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Program: Thursday, January 26, 2006

Microsoft Opens The Window On A Profitable Fiscal Future
GM Downshifts Into Loss Mode
Who Benefits Most From HSA's
"Bill of Health"-VIP's: Very Important Patients
"Commentary"-Exposing Executives & The People Who Pay Them
Paul Kangas' Stocks In The News
Market Stats

01/26/06: Microsoft Opens The Window On A Profitable Fiscal Future

SUSIE GHARIB: Microsoft served up strong quarterly earnings late today and the stock rose about 2 percent in after hours trading. Excluding special charges, the world`s largest software maker earned $0.33 a share in its fiscal second quarter, right in line with estimates. Revenues rose 9.4 percent to a record $11.8 billion, but they were still lower than expected. One reason: Microsoft was not able to produce enough of its new X-box 360 video game system to meet holiday sales demand. Looking ahead, Microsoft sees fiscal third quarter earnings of $0.32 to $0.33 a share. For fiscal year 2006, it is forecasting earnings of $1.28 to $1.31. Joining us now to analyze those Microsoft numbers, Andy Miedler, software analyst with Edward Jones. Hi, Andy.

ANDY MIEDLER, SOFTWARE ANALYST, EDWARD JONES: Hi, thank you for having me.

GHARIB: Let`s talk first about the guidance towards the third quarter and for the year. What`s your take on the earnings and revenue guidance? Are you satisfied with what Microsoft said today?

MIEDLER: I was definitely satisfied with the coming guidance for the upcoming quarter and the full year. It was a little bit higher than what we were expecting, so I think it leads to a good rest of the year for Microsoft.

GHARIB: There`s been so much talk about the X-box 360 video game consoles and how they fell short over the holiday season. What about the outlook? Did they say anything today on the conference call?

MIEDLER: They did. They updated their full fiscal year guidance, which is they`re expecting to have between 4.5 and 5.5 million X-box 360 shipments. And this is exactly in line with what we were expecting. The real weakness in the quarter on the revenue side this quarter was due to the X-box 360 supply constraints. They simply couldn`t get enough of the parts to meet the demand, so this was the reason for the revenue weakness this quarter, but on a full-year basis, we expect them to meet these expectations.

GHARIB: I know that Microsoft is coming out with some new products for the second half of this year. It`s latest Windows operating system that`s called Vista and there`s also a new version of Office. Are these going to be big drivers of growth?

MIEDLER: We think they will be big drivers of growth. As you mentioned, in the second half of this year, Microsoft has a refresh of virtually all of their products, starting with that the refresh of the new Windows operating system, Windows Vista. This is set to ship in the second half of the year and then we`ll have the new Office product, new Internet Explorer and we think these new products will really accelerate growth at Microsoft back into that low double digit range which is what we and I believe the rest of the market will find attractive.

GHARIB: You have a buy recommendation on Microsoft`s stock. I know you`re very bullish on it, but is there anything that worries you, anything that gives you pause?

MIEDLER: We just want to see the supply constraints alleviated on the X-box 360 and we want to continue Microsoft continue to be competitive on the Internet front. They did just loose a deal to become a partner with AOL and obviously we would have liked to have seen them get this partnership with AOL, but we believe Microsoft, you can`t count them out on the Internet. They`re doing very well, more than $2 billion of revenue in their segment. So we would like to see them do a little bit better with their Internet advertising, but overall, we think Microsoft is poised to do great over the next few years and believe investors should be buying the shares.

GHARIB: We just have 30 seconds left, real quickly. There was no comment from Microsoft today about any plans to increase its dividend. Did the company say anything on the conference call that you were listening in on about plans for the $50 billion in cash that it has on the books?

MIEDLER: Well, no, they did not just increase their dividend, but just last quarter they did increase their dividend 12.5 percent and now yields about 1.3 percent. Microsoft`s obviously a very cash-rich company with around $44, $45 billion in cash and investments. And what we see them doing is continuing to buy back large amounts of their shares, but also, we believe Microsoft`s increasing dividend and a rising income story over time, and couple this with the growth, we think this is a good time for investors to get into Microsoft.

GHARIB: OK. Do you own the stock or does your firm have any participation with Microsoft?

MIEDLER: No, I don`t own the shares and we have no conflicts of interest.

GHARIB: All right. Andy, thanks so much for coming on the program. We appreciate it.

MIEDLER: Thank you for having me.

GHARIB: We`ve been speaking with Andy Miedler, software analyst with Edward Jones.


Nightly Business Report transcripts are available on-line post broadcast. The program is transcribed by eMediaMillWorks. Updates may be posted at a later date. The views of our guests and commentators are their own and do not necessarily represent the views of Community Television Foundation of South Florida, Inc. Nightly Business Report, or WPBT. Information presented on Nightly Business Report is not and should not be considered as investment advice. Copyright
(c) 2005 Community Television Foundation of South Florida, Inc. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. Terms of use.


01/26/06: GM Downshifts Into Loss Mode

JEFF YASTINE: General Motors shares went into reverse today, falling over 3 percent after the company reported quarterly results which were far worse than Wall Street had expected. The company blamed everything from weak sport utility sales to higher advertising costs for the disappointment. As Diane Eastabrook reports, some analysts think further cost cuts may be in the cards for GM.

DIANE EASTABROOK, NIGHTLY BUSINESS REPORT CORRESPONDENT: Analysts were expecting another bad quarter at General Motors, but nothing close to the massive loss the company reported today. Excluding special items, GM lost $2.09 a share in the final quarter of last year compared to a profit of $1.28 a share in the same quarter of 2004. Wall Street was anticipating a loss of only $0.16 a share. North America was the biggest problem for GM at the end of the year. The company said marketing costs soared because the auto maker had to ramp up advertising for a new pricing strategy it rolled out a couple of weeks ago. In addition, sales weakened significantly in the quarter for GM`s pickups and sport utility vehicles.

FRITZ HENDERSON, CFO, GENERAL MOTORS: This was a quarter where we were down year-to-year, in the quarter 62,000 full size sport utilities. Now part of that was the market, but a very large part of it was our conversion over to our new full-size sport utilities which we begin invoicing in the first quarter of `05 -- `06, excuse me, so mix was very unfavorable.

EASTABROOK: Henderson thinks sales will improve for the high-profit margin SUV segment this quarter and advertising costs will come down as well. The company believes its balance sheet will improve even more in the second half of the year, as health care concessions negotiated with the United Auto Workers union are implemented and a restructuring of North American operations gets underway. But analyst Brett Hoselton thinks GM needs to make even deeper cuts. His employer, Keybanc Capital Markets, has an investment banking relationship with the auto company.

BRETT HOSELTON, AUTO ANALYST, KEYBANC CAPITAL MARKETS: The jobs bank program is a thing of the past, guaranteed employment a thing of the past. That needs to go away. Health care costs are still far too high for the UAW. They`re not even competitive with the salaried employees at their plants.

EASTABROOK: GM could also face pressure again to cut its dividend. Billionaire investor Kirk Kerkorian, who increased his stake in the company yesterday, has been calling for a dividend cut. And analysts think the UAW could demand a dividend cut as well, if the company pressures it again for even more give-backs. Diane Eastabrook, NIGHTLY BUSINESS REPORT, Chicago.

Nightly Business Report transcripts are available on-line post broadcast. The program is transcribed by eMediaMillWorks. Updates may be posted at a later date. The views of our guests and commentators are their own and do not necessarily represent the views of Community Television Foundation of South Florida, Inc. Nightly Business Report, or WPBT. Information presented on Nightly Business Report is not and should not be considered as investment advice. Copyright (c) 2005 Community Television Foundation of South Florida, Inc. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. Terms of use.

1/26/06: Who Benefits Most From HSA's

JEFF YASTINE: At a news conference today, President Bush gave some hints about what he intends to highlight in next Tuesday`s state of the union address. On the domestic front, Mr. Bush intends to push forward with market-oriented health care reforms. And topping the list, ideas to expand health savings accounts. As Darren Gersh reports, those accounts are getting a mixed reception in the marketplace.

DARREN GERSH, NIGHTLY BUSINESS REPORT CORRESPONDENT: Alex Soto not only uses a health savings account, known as an HSA; the independent insurance agent also sells them to his clients or tries to. He says every company he`s talked to has rejected the accounts. The concern: HSAs require employees and employers to be much more involved in tracking their health claims.

ALEX SOTO, PRESIDENT, INSOURCE: And so far, that has been daunting enough where they go, whoa, very complicated already. We don`t want to add another level of complexity.

GERSH: HSAs are tax-free savings accounts used to pay health care bills. To qualify for an HSA, consumers must also purchase a high- deductible health insurance policy. And because consumers are paying more of their own money for health care, supporters say doctors and hospitals should become more efficient.

MICHAEL CANNON, HEALTH POLICY DIRECTOR, CATO INSTITUTE: We`re starting to see people exhibiting more price sensitivity, asking about the costs of services more than they have been. And providers are starting to respond to that, insurers are starting to respond to that.

GERSH: That`s the theory. But Soto is in the insurance business and he has a whole department that chases down doctors and insurance companies to make sure his employees get the same discounts given to patients with traditional health plans.

SOTO: That can be done, and they should provide you that information, but is it the easiest thing in the world? No.

GERSH: Even with the hassles, Soto says his company has saved a lot of money with HSAs. The president is expected to call for expanding the accounts in his state of the union address next week, most likely increasing the amounts employees can save tax-free. One of the president`s former economic advisers wants Mr. Bush to go further and remove regulations requiring HSAs to carry a deductible of $2,100 for a family.

GLENN HUBBARD, FORMER BUSH ECONOMIC ADVISER: I think the Congress intended to push people toward higher deductible, higher co-pay plans, which make a lot of sense for health policy reasons. But if we let markets work, people will do that naturally. That`s the evidence we have from economics and probably at deductible levels that are slightly less than under current HSAs. I think it would be more of an improvement to let the market decide.

GERSH: Three million people have signed up for HSAs, most in the last year. But skeptics worry the new accounts appeal mostly to younger, healthier consumers and so will play a limited role in managing the nation`s health care bill. Darren Gersh, NIGHTLY BUSINESS REPORT, Washington.

Nightly Business Report transcripts are available on-line post broadcast. The program is transcribed by eMediaMillWorks. Updates may be posted at a later date. The views of our guests and commentators are their own and do not necessarily represent the views of Community Television Foundation of South Florida, Inc. Nightly Business Report, or WPBT. Information presented on Nightly Business Report is not and should not be considered as investment advice. Copyright (c) 2005 Community Television Foundation of South Florida, Inc. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. Terms of use.


1/26/06: "Bill of Health"-VIP's: Very Important Patients

JEFF YASTINE: Every patient who goes to a doctor`s office wants to be treated like a VIP -- a very important patient. So, in an effort to get back to spending more time with their patients and still cover their own costs, some doctors are beginning to offer VIP or concierge-type practices. As we see in tonight`s "bill of health" segment, these practices are finding favor with more patients. But there`s a caveat -- it will cost you. Its a typical scene from any doctor`s office, except for one thing - this patient can talk to her doctor whenever she wants, for as long as she wants, no hurried exam room sessions here. She pays for the privilege -- $1,500 a year-- but finds the money well spent.

UNIDENTIFIED FEMALE: This is important to me. I would rather give up something else than not be a part of this practice. I just think that it`s a wonderful thing. You make choices all over the place.

YASTINE: Her physician, Dr. Bernard Kaminetzky, switched his practice to a VIP model after becoming frustrated by the pressures of seeing dozens of patients a day and not being able to focus on preventive care. That`s not the case now.

DR. BERNARD KAMINETSKY, INTERNIST, MDVIP: I`d be shocked to find out that any woman over 50 who I`d seen who had not had a mammogram within the year. If it`s a diabetic, if they haven`t had their eye screening, if they hadn`t had their 24-hour urine for protein. It just doesn`t happen. It`s a matter of numbers. You can`t put that kind of emphasis on prevention when you got so many patients that you`re only reacting to acute illness and the statistics are there.

YASTINE: To date, the number of physicians practicing this concierge type of medicine is still small, amounting to less than 1 percent of the 300,000 or so doctors in the U.S. Yearly fees vary, but a Government Accounting Office study in 2004 found most practices charged between $1,500 and $2,000 a year, in addition to the standard co-pays fixed by their health insurer. But the annual fees are cause for debate, with some claiming it`s a step toward a two-tier medical system, with those who can afford it getting better care. It also says a lot about the state of the U.S. healthcare system.

DR. ARTHUR PALAMARA, VASCULAR SURGEON: Without question, the MDVIP is emblematic of the problems with our healthcare today. What we need to do is to try to resolve that in favor of a healthcare system that`s able to provide good quality sound healthcare for everyone so that the doctor can once again become an advocate for their patients.

YASTINE: But advocates for VIP style practices see the issue in different terms.

EDWARD GOLDMAN, CEO, MDVIP: The payment from the patient is $125 a month. It`s in reach of most of the middle class. For instance, if someone`s making a decision to smoke cigarettes, they`re probably paying more than $125 a month. There are lots of people who are not wealthy who smoke cigarettes. If they should have the option to make an unhealthy choice, then shouldn`t they have an option to make a healthy choice?

YASTINE: Companies like MDVIP say this business model for doctors is a niche practice, but an effective one. About 95 percent of its patients renew their fees each year.

Nightly Business Report transcripts are available on-line post broadcast. The program is transcribed by eMediaMillWorks. Updates may be posted at a later date. The views of our guests and commentators are their own and do not necessarily represent the views of Community Television Foundation of South Florida, Inc. Nightly Business Report, or WPBT. Information presented on Nightly Business Report is not and should not be considered as investment advice. Copyright (c) 2005 Community Television Foundation of South Florida, Inc. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. Terms of use.


1/26/06: "Commentary"-Exposing Executives & The People Who Pay Them

SUSIE GHARIB: In tonight`s commentary, bringing outlandish executive pay packages down to earth. Here`s Myron Kandel, founding financial editor at CNN.

MYRON KANDEL, FOUNDING FINANCIAL EDITOR, CNN: I think it`s a great move for the SEC to force companies to disclose more about the pay and perks they bestow on their top executives. Such information is long overdue, especially because the gap between the big brass and ordinary workers has widened so obscenely. Ironically, some say more disclosure will lead to higher compensation because some executives, seeing what their counterparts are getting, will seek increases for themselves. I don`t buy that because I believe transparency will help narrow the gap. But I do have a proposal directed at my colleagues in the press. It`s much too easy to point out egregious compensation packages when we uncover them. But, no matter how powerful CEO`s may be, they don`t pay themselves. That`s done by the company`s board on the recommendation of its compensation committee. In the past, those committees were loaded with the CEO`s cronies. Now, supposedly-independent directors are in charge. Nevertheless, executive compensation continues to spiral out of sight. So here`s my recommendation to the media. Whenever you report on an inflated pay package, please include the names of the compensation committee members who recommended it. And then a good reporter might very well ask them to justify those figures. At least it would make them and the rest of the board think twice about how much is justified and maybe that would even bring some of those out-of-sight packages down to earth. I`m Myron Kandel.

Nightly Business Report transcripts are available on-line post broadcast. The program is transcribed by eMediaMillWorks. Updates may be posted at a later date. The views of our guests and commentators are their own and do not necessarily represent the views of Community Television Foundation of South Florida, Inc. Nightly Business Report, or WPBT. Information presented on Nightly Business Report is not and should not be considered as investment advice. Copyright (c) 2005 Community Television Foundation of South Florida, Inc. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. Terms of use.



1/26/06: "Paul Kangas' Stocks In The News"

JEFF YASTINE: A drop in General Motors shares could not slow the major indexes today, but the bulls beginning to run right at the open on strong profits from Honeywell, Caterpillar and AT&T, all Dow components. By midday, the Dow notched a 100-point rise. The NASDAQ likewise shooting higher in the second half of the session and both indexes closed sharply higher. The Dow finishing up nearly 100 points at 10,809 and the NASDAQ adding 22 points to close at 2,283. The S&P 500 gaining 9 to end at 1,273. Treasury prices came in for another drubbing today. Durable goods orders rose a larger-than-expected 1.3 percent last month. And now some bond traders think the Bernanke Fed may have more work to do raising rates after Chairman Greenspan`s final meeting next week. So, the 10-year note down 10/32nds to 99 27/32nds and the yield back up to 4.52 percent.

And today we have Lucent Technology (LU) topping our list, gaining $0.10.

General Electric (GE) gaining a quarter.

And Pfizer (PFE) jumping by a nearly similar amount.

Nokia (NOK) losing $0.29. The mobile phone giant posting modest, a modest drop in fourth quarter profits, but it did raise its stock buyback program by $8 billion.

And there`s Ford Motor Co (F) rising $0.15. Ford says there`s a lot the Federal government could do to help the auto business but a financial bail out is not one of them for their company.

Disney (DIS) falling $0.36. The company denied a "New York Times" article which suggested Chairman George Mitchell suppressed an executive search firm`s negative evaluation of Robert Iger, that back when the company was looking for a replacement for Michael Eisner.

Bristol Myers (BMY) rising $0.60.

And Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) gaining $0.66.

ExxonMobil (XOM) dropping $0.26.

First Data (FDC) though jumping more than $2. The company will spin off its Western Union division as a stand alone public company. First Data reported a 14 percent drop in quarterly profits.

And then on to Caterpillar (CAT), which surged over $3 in a new all- time high. This gain alone accounted for about 25 percent of the Dow`s nearly 100-point gain. Fourth quarter earnings rising 54 percent. The company sees $5 a share in profits for 2006.

Another Dow component, Honeywell Intl (HON) up more than $1. Profits rising to $0.62 a share, more than double year ago levels thanks to a recovery in its aerospace unit.

And Boston Scientific (BSX), only a few days ago, after the purchase of Guidant, the company suddenly received a pair of warning letters from the FDA which found ongoing serious regulatory problems at three of Boston Scientific`s manufacturing plants. That, despite being warned twice last year about similar issues.

And then Sony (SNE), which surged over $4, $5. Strong demand for Sony`s Playstation, game players helping the electronics giant deliver record profits.

American, excuse me, Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) rising over $2, its highest close since July of 2000. Gateway will soon put AMD`s chips in its PC products. AMD also grabbed more chip market share in the latest industry data.

Shares in Harman Intl Industries (HAR) vaulting over $8. It will be added to the S&P 500 on a day to be announce later, replacing Siebel Systems, which of course is being acquired by Oracle.

And then here`s an IPO, shares in Chitpotle Mexican Grill (CMG) piping hot, today`s debut nearly 8 million shares priced to go at $22. It opened at $45.

Now on to the NASDAQ where Google (GOOG) rose just a fraction.

And Apple Computer (AAPL) was off nearly $2.

Amgen (AMGN) dropping $3.50. Fourth quarter earnings were OK, but investors were disappointed they didn`t see any information on drug trials for a promising colon cancer drug.

Sandisk (SNDK) eking out a gain of $0.33.

And then Intel (INTC) picking up a fraction.

Shares in Juniper Networks (JNPG) falling over $4. Fourth quarter profits rose 60 percent, but the company warned that first quarter revenues will be weaker than forecast.

And as we mentioned at the top of the show, Microsoft (MSFT) gained a dime in regular trading, up 2 percent after hours on fairly decent earnings there.

Cisco Systems (CSCO) up a fraction.

Yahoo! (YHOO) gaining $0.68.

And Qualcomm (QCOM) losing a fraction.

Plexus (PLXS) rising over $7. First quarter results triple compared to year ago levels. That on strong sales of networking gear which helped that company`s performance.

Investors Financial Services (IFIN) rising nearly $9. It posted a 15 percent increase in earnings. Investors provides administration accounting and other services for pension and mutual funds.

Alexion Pharmaceuticals (ALXN) jumped $5. The company has a drug that works on particular anemia disorders and clinical trials showed positive results there.

And finally, Silver Wheaton (SLW) rising $0.62. Silver mining companies getting a boost, the SEC calling for a 21-day comment period for proposed exchanged traded funds for silver. The I-shares silver trust.

And those are our stocks in the news tonight.

Nightly Business Report transcripts are available on-line post broadcast. The program is transcribed by eMediaMillWorks. Updates may be posted at a later date. The views of our guests and commentators are their own and do not necessarily represent the views of Community Television Foundation of South Florida, Inc. Nightly Business Report, or WPBT. Information presented on Nightly Business Report is not and should not be considered as investment advice. Copyright (c) 2005 Community Television Foundation of South Florida, Inc. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. Terms of use.



01/26/06: Market Stats

		  
			                 
                                     NET    PERCENT  
                        CLOSE     CHANGE     CHANGE

DOW CLOSE             10809.47     +99.73       + .9
HIGH                                        10827.96
LOW                                         10710.94

NASDAQ COMP.           2283.00     +22.35       +1.0
HIGH                                         2284.07
LOW                                          2264.85

VOLUME                                       2,075.1
PREVIOUS                                     1,925.7
UP VOLUME                                    1,428.1
DOWN VOLUME                                    631.7

DOW TRANSPORTS         4306.53     +65.72      + 1.6
DOW UTILITIES           414.77      -3.85       - .9
CLOSING TICK                                    +332

S&P 500                1273.83      +9.15       + .7
S&P 100                 576.07      +3.51       + .6
MIDCAP 400              771.75      +8.79      + 1.2
REUTERS/CRB             343.46       +.94       + .3

NYSE COMPOSITE         8044.00     +74.51       + .9
VALUE LINE              433.65      +4.87      + 1.1
RUSSELL 2000            728.48     +12.03      + 1.7
DJW 5000              12874.23    +101.92       + .8

U.S. TREASURIES
5-YEAR NOTE 4.25%
Jan. 15,2011          99  5/32      -5/32       4.44

10-YEAR NOTE 4.50%
Nov. 15,2015          99 26/32     -11/32       4.52

30-YEAR NOTE 5.375%
Feb. 15, 2031        109 26/32     -19/32       4.69

LEHMAN BROS.
LONG BOND INDEX        1752.32      -6.47


DOW CLOSE             10809.47     +99.73       + .9
ADVANCES                                        2180
DECLINES                                        1169
NEW HIGHS                                        314
NEW LOWS                                          30

                                      NET    PERCENT
NYSE MOST ACTIVES    4PM CLOSE     CHANGE     CHANGE
LU    Lucent Tech         2.62       +.10       +4.0
GE    General Electric   33.01       +.25        +.8
PFE   Pfizer             25.05       +.22        +.9
NOK   Nokia              18.20       -.29       -1.6
F     Ford Motor Co       8.67       +.15       +1.8
DIS   Disney             25.08       -.36       -1.4
BMY   Bristol Myers Sq   22.57       +.60       +2.7
TSM   Taiwan Semi        10.48       +.66       +6.7
XOM   Exxon Mobil        59.95       -.26        -.4
FDC   First Data Corp    45.30      +2.30       +5.4

NASDAQ CLOSE           2283.00    + 22.35      + 1.0
VOLUME                                       2,487.2
PREVIOUS                                     2,252.3
ADVANCES                                        2077
DECLINES                                         959

NASDAQ ACTIVES
GOOG  Google            434.27      +1.27        +.3
AAPL  Apple Computer     72.33      -1.87       -2.5
AMGN  Amgen              71.90      -3.57       -4.7
SNDK  SanDisk            70.68       +.33        +.5
INTC  Intel              21.49       +.28       +1.3
JNPR  Juniper Networks   17.06      -4.46      -20.7
MSFT  Microsoft          26.50       +.10        +.4
CSCO  Cisco Systems      18.58       +.01        +.1
YHOO  Yahoo!             35.17       +.68       +2.0
QCOM  Qualcomm           47.50       -.08        -.2

AMEX CLOSE             1826.51      + .66       + .0

INDEX SHARES
DIA   DIAMONDS TRUST    108.01       +.81        +.8
QQQ   NASDAQ 100         41.55       +.29        +.7
SPY   S&P DEP.RECEIPTS  127.39       +.73        +.6

STOCKS IN THE NEWS
CAT   Caterpillar        65.17      +3.10       +5.0
HON   Honeywell Intl     37.41      +1.35       +3.7
BSX   Boston Scientific  23.15       -.39       -1.7
AMD   Advanced Micro     40.41      +2.03       +5.3
SNE   Sony               48.57      +5.28      +12.2
HAR   Harman Intl Inds  112.90      +8.69       +8.3
CMG   Chipotle Mexican   44.00     +22.00     +100.0
PLXS  Plexus             30.79      +7.31      +31.1
IFIN  Investors Finl     46.66      +8.63      +22.7
ALXN  Alexion Pharm      26.40      +4.45      +20.3
SLW   Silver Wheaton      6.80       +.62      +10.0










 

 

 

 

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