve shipping fleets. What are you hearing from your shipping customers? Their fuel prices have also more than doubled this year. Are they struggling as much as the airlines?

STEBBINS: The shipping industry has of course benefited in the last 24 months with perhaps one of the most successful shipping markets in the history of the industry. So in some ways the huge roll up in prices was something that we did not have the kind of shock that it had for the aviation industry. But I would say that as we look forward to the end of this year into next year, when some of the rate, unprecedentedly high rates begin to taper off, you`re going to see a lot more focus on the importance of fuel because there`s no indication what so ever that things are going to abate. There`s long-term pressure on the oil infrastructure. The emergence of China, the emergence of India, the fact that no new refineries are being built, all of these things means that the markets are very volatile and of course our customers are looking to us to help visibility on these very fragmented markets.

GHARIB: Now Mr. Stebbins, you`ve made a career out of troubleshooting in the energy markets. Just wondering what you see as the solution to this energy crisis that we`re in.

STEBBINS: Well, I think in the macro sense I think certainly in America we`re going to have to rethink our priorities in terms of consumption. As Williams Jennings Bryant said, that destiny is not a matter of chance. It`s a matter of choice. So I think as Americans we do have a choice and I think the industry has a choice, and part of it is about how we consume and are we responsible stewards of these scare resources into the future. And I think from an industry point of view these companies are now beginning to focus much more on strategic procurement and better and more effectively managing their costs in the future.

GHARIB: All right, well, thank you so much for coming on our program. We really appreciate your time.

STEBBINS: Thanks for having me. Thanks so much.

GHARIB: We`ve been speaking with Paul Stebbins, CEO of World Fuel Services.


Nightly Business Report transcripts are available on-line post broadcast. The program is transcribed by eMediaMillWorks. Updates may be posted at a later date. The views of our guests and commentators are their own and do not necessarily represent the views of Community Television Foundation of South Florida, Inc. Nightly Business Report, or WPBT. Information presented on Nightly Business Report is not and should not be considered as investment advice. Copyright (c) 2005 Community Television Foundation of South Florida, Inc. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. Terms of use.

10/03/05: "Commentary"- The Greenspan Legacy

SUSIE GHARIB: Tonight`s commentator looks back at Greenspan`s legacy, both good and not so good. Here`s James Bradford DeLong, professor of economics at the University of California at Berkeley.

JAMES BRADFORD DELONG, ECONOMICS PROF., UNIV. OF CALIFORNIA AT BERKELEY: On the eve of what will almost surely be his retirement, let me join the crowd praising the monetary stewardship of Alan Greenspan. The Greenspan- led Federal Reserve has done a superb job at monetary policy. It has kept inflation low and played a big role in keeping recessions broad over the last decade and a half. The Greenspan Fed has had a lot of help. The Volcker Fed most importantly loaded the bases, but it has been the Greenspan Fed that has hit a grand slam. On monetary police, the Greenspan Fed deserves an A-plus. But on other dimensions of policy, things that have traditionally been secondary concerns of the Federal Reserve, the Greenspan Fed has not done as well. It is a fact that inflation can be kept low permanently only if the government budget deficit remains small. Too big deficits run for too long have always produced rapid inflation in the past. They will always produce rapid inflation will in the future. If the Fed is going to do its job as long-term guarantor of price stability, it needs to be an advocate within the government for balanced budgets and it needs to be listened to. Here the Greenspan Fed has fallen down. What the Greenspan Fed has done on monetary policy deserves high praise. What the Greenspan Fed has not done or at least has not done successfully on fiscal policy, will wind up making the job of its successors much more difficult. I`m Brad DeLong.

Nightly Business Report transcripts are available on-line post broadcast. The program is transcribed by eMediaMillWorks. Updates may be posted at a later date. The views of our guests and commentators are their own and do not necessarily represent the views of Community Television Foundation of South Florida, Inc. Nightly Business Report, or WPBT. Information presented on Nightly Business Report is not and should not be considered as investment advice. Copyright (c) 2005 Community Television Foundation of South Florida, Inc. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. Terms of use.

10/03/05: "Paul Kangas' Stocks In The News"

PAUL KANGAS: Stocks opened higher with the help of fresh buying demand on this first day of the fourth quarter. The Dow gained 30 points at the outset of trading while the NASDAQ rose 10 points. A report showing a sharp rebound in September manufacturing activity revived concerns that the Federal Reserve might become more aggressive in raising interest rates. Bonds headed lower after that, so did blue chip stocks, resulting in a mixed close.

The Dow Industrial Average ended down 33.22 points at 10,535.48. The NASDAQ Composite managed to gain 3 3/4 points, ending at 2155.43. Standard & Poor`s 500 Index was down 2.11 at 1226.70. Over in the bond market, the 10-year note was down 15/32 to 98 29/32, lifting the yield to 4.39 percent.

Most active New York exchange issue on 14.2 million shares, Lucent Technology (LU) moving up $0.06.

Followed by EMC Corp (EMC) with a $0.53 gain.

Pfizer (PFE) up $0.32.

General Electric (GE) fell $0.44, although the company reaffirmed its earnings outlook for the third quarter and full year despite losses from Katrina and Rita. The company sees full year earnings at $1.80 to $1.83. That would be up about 13 percent from last year.

Lennar (LEN) moved up $1.94. After the close Friday, Standard & Poor`s announced the stock was added to the Standard & Poor`s 500 index, replacing Gillette, a little demand by index funds there.

ExxonMobil (XOM) dropped $1.05, little profit taking.

Wal-Mart Stores (WMT) $0.06 loss.

Procter & Gamble (PG) down $0.15.

Sprint Nextel (S) $0.29 loss.

But Motorola (MOT) moved up $0.35. This week`s "Barron`s" financial has a positive comment in one of the articles. One of the managers, money managers predicting the stock could move to the mid 30s on better than expected earnings.

NRG Energy (NRG) up $5.95. Positive reaction to the company`s acquisition of privately held Texas Genco for $5.8 billion, $4 billion of it in cash. Standard & Poor`s repeated a "buy" on NRG. The company does have power operating assets, power generating assets in seven different countries.

AO Tatneft (TNT), the American depository shares, this is a Russian oil producer and the stock in Russia jumped 10 percent before it was halted. Several rumors making the rounds. One is takeover speculation. The other is that the company succeeded in bidding for an important oil exploration block in Libya.

Southwestern Energy (SWN) up $8.90. JPMorgan began covering the stock with an "over weight" rating, sees it going as high as $102 a share.

Ace Ltd (ACE), the big insurance company, down $1.49. The company sees after tax losses in the range of $100 to $150 million from hurricane Rita.

Another insurance company, Aspen Insurance Holdings Ltd (AHL) down $4.14. It widened its loss estimate from damage from Katrina and the New Orleans flood, now says it will loss between $325 and $400 million.

Shopko Stores (SKO) $0.76 gain. The company got an unsolicited buyout offer of $26.50 a share from an investment group. It already had a $25.50 takeover bid from Badger Retail Holdings.

Plantronics (PLT), the mover of electronic headsets plunging $2.60. Company cut its second quarter earnings estimate from as high as $0.43 to as low as $0.28. The Street estimate is $0.40 a share. Revenues are also going to be able 10 million short of estimates.

NASDAQ`s most active, Google (GOOG) up $2.22.

Microsoft (MSFT) $0.23 loss.

A nickel drop in Intel (INTC).

Telewest Global (TLWT) a $0.22 gain. NTL Incorporated will acquire it for $16.25 cash and about 1/10 of a share of NTL. That would be worth about $23.84 as of today.

Apple Computer (AAPL) an $0.83 gain. That was fifth in volume.

Cisco Systems (CSCO) $0.18 loss.

Qualcomm (QCOM) up $0.30.

Dell (DELL) a $0.23 loss.

Amgen (AMGN) fell a nickel.

And then Ebay (EBAY) moving up $0.60, tenth in dollar volume.

Lexar Media (LEXR) a nice gain, up $1.15. A superior court has ruled that Toshiba must pay the company $465 million for breach of contract and theft of trade secrets.

On the down side, a huge loss in Syntroleum (SYNM) plunging $5.24. The company hit a dry hole in the drilling operation off the coast of Nigeria and plans to cap that well.

Those are the stocks in the news tonight.

Nightly Business Report transcripts are available on-line post broadcast. The program is transcribed by eMediaMillWorks. Updates may be posted at a later date. The views of our guests and commentators are their own and do not necessarily represent the views of Community Television Foundation of South Florida, Inc. Nightly Business Report, or WPBT. Information presented on Nightly Business Report is not and should not be considered as investment advice. Copyright (c) 2005 Community Television Foundation of South Florida, Inc. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. Terms of use.

10/03/05: Market Stats

    
                                      NET    PERCENT
CLOSE CHANGE CHANGE DOW CLOSE 10535.48 -33.22 - .3 HIGH 10608.56 LOW 10523.63 NASDAQ COMP. 2155.43 +3.74 +.2 HIGH 2162.79 LOW 2152.59 VOLUME 1,549.6 PREVIOUS 1,544.7 UP VOLUME 806.0 DOWN VOLUME 704.3 DOW TRANSPORTS 3736.59 -3.96 - .1 DOW UTILITIES 437.63 +5.25 + 1.2 CLOSING TICK +506 S&P 500 1226.70 -2.11 - .2 S&P 100 564.96 -1.84 - .3 MIDCAP 400 720.35 +4.02 + .6 REUTERS/CRB 333.22 +.25 + .1 NYSE COMPOSITE 7626.23 -6.75 - .1 VALUE LINE 411.14 +1.41 + .3 RUSSELL 2000 670.55 +2.75 + .4 DJW 5000 12289.25 -.01 unch. U.S. TREASURIES 5-YEAR NOTE 3.875% Sept. 15,2010 98 12/32 -7/32 - 4.25 10-YEAR NOTE 4.25% Aug. 15,2015 98 29/32 -15/32 + 4.39 30-YEAR NOTE 5.375% Feb. 15, 2031 111 5/32 -27/32 + 4.62 LEHMAN BROS. LONG BOND INDEX 1776.42 -4.93 DOW CLOSE 10535.48 -33.22 - .3 ADVANCES 1831 DECLINES 1475 NEW HIGHS 230 NEW LOWS 56 NET PERCENT NYSE MOST ACTIVES 4PM CLOSE CHANGE CHANGE LU Lucent Tech 3.31 +.06 +1.9 EMC EMC Corp 13.47 +.53 +4.1 PFE Pfizer 25.29 +.32 +1.3 GE GE 33.23 -.44 -1.3 LEN Lennar 61.70 +1.94 +3.3 XOM Exxon Mobil 62.49 -1.05 -1.7 WMT Wal-Mart Stores 43.76 -.06 -.1 PG Procter & Gamble 59.31 -.15 -.3 S Sprint Nextel 23.49 -.29 -1.2 MOT Motorola 22.44 +.35 +1.6 NASDAQ CLOSE 2155.43 + 3.74 + .2 VOLUME 1,870.5 PREVIOUS 1,703.6 ADVANCES 1622 DECLINES 1422 NASDAQ ACTIVES GOOG Google 318.68 +2.22 +.7 MSFT Microsoft 25.50 -.23 -.9 INTC Intel 24.60 -.05 -.2 TLWT Telewest Global 23.17 +.22 +1.0 AAPL Apple Computer 54.44 +.83 +1.6 CSCO Cisco Systems 17.74 -.18 -1.0 QCOM Qualcomm 45.05 +.30 +.7 DELL Dell 33.97 -.23 -.7 AMGN Amgen 79.62 -.05 -.1 EBAY eBay 41.80 +.60 +1.5 AMEX CLOSE 1738.76 + 1.87 + .1 INDEX SHARES DIA DIAMONDS TRUST 105.28 -.47 -.4 QQQ NASDAQ 100 39.56 +.10 +.3 SPY S&P DEP.RECEIPTS 122.60 -.44 -.4 STOCKS IN THE NEWS NRG NRG Energy 48.55 +5.95 +14.0 TNT AO Tatneft 73.01 +8.66 +13.5 SWN Southwest Energy 82.30 +8.90 +12.1 ACE Ace Ltd 45.58 -1.49 -3.2 AHL Aspen Insurance 25.41 -4.14 -14.0 SKO Shopko Stores 26.28 +.76 +3.0 PLT Plantronics 28.21 -2.60 -8.4 LEXR Lexar Media 7.53 +1.15 +18.0 SYNM Syntroleum 9.32 -5.24 -36.0

 

 

 

 

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